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Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: October Edition

What you need to know: • Gold reached new record highs above $4,300/oz before settling around $4,000/oz, while silver climbed for the sixth consecutive month. • Despite this rise in metal prices, mining equities underperformed, with the GDX down 5.7%, GDXJ down 5.5%, and SILJ down 7.3%, and COPX up 3.1%, compared to the S&P 500 (+2.5%) and TSX (+0.8%). • Geopolitical developments, including the U.S. $5B critical minerals fund, G7 stockpiling alliance, and Trump's new partnerships with Australi...

Ben Pirie ... (+3)
  • Ben Pirie
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

Q3/25 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!

Q3/25 marked a particularly strong quarter for Atrium, as precious metal prices continued to rise rapidly, driving notable outperformance across our coverage. Our covered stocks increased 46% on average in Q3/25 and are up 227% over the past year, outperforming the TSX, which gained 12% during the quarter and 37% YoY, and TSXV, which gained 29% and 67%, respectively. This builds on the 27% increase from our coverage universe in Q2/25. Top performers from our coverage this quarter include Andean ...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: September Edition

What you need to know: • In September, gold rose 10.8% to approach $3,900/oz and silver surged 14.4% toward $46/oz, marking five straight months of gains. • Mining equities strongly outperformed, with GDX, GDXJ, SILJ, and COPX up 20.9%, 23.7%, 23.9%, and 20.1%, respectively, versus the S&P 500 (+3.4%) and TSX (+5.1%). • Sector momentum was reinforced by the Fed rate cut, record financing activity among juniors, and the announcement of the $53B Teck–Anglo American merger, the largest deal in ove...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

FISH: Acquires Stream and NSR on Permitted Project in Nevada

What you need to know: • Sailfish Royalty announced that it has entered a binding term sheet with Mako Mining to acquire a five-year gold stream and a subsequent 2% NSR royalty on the permitted Mt. Hamilton Gold-Silver Project in Nevada. • The gold stream is for five years, whereby FISH will receive payments of $11.9M per year (at $3,300/oz Au), at which point the stream converts to a 2% NSR on all mineral production for the remaining LOM. • Mount Hamilton is an open-pit heap leach project whi...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: August Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market saw a resurgence in August, reaching record highs, following a subpar couple of previous months. • In August, gold was up 5%, silver was up 7%, and copper was down 2%. The equities massively outperformed the commodities, with the GDX, GDXJ, SIL, and COPX up 22.2%, 24.6%, 22.9%, and 15.8%, respectively. • Sector multiples are beginning to expand as gold firmly holds above $3,000/oz and silver surpasses $40/oz. Sentiment Update The mining se...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

FISH: Strong Q2 Financials; Poised for Takeout

What you need to know: • Sailfish Royalty reported Q2 financial results, including revenue of $0.7M (vs. our estimate of $0.8M) and adjusted EBITDA of $0.4M (vs. our estimate of $0.2M). • Spring Valley continues to advance towards production, receiving BLM approval for construction and operations last month. We remind readers that Spring Valley makes up a majority of our valuation for FISH. • We continue to believe FISH (or its Spring Valley royalty) will be acquired for a significant premium ov...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: July Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market settled in July, following a tremendous run over the last six months. • In July, gold was down 1%, silver was up 2%, and copper down 13%. The equities underperformed the commodities, with the GDX, GDXJ, SIL, and COPX down 0.8%, 5.0%, 1.5%, and 4.2%, respectively. • Financings remained elevated during July, with various juniors raising funds as capital continues to trickle down. Sentiment Update The mining sector saw mixed sentiment in July,...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

FISH: Spring Valley Approved for Production; Increasing Target

What you need to know: • Sailfish announced that the BLM has approved Solidus Resources (the operator) to construct and operate the Spring Valley Gold Project. • This marks the final approval for the construction and future operation of the project. • Mako reported strong production results in Q2, posting 10.9Koz of gold (vs. 11.5Koz expected) and 12.5Koz of silver (vs. 10.5Koz expected) • Given the advancement at Spring Valley, increased gold and silver prices, and continued M&A in the sector, ...

Ben Pirie ... (+3)
  • Ben Pirie
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

Q2/25 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!

