A director at Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT bought 126,700 shares at 3,857.440IDR and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the...
After the JCI’s strong outperformance in 2022, investors believe that the index is likely to underperform in 2023 against the MSCI Asia Pacific. We view 2023 as a stock picking environment for investing in the JCI. The ban on premarital sex is a step back for Indonesia. Investors are intrigued by the potential presidential candidacy of Ganjar Pranowo. We disagree with the hypothesis that China relaxing its zero-COVID policy will cause commodity prices to rise further. Our top five BUYS are BBRI,...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls: The positive sentiment on the economic reopening may carry over into December and limit the extent of any consolidation. We are adding more beneficiaries of the reopening and policy easing. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformed The JCI by 3.7%: Our picks: ROTI, BBRI, BBNI, SMGR, TLKM, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Rejoining The Global Equity Uptrend: Nov 22 Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI. Dec 22 picks: ...
Our portfolio once again outperformed in Nov 22 with a 2.6% return compared with the JCI’s -1.1%. MAPI once again delivered the largest gain with a 19.5% rise. BBRI came in second with a 6.2% gain and BBNI was third with a 4.5% gain. Out of the seven names in our portfolio, only TLKM and SMGR recorded negative returns in Nov 22 with -8.8% and -5.3% returns. Our portfolio has done well and has outperformed since 1Q22. Our picks areROTI, BBRI, BBNI, SMGR, TLKM, KLBF and MAPI.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls: Equities would stay volatile in November, as reopening hopes play out against falling global dollar liquidity. We keep SELLs on our list, and add defensives and reopening beneficiaries. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Another Month Of Outperformance: Our picks: ROTI, BBRI, BBNI, SMGR, TLKM, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Positioning For A More Risk-On Sentiment: Oct 22 Alpha Picks underperformed the FBMKLCI. Nov 22 p...
Our portfolio outperformed in Oct 22 with a 4.4% return compared with the JCI’s -1.6%. MAPI recorded the biggest return at 11.2%, followed by KLBF with 9.6% and BMRI with 9.5%. Positive returns were also recorded by ENAK (+5.0%), SMGR (+3.6%) and BBNI (+2.3%). We have dropped BMRI as its valuation is now near +2SD P/B and it has delivered a total 54% return since its inclusion, as well as ENAK due to its weak 3Q22 results. We replace BMRI with BBRI which has a more attractive valuation. Our pick...
Strategy: Alpha Picks: Another Month Of Outperformance: Our picks: ROTI, BBRI, BBNI, SMGR, TLKM, KLBF and MAPI. Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ/BUY/ Rp2,330/ Target: Rp2,600): 3Q22: Reduction of advertising cost translates to 236.8% yoy growth in NPAT. Upgrade to BUY. TRADERS’ CORNER Elang Mahkota Teknologi (EMTK IJ): Technical BUY Merdeka Copper Gold (MDKA IJ): Technical BUY
Our portfolio outpaced the JCI in Sep 22 and delivered a 3.8% increase compared to the JCI’s 4.2% decline. SMGR rose 11.5%, KLBF rose by 9.7% and BMRI rose 6.4%. MAPI continued to be strong and rose 5.8%. For 3Q22, our portfolio rose by 10.5% compared to the JCI’s 1.9% and it has beaten the JCI for the past three consecutive quarters using the market cap weighted method that mirrors the JCI. Our picks: ROTI, ENAK, BMRI, BBNI, SMGR, TLKM, KLBF and MAPI.
Adding up the bottom-up NPAT recorded by 637 names in the JCI, we found that JCI’s NPAT rose 50.5% in 2Q22 and 68.7% in 1H22. Due to the higher base in 2H21, the JCI’s NPAT growth in 2H22 should be lower than that in 1H22. The transport, oil & gas and coal sectors recorded the highest NPAT growth in 1H22. For 2023, infrastructure, technology, cement, consumer and retail will be the sectors with the highest NPAT growth. Our picks: MAPI, LPPF, ERAA, ROTI, SMGR, INTP, JSMR, BUKA and BBNI.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: We expect increased market volatility with downside bias in Sep 22. Add Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance in Aug 22: Our picks: ENAK, UNVR, BMRI, BBNI, SMGR, TLKM, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Some Opportunities Despite Risk-Off: Aug 22 Alpha Picks performed in line with FBMKLCI. Sep 22 picks: Alliance Bank, GENM, MyEG, Press Metal, Sunway REIT, VS Industry and Yinson. SINGAP...
Our portfolio outperformed in Aug 22 with a 3.9% return compared with the JCI’s 2.9% return. Due to its strong 1H22 results, MAPI rose 10.1% in Aug 22 and its valuation is still below -1SD PE. BBNI, TLKM and BMRI also rose 7.3%, 5.8% and 4.5% respectively. We believe banks, telcos and retail names could appreciate immediately. We are maintaining our portfolio for this month. Our picks: ENAK, UNVR, BMRI, BBNI, SMGR, TLKM, KLBF and MAPI.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: We see further risks of a market pullback from growing macro uncertainties and switch to a defensive bias in August. Add AIA, CTGDF, CR Land, and Kweichow Moutai to our BUY list, Ganfeng Lithium, Tinci Materials, Henlius and Sinopharm to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Add ENAK To Our Selection: Our picks: ENAK, UNVR, BMRI, BBNI, SMGR, TLKM, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Capitalising On More Risk-On Sen...
Our portfolio underperformed in Jul 22 with a -1.7% return compared with the JCI’s 1% return. TLKM is the biggest gainer with a 6.2% return while MAPI is the biggest loser with an 8.7% drop. Banks rebounded from their lows and both BBNI and BMRI delivered positive returns in Jul 22. Our cement pick SMGR did not do well as it dropped 8% in Jul 22. We add ENAK to our portfolio as we foresee a strong recovery in sales and profitability. Our picks: ENAK, UNVR, BMRI, BBNI, SMGR, TLKM, KLBF and MAPI.
With the US Fed raising the rate by 75bp, we think fund flows could reverse outwards, causing market volatility. The market could bottom at 6,800 if foreign investors reduce their positions, and then rebound to 7,200 and reach 7,400 by end-22. Our screening found the consumer and cement sectors to be attractively valued. Telecommunication names mostly trade below historical PE. Our picks: UNVR, ICBP, ROTI, SMGR, INTP, TLKM, TOWR, ACES, ERAA, MAPI.
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