Consumption during the CNY demonstrated a satisfactory momentum. Daily average sales revenue of consumer-related industries grew 11% yoy, with the home appliances and furnishing category recording the highest growth rate. Domestic tourism per capita spending increased 1% yoy and recovered to 95% of 2019’s level, and Hainan DF per capita spending rose 4% yoy. Macau visitations recovered to 95% of 2019’s level. In the China consumer space, we prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands Ch...
We do not expect a strong consumption momentum for the upcoming CNY holiday, but expect home appliance, Macau gaming, movie and retail to be the bright spots. We prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands in China’s consumer space.
GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: The three major airlines’ 2024 preliminary earnings estimates were below expectations – still loss-making. Healthcare TCM: GPO price pressure continues to cloud 2025’s growth outlook. Consumer CNY preview: Expect home appli...
Jonjee’s core net profit increased by 28% yoy in 3Q24, with condiment revenue back to a positive growth trajectory, as channel adjustment began bearing fruit. Looking ahead, we expect revenue growth to accelerate in 4Q24, supported by: a) distributors’ early restocking for the Chinese New Year, b) a low base effect, and c) price hike benefits. Maintain BUY and raise target price by 5% to Rmb28.40.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Internet The key concerns of investors include the sustainability of the recent rally and potential fundamental changes upon policy rollout. We think a valuation repair is underway with the upcoming 11.11 campaign and 3Q/4Q24 results release as a critical juncture. Investors are also becoming increasingly optimistic on mega-cap names such as Tencent, Meituan, Alibaba and JD in view of a favourable regulatory backdrop and stabilised competitive environment. Maintain MARK...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet: Key takeaways from marketing trip. Results ENN Energy Holdings (2688 HK/HOLD/HK$57.90/Target: HK$58.40): 3Q24 operational data: Largely in line with guidance; 9M24 retail gas sales up 4.8% yoy. Great Wall Motor (2333 HK/BUY/HK$14.38/Target: HK$23.00): 3Q24: Earnings in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$23.00. Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial & Commercial (600872 CH/BUY/Rmb23.87/Target: Rmb28.40): 3Q24: Channel adjustment is bearing fruit; expect revenue ...
China consumer stocks under our coverage have rebounded by 33% on average since end-Sep 24, but current valuations are still undemanding. With direct policy support and a potential wealth effect, we believe China consumers are restoring their confidence. China consumer companies should see better earnings visibility in 2024, which should support further re-rating. We suggest investors refocus on the China theme in the near term. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Mengniu and Midea. Maintai...
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...
For Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, tourism, duty-free shopping and home appliance consumption were the bright spots. Domestic tourism and duty-free shopping had the strongest recovery among mini breaks this year. For the home appliance sector, trade-in policies are beginning to stimulate consumer demand. We prefer companies that: a) are disciplined in business operation; b) have good prospects in overseas business; and c) maintain healthy inventories. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea...
Jonjee’s core net profit decreased 32% yoy in 2Q24. Meiweixian's revenue declined due to channel inventory pressure, bad weather, and the ongoing channel reform. However, Meiweixian's net margin improved by 3.0ppt yoy thanks to lower raw material costs and operational efficiency. Management remains focused on its core business, aiming for Meiweixian to achieve revenue of Rmb10b and operating profit of >Rmb1.5b by 2026. Maintain BUY but lower target price by 25% to Rmb27.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations rebounded by 17% yoy and 6% wow to 471,000 units in 29 Jul-4 Aug 24, beating expectations on increased subsidies. However, Li Auto and Xpeng saw wow sales decline during the week. PEV market share edged up 0.6ppt wow to 48.4% last week, but exceeded 50% in Jul 24, the first time ever on a monthly basis. China’s auto exports grew 19% yoy but fell 14% mom in Jun 24. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Desay SV. Top SELL...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound by 17% yoy on increased subsidies. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Desay SV. Top SELL: XPeng. Shipping and Ports: Freight rates peaked but forward decline is priced in. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT and upgraded CSH to BUY. Results Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial & Commercial (600872 CH/BUY/Rmb19.80/Target: Rmb27.00): 2Q24: Results miss expectations; condiment business under pressure. Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH/BUY/Rmb1,430.69/Target: Rmb2,...
2024’s 618 overall GMV was down by 7% yoy. By channel, livestreaming platforms continued to gain momentum, with GMV up 12% yoy, while the cosmetics category saw a significant shift towards livestreaming platforms. By brand, domestic cosmetics and sportswear brands recorded strong performances. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China’s consumer sector.
During the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, consumer services, experiential spending (eg tourism) and lower-tier cities continued to lead the growth. For China’s consumer sector, we keep Anta, CTGDF, Haidilao, Haier and Shenzhou as our most preferred stocks. At the same time, we add Miniso but remove CR Beer and Midea from the stock picks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China’s consumer sector.
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Dragon Boat Festival: Consumer services, experiential spending, and lower-tier cities lead growth. INDONESIA Update Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/HOLD/Rp4,300/Target: Rp4,300) Issuance of new shares to complete the divestment process. MALAYSIA Sector Telecommunications 1Q24 earnings up 14% yoy on the back ...
During the Labour Day holiday, tourism and catering continued to record strong performances, while DF per capita spending showed a downward trend. We reiterate our key theses for the consumer sector, highlighting companies with: a) overseas expansion or turnaround prospects, b) upside potential of improving operating efficiency, or c) near-term catalysts. We keep Anta, CR Beer, CTGDF, Haidilao, Haier, Midea and Shenzhou as our most preferred stocks, but remove Galaxy from the stock picks. Mainta...
1Q24 earnings ran ahead of our full-year estimate due to higher-than-expected gross margin expansion, which we attribute to product mix upgrade and lower raw material costs. We remain optimistic on Jonjee’s operating efficiency in 2024, given the low base, clear strategic goals by the new management team which is vastly experienced, as well as gross margin expansion. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of Rmb36.10.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy China And Hong Kong Property A comparison between H-REITs and C-REITs. Results China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH/BUY/Rmb71.72/Target: Rmb106.20) 1Q24: Core profit grew 0.2% yoy; inventories improving; expect further gross margin expansion. iFlytek (002230 CH/HOLD/Rmb41.97/Target: Rmb40.00) FY23 and 1Q24: Earnings missed; dividend of Rmb1.00 for every 10 shares. Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial & Commercial (600872 CH/BUY/Rmb27.55/Target: Rmb36.10) 1Q24: Results abov...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property A comparison between H-REITs and C-REITs. Results China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH/BUY/Rmb71.72/Target: Rmb106.20) 1Q24: Core profit grew 0.2% yoy; inventories improving; expect further gross margin expansion. iFlytek (002230 CH/HOLD/Rmb41.97/Target: Rmb40.00) FY23 and 1Q24: Earnings missed; dividend of Rmb1.00 for every 10 shares. Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial & C...
In this report, we have summarised what we read from consumer companies’ 2023 results, the 2024 outlook and recent updates. We think companies: a) with overseas expansion or turnaround prospects, b) that have upside potential of improving operating efficiency, c) that will benefit from near-term catalysts (eg event-driven), and d) have increasing dividend payout will outperform. Anta, CR Beer, CTGDF, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea and Shenzhou are our most preferred stocks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.