What you need to know: • Metals kicked off 2025 with explosive gains, as gold (+12.3%), silver (+17.6%), and copper (+4.4%) surged to fresh highs before late-month pullbacks, all finishing January meaningfully higher MoM. • Mining equities extended their outperformance, with the GDX (+9.9%), GDXJ (+9.1%), SILJ (+13.3%), and COPX (+18.0%) outperforming broader indices (S&P 500 +1.6%, TSX +0.6%). • Critical minerals remained a key focus, with uranium (+24.1%) breaking out on nuclear restocking an...
What you need to know: • 2025 marked a decisive breakout for metals, with silver and gold delivering roughly 9x and 4x the YTD return compared to the S&P 500, capped by December highs that saw gold hit a new all-time high. • Mining equities extended their strength in December, with the GDX (+3.1%), GDXJ (+4.1%), SILJ (+7.5%), and COPX (+11.5%) outperforming broader indices (S&P 500 -0.1%, TSX +1.1%). • The macro backdrop remains supportive, with markets pricing in aggressive U.S. rate cuts, a ~...
Q4/25 capped off a strong finish to the year for Atrium Research, as supportive commodity price trends and improving small-cap sentiment continued to drive performance across our coverage universe. Our covered stocks increased 21% on average during Q4/25 and are now up 170% over the past year, materially outperforming the TSX and TSXV, which gained 6% and 45% during the quarter, respectively, and 28% and 61% on a YoY basis. Performance was broad-based, with several names delivering outsized retu...
What you need to know: • Gold held strong in the low-$4,000/oz range (rising at the end of the month), silver extended its rally with an 18.5% increase, while copper capped off the month above $5.25/lb. • Mining equities rebounded sharply in November, with the GDX (+15.5%), GDXJ (+16.6%), SILJ (+16.7%), and COPX (+4.1%) massively outperforming broader indices (S&P 500 +0.4%, TSX +3.8%). • Policy momentum improved as the U.S. added copper and silver to its critical minerals list, G20 leaders opp...
What you need to know: • Sailfish Royalty reported Q3 financial results, including revenue of $0.9M (vs. our estimate of $0.7M) and adjusted EBITDA of $0.4M (vs. our estimate of $0.2M). • Spring Valley continues to progress with Wheaton Precious Metals entering into a $670M stream on the project. This places a premium valuation onto FISH’s Spring Valley royalties compared to our model. • Mako Mining (MKO:TSXV) confirmed that Mount Hamilton is moving towards closing and guided for stronger produc...
What you need to know: • Gold reached new record highs above $4,300/oz before settling around $4,000/oz, while silver climbed for the sixth consecutive month. • Despite this rise in metal prices, mining equities underperformed, with the GDX down 5.7%, GDXJ down 5.5%, and SILJ down 7.3%, and COPX up 3.1%, compared to the S&P 500 (+2.5%) and TSX (+0.8%). • Geopolitical developments, including the U.S. $5B critical minerals fund, G7 stockpiling alliance, and Trump's new partnerships with Australi...
Q3/25 marked a particularly strong quarter for Atrium, as precious metal prices continued to rise rapidly, driving notable outperformance across our coverage. Our covered stocks increased 46% on average in Q3/25 and are up 227% over the past year, outperforming the TSX, which gained 12% during the quarter and 37% YoY, and TSXV, which gained 29% and 67%, respectively. This builds on the 27% increase from our coverage universe in Q2/25. Top performers from our coverage this quarter include Andean ...
What you need to know: • In September, gold rose 10.8% to approach $3,900/oz and silver surged 14.4% toward $46/oz, marking five straight months of gains. • Mining equities strongly outperformed, with GDX, GDXJ, SILJ, and COPX up 20.9%, 23.7%, 23.9%, and 20.1%, respectively, versus the S&P 500 (+3.4%) and TSX (+5.1%). • Sector momentum was reinforced by the Fed rate cut, record financing activity among juniors, and the announcement of the $53B Teck–Anglo American merger, the largest deal in ove...
What you need to know: • Sailfish Royalty announced that it has entered a binding term sheet with Mako Mining to acquire a five-year gold stream and a subsequent 2% NSR royalty on the permitted Mt. Hamilton Gold-Silver Project in Nevada. • The gold stream is for five years, whereby FISH will receive payments of $11.9M per year (at $3,300/oz Au), at which point the stream converts to a 2% NSR on all mineral production for the remaining LOM. • Mount Hamilton is an open-pit heap leach project whi...
What you need to know: • The metals and mining market saw a resurgence in August, reaching record highs, following a subpar couple of previous months. • In August, gold was up 5%, silver was up 7%, and copper was down 2%. The equities massively outperformed the commodities, with the GDX, GDXJ, SIL, and COPX up 22.2%, 24.6%, 22.9%, and 15.8%, respectively. • Sector multiples are beginning to expand as gold firmly holds above $3,000/oz and silver surpasses $40/oz. Sentiment Update The mining se...
