reports
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Indonesian Telcos Merger of XL Axiata and Smartfren
XL Axiata and Smartfren have announced their merger to form “XLSmart”, with a combined Enterprise Value of over IDR 104tn (US$ 6.5bn), implying a 4.6x LTM EV/EBITDA. The news is welcoming as it marks the final move in Indonesia’s mobile consolidation from a peak of eight players down to three.
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Gigi Cheuk
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum
- Jonathan Koh
- Kate Luang
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Malaysia Research Team
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Thailand Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, December 03, 2024
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Add Desay, Meituan, Mengniu, Tencent, and Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit from CATL. Update CR Mixc Lifestyle (1209 HK/BUY/HK$29.20/Target: HK$32.15) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. China Resources Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$23.25/Target:HK$32.40) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Regina Miracle (2199 HK/Not Rated/HK$2....
MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
CK CH. KARNCHANG PCL
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
PTT PTT PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
IRPC IRPC PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ESSO ESSO (THAILAND)
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
601668 CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING CORP. LTD. CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
TRUE TRUE CORP. PUBLIC CO. LTD.
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
CPALL TB CP ALL
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
SASSR SASSEUR REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
2199 REGINA MIRACLE INTERNATIONAL
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
ELITE ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
WHA TB WHA CORP PCL
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU PRIME US REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
CLCT CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
EXCL XL AXIATA (EXCELCOMINDO)
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
AL2SI 2CRSI SA
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
IOIPG IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
BRMI BOAT ROCKER MEDIA INC.
- Chris Hoare
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Colin Lee
- Gigi Cheuk
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jo Yee Ng
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Ming San Soong
- Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
- Paula Ruth
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, November 22, 2024
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up wow; NDRC indicates support for ICE-cars. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao Glass and Desay SV. IT Hardware Blackwell production ramp accelerating; brace for another year of robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$83.85/Target: HK$90.00) ...
ORI ORIGIN PROPERTY
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
MAG. MAG SILVER CORP.
ASM PACIFIC TECHNOLOGY LIMITED
AMATA AMATA CORP
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
SPRC STAR PETROLEUM REFINING
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
TRUE TRUE CORP. PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
CPALL TB CP ALL
UEMS UEM SUNRISE BHD
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
WHA TB WHA CORP PCL
601138 FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNET CO. LTD. CLASS A
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
09888 BAIDU INC
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
EXCL XL AXIATA (EXCELCOMINDO)
02423 XL AXIATA TBK PT
2232 KE HOLDINGS INC.
Z29 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
02015 029 GROUP SE
600699 LI AUTO INC
JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Reliance Industries (Neutral, TP: INR 3,400, +25%) Q2 FY25 Quick Take...
Reliance Industries posted results yesterday. Jio remained the bright spot as it benefited from the tariff hike effective since July. However, weaker O2C and Retail saw revenue decelerate whilst EBITDA was lower due to the fall in O2C product margins. Notwithstanding this, momentum is building up for Jio AirFiber as FWA additions accelerated and commentary suggests that Retail sales is picking up in October leading up to the festive period.
- Chris Hoare
EM Telcos Jio targeting doubling in size and 1m monthly adds for FWA ...
What's New: At Reliance Industries’ AGM last week, Jio announced 2 key things, and did not announce a 3rd: What was announced: 1. A doubling of Jio’s profitability in 3-4 years 2. Target of 1m FWA adds per month What was not announced: 1. A time line for Jio IPO Our thoughts and implications for the Indian & Global telco markets below
- Chris Hoare
Indonesian Telcos Q2 24 review: Continued margin expansion from XL an...
Indonesian telcos returned to a more sustainable pace of revenue growth, with EBITDA ahead of topline for XL and Indosat again. As a result, Indosat recorded its highest ever EBITDA margin whilst XL’s margin remained well ahead of guidance. For Telkomsel, enterprise accelerated with strong Indihome net additions but was marred by continued mobile revenue share dilution (although easing) as peers grabbed shares in ex-Java.
- Chris Hoare
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Ceilica Su Rui
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
- Jonathan Koh
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Leow Huey Chuen
- Paula Ruth
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Tham Mun Hon
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, June 11, 2024
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade May exports grew 7.6%; imports moderated. Sector Property Property prices further drop after 17 May 24 policy combo; effective implementation of policies crucial for market stabilisation. INDONESIA Sector Telecommunications Pos...
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
PTT PTT PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
IRPC IRPC PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ISAT INDOSAT
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TOWR PT SARANA MENARA NUSANTARA TBK
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
SCC SIAM CEMENT PUBLIC CO. LTD.
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
PTG PTG ENERGY
SPRC STAR PETROLEUM REFINING
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
SOP SARAWAK OIL PALMS BERHAD
KIML KIM LOONG RESOURCES BHD
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
IOI IOI CORP BHD
KLK KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BHD
GENP GENTING PLANTATIONS BHD
HAPL HAP SENG PLANTATIONS HOLDINGS BHD
OR PTT OIL & RETAIL BUSINESS PCL
EXCL XL AXIATA (EXCELCOMINDO)
688536 3PEAK INCORPORATED
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
MTEL IJ PT DAYAMITRA TELEKOMUNIKASI
Z29 029 GROUP SE
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Indonesian Telcos Q4 23 review: Strong execution from XL and Indosat;...
Despite Telkom being hit by a series of one-offs in Q4, industry mobile revenue and ARPU trends are still reflective of the benign competitive landscape. EBITDA also improved for both XL and Indosat, with capex intensity improved across the board. Moreover, recent news flow suggests that the XL and Smartfren merger is closer than before. Finally, we also raised our price target for Indosat to IDR12.5k from IDR11k as we layer on higher broadband revenue as it vies for share in the fixed industry.
- Chris Hoare
Indonesian Telcos Q1 23 review: Encouraging mobile outlook
Indonesian telcos saw another round of ARPU improvement, which drove mobile service revenue up by 4.6% YoY. Going into Q2, we expect further improvements given the price increases by XL and Indosat at end of Q1. EBITDA trend remains ahead of MSR growth; we believe Indosat and XL’s FY23 margin guidance appear conservative – mid-40% and 49% EBITDA margin respectively.
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
Indonesian Telcos Q4 22 review: Sustained growth, stay positive on Mo...
Indonesian telcos reported sustained ARPU growth in Q4, which drove mobile service revenue by 4.3% YoY. The series of price increases by all three, with the latest from XL bode well for Indonesian Mobile. EBITDA also improved in Q4 which makes Indosat and XL’s FY23 margin guidance appear conservative – mid-40% and 49% EBITDA margin respectively.
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
New Street: Indonesian Telcos Q3 22 review: Trends better, Telkom sti...
Indonesian operators saw better ARPU performance in Q3 as growth inflected through the series of price increases this year. Mobile service revenue sustained a 4.7% growth as ARPU growth helped offset the prepaid churn from Telkomsel’s SIM consolidation. Mobile EBITDA growth also improved for all three telcos.
- Chris Hoare
New Street: XL Axiata (Buy, TP: IDR 5,000, +97%) Feedback from small ...
We had another relatively bullish call yesterday evening Jakarta time with XL Axiata. XL (like Indosat) sees positive trends in Indonesian mobile, with prices likely to stabilise/recover going forward. We are buyers with a price target of IDR 5,000.
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
- Chris Hoare
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