We continue to see CTP as one of the best stories in European real estate. A simple, focused investment case, a quality portfolio, value-accretive growth, well-managed. CTP builds at a c.10% yield on cost, while it raises debt at an all-in cost of c.4%, and it books its portfolio on a 5-6% net initial yield. The revaluation gains on developments allow almost all of the construction capex to be debt-funded. The spread between the development yield and the cost of debt is wide, and would remain at...
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: the years ahead – 2026-27E • Rainbow Tours: consolidated October sales 20.7% higher yoy, driven by Paralela 45 acquisition; stand-alone sales 14% higher yoy POSITIVE • Alior Bank: c.PLN 105m positive DTA revaluation in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: c.PLN 120m positive DTA revaluation in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • mBank: PLN 125m positive DTA revaluation and estimated 2026E CIT increase impact NEUTRAL • LPP: PLN 788m write-down of Russian assets NEGATIVE • Bank Millennium: ...
HEADLINES: • Kaspi.kz: too cheap to ignore (stays BUY) • VIGO Photonics: 3Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA over 2x above our estimate; order intake up 24% yoy POSITIVE • CCC: final 3Q25 EBITDA spot on prelims NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: 3Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Polish banks: President signs bill on higher CIT for the banks • Murapol: main shareholder sells 20.5% of shares in ABB NEUTRAL • Primoco UAV: promising tactical UAV producer (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • CTP: enters...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: dividends in EMEA – yield hunting after markets have repriced • Text: 2Q25-26 (calendar 3Q25) results – EBITDA down 29% yoy, 8% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: strong 3Q25 beat on EBITDA and net profit, following the strong gross margin and cost discipline POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 3Q25 results review – 3Q25 EBITDA up 92% yoy, 11-15% above our and the consensus estimates POSITIVE • PGE: stable to declining recurring EBITDA outlook for 2026E NEUTRAL • H...
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
HEADLINES: • Develia: lighten the load, lift the pace (BUY - initiation of coverage) • PGE: 3Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 3Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Doosan Skoda Power: 3Q25 weak; 2025E guidance lowered; downside risk for our 2025E estimates NEGATIVE • Premier Energy: 3Q25 in line with our estimates; 2025E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • OPAP: 3Q25 results in line; EBITDA flat yoy, at EUR 214m, on to...
This morning (25 November), Doosan Škoda Power (DSP) released weak 3Q25 results, in our view. The EBITDA fell by 89% yoy, on higher opex and hedging losses, and the company reported a net loss in the quarter. The backlog rose by 59% qoq, driven by the Temelín generators contract (CZK 5bn) – which we believe is fully priced in – while other, newly-secured contracts totalled CZK 0.8bn, implying a book-to-bill of c.0.8x. Although no specific 2025E guidance was provided, DSP has lowered its 2025E re...
Automation and Energy investments increase the value per sqm of landbank. Tenants are inclined to sign longer lease contracts to protect their significant investments. We expect to see more large warehouse automation projects over the next 12-18 months as the ROI increases thanks to technological innovations. The decision process seems to take longer due to the size of the investments. We believe the logistic segment offers an interesting investment opportunity. WDP trades at only 3% premium...
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