What you need to know: • Sailfish Royalty reported Q2 financial results, including revenue of $0.7M (vs. our estimate of $0.8M) and adjusted EBITDA of $0.4M (vs. our estimate of $0.2M). • Spring Valley continues to advance towards production, receiving BLM approval for construction and operations last month. We remind readers that Spring Valley makes up a majority of our valuation for FISH. • We continue to believe FISH (or its Spring Valley royalty) will be acquired for a significant premium ov...
What you need to know: • The metals and mining market settled in July, following a tremendous run over the last six months. • In July, gold was down 1%, silver was up 2%, and copper down 13%. The equities underperformed the commodities, with the GDX, GDXJ, SIL, and COPX down 0.8%, 5.0%, 1.5%, and 4.2%, respectively. • Financings remained elevated during July, with various juniors raising funds as capital continues to trickle down. Sentiment Update The mining sector saw mixed sentiment in July,...
What you need to know: • Sailfish announced that the BLM has approved Solidus Resources (the operator) to construct and operate the Spring Valley Gold Project. • This marks the final approval for the construction and future operation of the project. • Mako reported strong production results in Q2, posting 10.9Koz of gold (vs. 11.5Koz expected) and 12.5Koz of silver (vs. 10.5Koz expected) • Given the advancement at Spring Valley, increased gold and silver prices, and continued M&A in the sector, ...
Quarterly Coverage Update Q2/25 was another strong quarter for Atrium, with continued outperformance from the precious metals space, once again led by silver equities. Our coverage universe climbed 27% on average during the quarter and is up 80% over the last year, compared to the TSX which rose 7% and 23%, respectively. This builds on the 13% gain from our coverage in Q1/25. Top performers include Santacruz Silver (+102%), Allegiant Gold (+79%) and Capitan Silver (+77%). Atrium Research was a...
What you need to know: • The mining sector posted another solid month in June with gold breaking its streak of gains but silver and copper performing well. This was led by increased geopolitical uncertainty, continued government spending, and potential for lower interest rates. • Gold was down 2%, silver was up 4%, and copper was up 5% compared to the GDX up 3%, GDXJ up 4%, SILJ up 12%, and COPX up 10%. • Financings remained strong in June led by a $200M equity raise for the Sprott Physical Uran...
What you need to know: • The metals and mining market continued its strong run in May, driven by inflationary concerns due to the trade war and geopolitical tensions. • In May, gold was up 1.8%, silver was up 1.7%, and copper was also up 1.7%. The equities outperformed the commodities, with the GDX up 3.3%, GDXJ up 6.4%, SIL up 5.9%, and COPX up 8.7%. • Financings remained elevated during May, with multiple juniors raising over $10M as generalist capital returns to the sector. • M&A activity con...
What you need to know: • Sailfish Royalty reported Q1 financial results including revenue of $0.6M and adjusted EBITDA of $0.3M. • Spring Valley continues to advance, most recently receiving an LOI for up to $835M in potential capital from the U.S. Export-Import Bank. • Mako reported strong drill results from San Albino, potentially expanding its mine life as well as from the El Golfo prospect within the El Jicaro concession, where Sailfish holds a 2% NSR. • We continue to believe FISH (or its S...
What you need to know: • The metals and mining market showed a fourth straight month of strong gains in April on the back of the escalating trade tensions. • In April, gold was up 5.6%, silver was down 4.2%, and copper was down 9.6%. The equities outperformed the commodities, with the GDX up 6.5%, GDXJ up 7.3%, and SIL up 3.3%. • Financings remained largely elevated during April, highlighting the institutional capital that has flowed into the mining sector recently. • M&A started to pick up agai...
What you need to know: • Sailfish Royalty reported Q4 and 2024 financial results that missed our estimates due to weak silver production from Mako Mining. • The Spring Valley Project is advancing ahead of schedule, and thus, we have pulled our first production start date forward by three quarters. Please refer to our Spring Valley Updates section. • Combining this with the takeout of Orogen Royalties by Triple Flag at 1.8x NAV, we are increasing our target multiple on FISH from 0.7x to 0.9x, ...
Quarterly Coverage Update Q1/25 represented another excellent quarter for our firm, with strong performance from our coverage universe. This mainly came from our exposure to precious metals, notably silver. Our coverage universe was up 13% during the quarter and 40% over the last year, compared to the TSX, which was up 0.1% and 12%, respectively. The performance in Q1 was led by Santacruz Silver (+80%), Omai Gold Mines (+80%), and Tocvan Ventures (+67%). We also proudly hosted another Investor ...
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