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Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Satisfactory consumption momentum during CNY.

Consumption during the CNY demonstrated a satisfactory momentum. Daily average sales revenue of consumer-related industries grew 11% yoy, with the home appliances and furnishing category recording the highest growth rate. Domestic tourism per capita spending increased 1% yoy and recovered to 95% of 2019’s level, and Hainan DF per capita spending rose 4% yoy. Macau visitations recovered to 95% of 2019’s level. In the China consumer space, we prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands Ch...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+15)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, January 27, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: The three major airlines’ 2024 preliminary earnings estimates were below expectations – still loss-making. Healthcare TCM: GPO price pressure continues to cloud 2025’s growth outlook. Consumer CNY preview: Expect home appli...

02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
600872 JONJEE HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HOLDING CO. LTD. CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
5162 VSTECS
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
AD2 AIR CHINA LIMITED CLASS H
1055 CHINA SOUTHERN AIRLINES COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
0670 CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS H
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
CAB CARLSBERG BREWERY MALAYSIA B
CPALL TB CP ALL
2877 CHINA SHINEWAY PHARMACEUTICA
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
2209 YESASIA HOLDINGS LTD
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
VST VSTECS BHD
Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial & Commercial (600872 CH): 3Q24: Channel adju...

Jonjee’s core net profit increased by 28% yoy in 3Q24, with condiment revenue back to a positive growth trajectory, as channel adjustment began bearing fruit. Looking ahead, we expect revenue growth to accelerate in 4Q24, supported by: a) distributors’ early restocking for the Chinese New Year, b) a low base effect, and c) price hike benefits. Maintain BUY and raise target price by 5% to Rmb28.40.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+8)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Monday, October 28, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Internet The key concerns of investors include the sustainability of the recent rally and potential fundamental changes upon policy rollout. We think a valuation repair is underway with the upcoming 11.11 campaign and 3Q/4Q24 results release as a critical juncture. Investors are also becoming increasingly optimistic on mega-cap names such as Tencent, Meituan, Alibaba and JD in view of a favourable regulatory backdrop and stabilised competitive environment. Maintain MARK...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+13)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, October 28, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Internet: Key takeaways from marketing trip. Results ENN Energy Holdings (2688 HK/HOLD/HK$57.90/Target: HK$58.40): 3Q24 operational data: Largely in line with guidance; 9M24 retail gas sales up 4.8% yoy. Great Wall Motor (2333 HK/BUY/HK$14.38/Target: HK$23.00): 3Q24: Earnings in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$23.00. Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial & Commercial (600872 CH/BUY/Rmb23.87/Target: Rmb28.40): 3Q24: Channel adjustment is bearing fruit; expect revenue ...

Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: Golden Week -- Tourism and home appliances the...

China consumer stocks under our coverage have rebounded by 33% on average since end-Sep 24, but current valuations are still undemanding. With direct policy support and a potential wealth effect, we believe China consumers are restoring their confidence. China consumer companies should see better earnings visibility in 2024, which should support further re-rating. We suggest investors refocus on the China theme in the near term. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Mengniu and Midea. Maintai...

Jonathan Koh ... (+9)
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, October 09, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...

02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
002230 IFLYTEK CO. LTD. CLASS A
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
600872 JONJEE HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HOLDING CO. LTD. CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
MUST MANULIFE US REAL ESTATE INV
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
2013 WEIMOB INC
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
OXMU PRIME US REIT
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
TSVT 2SEVENTY BIO INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
Z29 029 GROUP SE
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
ITMAX ITMAX SYSTEMS BHD
Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: Mid-Autumn Festival: Strongest tourism and dut...

For Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, tourism, duty-free shopping and home appliance consumption were the bright spots. Domestic tourism and duty-free shopping had the strongest recovery among mini breaks this year. For the home appliance sector, trade-in policies are beginning to stimulate consumer demand. We prefer companies that: a) are disciplined in business operation; b) have good prospects in overseas business; and c) maintain healthy inventories. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial & Commercial (600872 CH): 2Q24: Results miss...

