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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKN PW; VGO PW; Poland macro; BDX PW; PZU PW; SFG RO; CEZ ...

HEADLINES: • Orlen: makes an offer to buy Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 3Q25 sales up 48.5% yoy to PLN 23.3m POSITIVE • Poland macro: August balance of payments data underscores weak exports • Budimex: PLN 2.6bn bid from Budimex's consortium scored highest in the PKP PLK tender POSITIVE • PZU: the new CEO gives one of his first interviews, discussing the potential PZU–Pekao merger NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: Hard Rock Cafe joining the company’s brand portfolio POSITIVE • CEZ: AN...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; EUROB GA; CTPNV NA; PGSUS TI; CIMSA TI; 11B PW; E...

HEADLINES: • OPAP: announces all-share merger with parent Allwyn International NEUTRAL • Eurobank: acquires Fairfax's 80% stake in Eurolife's life insurance business NEUTRAL • CTP: issues EUR 600m 6.5Y green bonds at a 3.625% coupon POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: ASK up 17% in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • Cimsa: grey cement grinding plant in Houston has been commissioned POSITIVE • 11 bit: management board member sold shares worth PLN 0.3m NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (6-12 October) • Titan: ...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | First thoughts - Allwyn deal: Brave new era; from yield to grow...

Transformative deal with Allwyn – Allwyn and OPAP have announced they have agreed to merge through an all-share combination, creating the world’s 2nd-largest listed lottery and gaming operator with a combined equity value of €16bn. The new group will retain its primary listing on the ATHEX, while pursuing a secondary listing in London or New York after completion. It will be renamed Allwyn and re-domiciled to Switzerland, aligning with Allwyn’s global headquarters. Allwyn, which already owns 51....

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | First thoughts - Allwyn deal: Brave new era; from yield to grow...

Transformative deal with Allwyn – Allwyn and OPAP have announced they have agreed to merge through an all-share combination, creating the world’s 2nd-largest listed lottery and gaming operator with a combined equity value of €16bn. The new group will retain its primary listing on the ATHEX, while pursuing a secondary listing in London or New York after completion. It will be renamed Allwyn and re-domiciled to Switzerland, aligning with Allwyn’s global headquarters. Allwyn, which already owns 51....

CEZ: 3 directors

Three Directors at CEZ sold 15,437 shares at between 1,286.330CZK and 1,309.450CZK. The significance rating of the trade was 80/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last...

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

European Oil and Gas Monthly: September 2025 – droning on about margin...

Brent crude oil prices increased by USD 0.4/bbl vs. the previous month, to USD 67.6/bbl. In August, OPEC production hit its highest level, again, since June 2023, reaching 27.9mbpd. Drone strikes on Russian refineries boosted refinery margins, with our benchmark rising USD 2.0/bbl, to USD 14.7/bbl. Most petrochemicals margins weakened further.

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Romanian BET in the lead in Septem...

EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...

BRE MBANK SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
OMV OMV AG
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
R22 R22
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
PE RO PREMIER ENERGY
Research Team
  • Research Team
CEZ CEZ AS
OMV OMV AG ... (+9)

WOOD Daily: LPP PW; RBW PW; VGO PW; DSPW CP; CTPNV NA; CEZ CP; THYAO T...

HEADLINES: • LPP: 2Q25 small beat vs. our ambitious expectations; 22% yoy sales growth in 3Q-to-date; FY25E guidance maintained POSITIVE • Rainbow Tours: disappointing 2Q25 results; strong cash flow, driven by prepayments, should support the 3Q25E results NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 2Q25 results review - adj. EBITDA -84% yoy, below our estimates; order intake growth rose to 69% yoy NEUTRAL • Doosan Skoda Power: 2Q25 higher than expected, but a lower backlog, with only CZK 0.5bn in new contracts d...

Research Team
  • Research Team
CEZ CEZ AS
LPP LPP S.A. ... (+7)

WOOD Daily: CAR PW; EU Macro; CZG CP; CEZ CP; PL Utilities; RO Macro; ...

HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: 2Q25 EBITDA misses our and the market's expectations by 4-5% NEGATIVE • Eurozone macro: so far, so good • Colt CZ Group SE: multiple military contracts POSITIVE • CEZ: Babis will not buy CEZ "at any price" NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: PGE, Enea and Tauron contract 5.9 GW of new capacity obligations for 2026 NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation soars in August • Türkiye macro: interest rates drop, but monetary stance remains tight • LPP: 2Q25E results preview – 13% yoy EBITD...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PGE PW; CEZ CP; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; GR Macro; VGO P...

HEADLINES: • PGE: decent 2Q25 recurring EBITDA, 8% above our expectations; strong cash generation POSITIVE • CEZ: ANO deputy chair puts cost of CEZ nationalisation at CZK 250bn POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (1-7 September) • Greece macro: 2Q GDP – first impressions • VIGO Photonics: signs letters of intent with PCO and CRW Telesystem-Mesko POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 2Q25E preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth forecast (due on 11 September) • Short News (CDR)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EAT PW; DIA PW; WPS LN; CEZ CP; GTC PW; BELA GA; ACP PW; E...