Quarterly Coverage Update Q2/25 was another strong quarter for Atrium, with continued outperformance from the precious metals space, once again led by silver equities. Our coverage universe climbed 27% on average during the quarter and is up 80% over the last year, compared to the TSX which rose 7% and 23%, respectively. This builds on the 13% gain from our coverage in Q1/25. Top performers include Santacruz Silver (+102%), Allegiant Gold (+79%) and Capitan Silver (+77%). Atrium Research was a...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: June Edition

What you need to know: • The mining sector posted another solid month in June with gold breaking its streak of gains but silver and copper performing well. This was led by increased geopolitical uncertainty, continued government spending, and potential for lower interest rates. • Gold was down 2%, silver was up 4%, and copper was up 5% compared to the GDX up 3%, GDXJ up 4%, SILJ up 12%, and COPX up 10%. • Financings remained strong in June led by a $200M equity raise for the Sprott Physical Uran...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: May Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market continued its strong run in May, driven by inflationary concerns due to the trade war and geopolitical tensions. • In May, gold was up 1.8%, silver was up 1.7%, and copper was also up 1.7%. The equities outperformed the commodities, with the GDX up 3.3%, GDXJ up 6.4%, SIL up 5.9%, and COPX up 8.7%. • Financings remained elevated during May, with multiple juniors raising over $10M as generalist capital returns to the sector. • M&A activity con...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

FISH: Solid Q1; Catalyst-Rich Road Ahead

What you need to know: • Sailfish Royalty reported Q1 financial results including revenue of $0.6M and adjusted EBITDA of $0.3M. • Spring Valley continues to advance, most recently receiving an LOI for up to $835M in potential capital from the U.S. Export-Import Bank. • Mako reported strong drill results from San Albino, potentially expanding its mine life as well as from the El Golfo prospect within the El Jicaro concession, where Sailfish holds a 2% NSR. • We continue to believe FISH (or its S...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: April Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market showed a fourth straight month of strong gains in April on the back of the escalating trade tensions. • In April, gold was up 5.6%, silver was down 4.2%, and copper was down 9.6%. The equities outperformed the commodities, with the GDX up 6.5%, GDXJ up 7.3%, and SIL up 3.3%. • Financings remained largely elevated during April, highlighting the institutional capital that has flowed into the mining sector recently. • M&A started to pick up agai...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

FISH: Increasing Target Price on Spring Valley Advancement

What you need to know: • Sailfish Royalty reported Q4 and 2024 financial results that missed our estimates due to weak silver production from Mako Mining. • The Spring Valley Project is advancing ahead of schedule, and thus, we have pulled our first production start date forward by three quarters. Please refer to our Spring Valley Updates section. • Combining this with the takeout of Orogen Royalties by Triple Flag at 1.8x NAV, we are increasing our target multiple on FISH from 0.7x to 0.9x, ...

Ben Pirie ... (+3)
  • Ben Pirie
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

Q1/25 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!

Quarterly Coverage Update Q1/25 represented another excellent quarter for our firm, with strong performance from our coverage universe. This mainly came from our exposure to precious metals, notably silver. Our coverage universe was up 13% during the quarter and 40% over the last year, compared to the TSX, which was up 0.1% and 12%, respectively. The performance in Q1 was led by Santacruz Silver (+80%), Omai Gold Mines (+80%), and Tocvan Ventures (+67%). We also proudly hosted another Investor ...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: March Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market showed a third straight month of strong gains in March as investors moved into safe haven assets to protect from trade tensions and economic uncertainty. • In March, gold was up 3.4%, silver was up 0.8%, and copper was up 6.1%. The equities largely outperformed compared to the commodities, with the GDX up 15.7%, GDXJ up 17.6%, and SIL up 13.6%. • The Trump administration announced an executive order to increase American mineral production acr...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: February Edition

What you need to know: • After January’s strong gains in the metals and mining markets, February saw further growth across spot prices with the equities lagging due to cautious investor sentiment. • In February, gold hit all-time highs up 3.4%, silver was up 0.8%, and copper up 6.1%. The equities underperformed compared to the metals, with the GDX up 1.9%, GDXJ up 0.5%, and SIL up 0.3%. • British Columbia has launched a fast-track plan for 18 projects worth ~$20B, aiming to accelerate economic ...

Chris Thompson
  • Chris Thompson

eResearch Industry Report on Royalty and Streaming Companies

The mining royalty and streaming sector has become an increasingly attractive investment avenue for those seeking exposure to the mining industry. Royalty and streaming companies generate revenue by providing upfront capital in exchange for a percentage of future mine production or revenue. This business model allows them to benefit from long-term mine production without incurring the high costs and uncertainties associated with direct mine operations. Unlike traditional mining companies, royalt...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: January Edition

What you need to know: • Following two months of poor returns, the metals and mining market rose sharply in January as tariff uncertainties rose and the treasury yields decreased. • In January, gold was up 6%, silver was up 7%, and copper was up 7%. The equities exhibited leverage to the commodity price increases, with the GDX up 16%, GDXJ up 15%, and SILJ up 10%. • Donald Trump introduced the “Unleashing American Energy” executive order, urging agencies to review regulatory policies for oil, na...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: December Edition

What you need to know: • Following the poor performance in the mining sector after the election of Donald Trump in November, gold and precious metals continued to struggle with the mining equities particularly struggling. Despite this, gold and silver closed out the year up 27.4% and 22.2%, respectively. • Mining equities performed negatively in December with the GDX down 9.9%, GDXJ down 10.3%, SIL down 12.4%, and COPX down 10.3%. • Financings were elevated in December as companies look to cl...

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