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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

OpenAI now generates 100bn words per day. Our take.

Sam Altman said on Friday that OpenAI now generates 100bn words per day. How does that compare to our uniquely deep and robust model of AI infrastructure? How does that fit with the growth we model in our AI bull case?

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Market Regulations: TSE Prime Market Directive

Pelham Smithers discusses issues that a rise for Japanese corporates with the TSE upping the ante on corporate behaviour and disclosure as Prime and Standard markets bifurcate.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Next steps for Softbank: Buyback, investment in generative A.I… or bot...

Last Thursday marked Arm's return to the public market. In this note, we discuss the implications of the IPO for SoftBank Group, which retains a 90% stake in Arm. We also discuss the likely next steps for SoftBank and our view on the stock.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Arm: Bringing it together ahead of the IPO

We gather in today’s report the latest version of all the materials we have published on Arm in recent weeks and presented to investors in webcasts. We summarize our final view ahead of the IPO in 3 main points: Arm has a high-quality financial model; It’s a good time for Arm to IPO; The IPO is at an attractive valuation as we see 17 – 27% upside on a one-year horizon.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Global Semiconductors: Opportunities & Risks from the AI Chip Boom

This report looks at the potential for the AI chip market and at who the winners and losers might be.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Arm IPO range of $50 – 54bn is attractive valuation – One-year target ...

The press reported over the weekend SoftBank is seeking a $50-54bn valuation for Arm.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tokyo Electron bullish semicap, GPU supply constraints, Lyft, smartpho...

As always, during earnings season, we start the week with a wrap-up of what happened in the previous week.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

SoftBank 1FQ23: All eyes on ARM.

SoftBank Group published its 1FQ23 results this morning.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Softbank Corp (Buy, TP: ¥2,200, +40%) Q1 23 Quick Take: Encouraging q...

Softbank Corp reported a strong operating income beat by 4.9%, driven by Media & EC (previously Yahoo! Japan/Line) and Consumer. Group revenue was in-line while Consumer mobile revenue decline eased further and is expected to bottom this year.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

SoftBank: How could the ARM IPO affect the stock? Buy, ¥7,200

ARM is one of the strongest franchises in the semiconductor industry and is currently on a double-digit growth trajectory, benefiting from share gains and the ramp of the new v9 architecture. SoftBank Group is planning to take ARM public later this year. We see a $50bn valuation justified, and the IPO should be a material catalyst for SoftBank.

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