HEADLINES: • AmRest: 2Q25 below expectations, due to weak France NEGATIVE • Diagnostyka: 2Q25 results slightly above expectations, but down qoq NEUTRAL • Eurowag: 2Q25 results – beat on the top line, EBITDA a small miss NEUTRAL • CEZ: ANO’s campaign platform calling for 100% nationalisation NEUTRAL • GTC: 2Q25 – bond refinancing critical • Jumbo: sales growth momentum intact in August, +8% in 8M25; tightens grip on opex POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL ...

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

European Oil and Gas Monthly: August 2025 – refining still buzzing

Brent crude oil prices declined USD 2.4/bbl vs. the previous month, to USD 67.2/bbl, due to OPEC+ quota increases. In July, OPEC production hit its highest level, again, since November 2023. Our benchmark margin fell by USD 1.7/bbl in August, to USD 12.6 /bbl, but is still very high. Most petrochemicals margins weakened further.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: GR Refiners; ACP PW; OPAP GA; TRESTATE GA; VRC PW; CBF PW;...

HEADLINES: • Greek Refiners: elevated margins, extended run (HELLENiQ Energy (HOLD) and Motor Oil Hellas (BUY) - transfer of coverage) • Asseco Poland: 2Q25 review – net profit up 33% yoy, 11% above the consensus; 2025 backlog up 9% yoy POSITIVE • OPAP: 2Q25 results – in line NEUTRAL • Trade Estates: 1H25 – FFO at EUR 10m, up 37% yoy POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • cyber_Folks/Shoper: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Shoper: 2Q25 earning...

George Grigoriou ... (+2)
  • George Grigoriou
  • Jonathan Lamb

Greek Refiners: elevated margins, extended run (HELLENiQ Energy (HOLD)...

Following a change in analyst responsibilities, we transfer coverage, and update our forecasts and outlook, of the Greek refiners, to reflect the recent upturn in the refining backdrop. We rate Motor Oil Hellas (MOH) a BUY, with an updated price target (PT) of EUR 31.5 (from EUR 25.8), and keep HELLENiQ Energy (ELPE) a HOLD, with an updated PT of EUR 8.8 (from EUR 7.6). The two Greek refiners offer a broadly similar compelling investment case and remain attractively valued on absolute terms, in ...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | First thoughts: Q2 in line, with more confidence for FY25 but i...

Q2 in line with c4-5% growth yoy, DPS €0.50 (EEe €0.60) – Q2’25 has settled broadly in sync with our expectations, with revenue and EBITDA growth decelerating to 5%/4% from c8% in Q2, owing to tough comps. With Joker having risen €18m yoy thanks to the jackpot rollovers (accounting for c2.4% group quarterly growth alone), we estimate other numerical games were -6% (cannibalized by Joker). Betting also turned negative at -2% from +13% in Q1 (tough comps), but this was more than offset by online c...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | First thoughts: Q2 in line, with more confidence for FY25 but i...

Q2 in line with c4-5% growth yoy, DPS €0.50 (EEe €0.60) – Q2’25 has settled broadly in sync with our expectations, with revenue and EBITDA growth decelerating to 5%/4% from c8% in Q2, owing to tough comps. With Joker having risen €18m yoy thanks to the jackpot rollovers (accounting for c2.4% group quarterly growth alone), we estimate other numerical games were -6% (cannibalized by Joker). Betting also turned negative at -2% from +13% in Q1 (tough comps), but this was more than offset by online c...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: INPST NA; GTC PW; AROBS RO; RO Macro; TL Macro; Greek Bank...

HEADLINES: • InPost: 2Q25 in line with expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance broadly maintained; domestic market recovery in 3Q POSITIVE • GTC: 2Q25 – bond refinancing critical • AROBS Transilvania Software: 2Q25 – trending up, despite continuing headwind from automotive vertical • Romania macro: fiscal consolidation effort moves forward, but politics remain jittery • Türkiye macro: 2Q GDP momentum points to a stronger 2025E outlook • Greek banks: commit an additional donation of EUR 75m each to s...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Poland – worst performer in August

EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...

PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
GPP CTP NV
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
4071 HELLENIQ ENERGY
ACAG ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
OPTIMAr ELM CO
AQ OPTIMA BANK S.A.
THEON AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIRA THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
ZAB BANK OF CYPRUS
ALPHA ZABKA GROUP
PE RO ALPHA BANK S.A.
PREMIER ENERGY
Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | Full House in 2025e, but 2026 is another question

The catalyst – Q2’25 results on 3rd Sep look poised to be a positive catalyst: although the numbers are not likely to impress (EE revenues/EBITDA +4% yoy, DPS €0.65) and mgt may abstain from raising the guidance, commentary on the Q3 outlook is likely to be upbeat, as indicated by latest data. This is because of another series of record jackpot rollovers, which have brought Q3 (to-date) Joker GGR >€40m yoy. This means that contrary to market expectations – which envisaged a c€25-30m headwind due...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OPAP | Full House in 2025e, but 2026 is another question

The catalyst – Q2’25 results on 3rd Sep look poised to be a positive catalyst: although the numbers are not likely to impress (EE revenues/EBITDA +4% yoy, DPS €0.65) and mgt may abstain from raising the guidance, commentary on the Q3 outlook is likely to be upbeat, as indicated by latest data. This is because of another series of record jackpot rollovers, which have brought Q3 (to-date) Joker GGR >€40m yoy. This means that contrary to market expectations – which envisaged a c€25-30m headwind due...

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