Jonjee’s core net profit decreased 32% yoy in 2Q24. Meiweixian's revenue declined due to channel inventory pressure, bad weather, and the ongoing channel reform. However, Meiweixian's net margin improved by 3.0ppt yoy thanks to lower raw material costs and operational efficiency. Management remains focused on its core business, aiming for Meiweixian to achieve revenue of Rmb10b and operating profit of >Rmb1.5b by 2026. Maintain BUY but lower target price by 25% to Rmb27.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+6)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Ken Lee
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Friday, August 9, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations rebounded by 17% yoy and 6% wow to 471,000 units in 29 Jul-4 Aug 24, beating expectations on increased subsidies. However, Li Auto and Xpeng saw wow sales decline during the week. PEV market share edged up 0.6ppt wow to 48.4% last week, but exceeded 50% in Jul 24, the first time ever on a monthly basis. China’s auto exports grew 19% yoy but fell 14% mom in Jun 24. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Desay SV. Top SELL...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+13)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Paula Ruth
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, August 09, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound by 17% yoy on increased subsidies. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Desay SV. Top SELL: XPeng. Shipping and Ports: Freight rates peaked but forward decline is priced in. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT and upgraded CSH to BUY. Results Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial & Commercial (600872 CH/BUY/Rmb19.80/Target: Rmb27.00): 2Q24: Results miss expectations; condiment business under pressure. Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH/BUY/Rmb1,430.69/Target: Rmb2,...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: 618 overall GMV down 7% yoy. Channel shift to livestre...

2024’s 618 overall GMV was down by 7% yoy. By channel, livestreaming platforms continued to gain momentum, with GMV up 12% yoy, while the cosmetics category saw a significant shift towards livestreaming platforms. By brand, domestic cosmetics and sportswear brands recorded strong performances. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China’s consumer sector.

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Dragon Boat Festival: Consumer services, experiential ...

During the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, consumer services, experiential spending (eg tourism) and lower-tier cities continued to lead the growth. For China’s consumer sector, we keep Anta, CTGDF, Haidilao, Haier and Shenzhou as our most preferred stocks. At the same time, we add Miniso but remove CR Beer and Midea from the stock picks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China’s consumer sector.

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+10)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, June 12, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Dragon Boat Festival: Consumer services, experiential spending, and lower-tier cities lead growth. INDONESIA Update Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/HOLD/Rp4,300/Target: Rp4,300) Issuance of new shares to complete the divestment process. MALAYSIA Sector Telecommunications 1Q24 earnings up 14% yoy on the back ...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Tourism and catering strong performances during the La...

During the Labour Day holiday, tourism and catering continued to record strong performances, while DF per capita spending showed a downward trend. We reiterate our key theses for the consumer sector, highlighting companies with: a) overseas expansion or turnaround prospects, b) upside potential of improving operating efficiency, or c) near-term catalysts. We keep Anta, CR Beer, CTGDF, Haidilao, Haier, Midea and Shenzhou as our most preferred stocks, but remove Galaxy from the stock picks. Mainta...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial & Commercial Page 10 (600872 CH): 1Q24: Resu...

1Q24 earnings ran ahead of our full-year estimate due to higher-than-expected gross margin expansion, which we attribute to product mix upgrade and lower raw material costs. We remain optimistic on Jonjee’s operating efficiency in 2024, given the low base, clear strategic goals by the new management team which is vastly experienced, as well as gross margin expansion. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of Rmb36.10.

Damon Shen ... (+11)
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, April 24, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy China And Hong Kong Property A comparison between H-REITs and C-REITs. Results China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH/BUY/Rmb71.72/Target: Rmb106.20) 1Q24: Core profit grew 0.2% yoy; inventories improving; expect further gross margin expansion. iFlytek (002230 CH/HOLD/Rmb41.97/Target: Rmb40.00) FY23 and 1Q24: Earnings missed; dividend of Rmb1.00 for every 10 shares. Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial & Commercial (600872 CH/BUY/Rmb27.55/Target: Rmb36.10) 1Q24: Results abov...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+21)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, April 24, 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property A comparison between H-REITs and C-REITs. Results China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH/BUY/Rmb71.72/Target: Rmb106.20) 1Q24: Core profit grew 0.2% yoy; inventories improving; expect further gross margin expansion. iFlytek (002230 CH/HOLD/Rmb41.97/Target: Rmb40.00) FY23 and 1Q24: Earnings missed; dividend of Rmb1.00 for every 10 shares. Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial & C...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Focus on four key theses for the sector.

In this report, we have summarised what we read from consumer companies’ 2023 results, the 2024 outlook and recent updates. We think companies: a) with overseas expansion or turnaround prospects, b) that have upside potential of improving operating efficiency, c) that will benefit from near-term catalysts (eg event-driven), and d) have increasing dividend payout will outperform. Anta, CR Beer, CTGDF, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea and Shenzhou are our most preferred stocks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

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