reports
- Thijs Berkelder
- Usama Tariq
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - Date1
We initiate coverage of Heijmans, a contractor focused on the Dutch market, with an Outperform rating and a TP of € 36.5 (DCF based). The Dutch residential market is finally recovering, and we believe Heijmans is well-positioned to benefit due to its land bank and property development arm, driving up revenues while EBITDA margins are expected to exceed 8.5% in the Living unit. Heijmans is also benefitting from strong demand from the infrastructure and energy markets, allowing for soli...
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
GBF BILFINGER SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
SDF K+S AG
NEX NEXANS SA
IDIP INSTITUT DE DEVELOPPEMENT INDUSTRIEL SCA
ADN1 ADESSO AG
GNFT GENFIT SA
PAT PATRIZIA AG
SAX STROEER SE & CO. KGAA
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
ASS APPLUS SERVICES S.A.
S92 SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG
CLA CLARANOVA SE
SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
KTA KNAUS TABBERT
UPG UNIFIEDPOST GROUP
DEME DEME GROUP NV
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- Thijs Berkelder
- Usama Tariq
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/14/2024
We initiate coverage of Heijmans, a contractor focused on the Dutch market, with an Outperform rating and a TP of € 36.5 (DCF based). The Dutch residential market is finally recovering, and we believe Heijmans is well-positioned to benefit due to its land bank and property development arm, driving up revenues while EBITDA margins are expected to exceed 8.5% in the Living unit. Heijmans is also benefitting from strong demand from the infrastructure and energy markets, allowing for soli...
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
GBF BILFINGER SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
SDF K+S AG
NEX NEXANS SA
IDIP INSTITUT DE DEVELOPPEMENT INDUSTRIEL SCA
ADN1 ADESSO AG
GNFT GENFIT SA
PAT PATRIZIA AG
SAX STROEER SE & CO. KGAA
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
ASS APPLUS SERVICES S.A.
JST JOST WERKE AG
S92 SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG
CLA CLARANOVA SE
SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
KTA KNAUS TABBERT
UPG UNIFIEDPOST GROUP
DEME DEME GROUP NV
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- Luis de Toledo Heras
Navigator : Diversifying from stronger roots. Upgrading to Outperform
>Upgrading to Outperform on better financial performance and valuation gap - We are upgrading our recommendation on Navigator from Neutral to Outperform and raising our TP from € 4.5 to € 5.0 (+11%: DCF, 7.5x implied EV/ EBITDA 2025e). Navigator’s share price has barely changed in 2024 despite the expected improvement in results and operating margins (EBITDA margin of 27.5% in 9M 2024 vs 25.7% in 2023) and their limited volatility across quarters thanks to the resili...
- Luis de Toledo Heras
ATO ATOS SE
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
MF WENDEL SE
EXE EXEL INDUSTRIES SA
BIO BB BIOTECH AG
MERY MERCIALYS SA
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
CGM CEGEDIM SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
FII LISI SA
GBT GUERBET SA
ATE ALTEN SA
FR VALEO SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
MBWS MARIE BRIZARD WINE & SPIRITS SA
VID VIDRALA SA
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
VIS VISCOFAN S.A.
MONT MONTEA SCA
SIGHT GENSIGHT BIOLOGICS SA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
LFDE LA FRANCAISE DE L'ENERGIE SA
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
- Luis de Toledo Heras
ATO ATOS SE
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
MF WENDEL SE
EXE EXEL INDUSTRIES SA
BIO BB BIOTECH AG
MERY MERCIALYS SA
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
CGM CEGEDIM SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
FII LISI SA
GBT GUERBET SA
ATE ALTEN SA
FR VALEO SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
MBWS MARIE BRIZARD WINE & SPIRITS SA
VID VIDRALA SA
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
VIS VISCOFAN S.A.
MONT MONTEA SCA
SIGHT GENSIGHT BIOLOGICS SA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
LFDE LA FRANCAISE DE L'ENERGIE SA
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
- Luis de Toledo Heras
Navigator : Results in line with estimates, business model strengthene...
>Operating results in line with estimates, net profit slightly above - Navigator’s 9M 2024 results came out in line with our estimates with sales up by +7.4% and EBITDA up by +c.15% (-0.2% and +0.2% vs ODDOe respectively) and EBITDA margin of 27.5% (up 170bp on 9M 2023 and in line with our 27.4% estimate). Results reflect the traditional seasonal slowdown in paper demand (lower pulp/paper integration) and the declining trend in paper prices which explain the contracti...
- Nicolas David
ODDO : Iberian Forum – Day 2
We hosted our 4th ODDO BHF Iberian Forum on the 1st and 2nd of October 2024, virtually. In total, 63 companies were present. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback from the companies on day 2. - >ACS (=): good operating momentum maintained, Abertis and its dividends on the front page - Atresmedia (=): Q3 should be challenging but outlook reiterated - Befesa (=): zinc prices held up well, offsetting the negative impact of maintenance on Q3 volumes - CaixaBank ...
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
MAP MAPFRE SA
ENC ENCE ENERGIA Y CELULOSA SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
BFSA BEFESA SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
FER FERROVIAL SA
- Baptiste Salaville
- Fehmi Ben Naamane
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Marc Lavaud
- Oddo Sustainability Team
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 23/07/2024
Oerlikon, leader in attractive niche markets with technology entry barriers, is about to enter the final chapter of its group transition into a Surface Solutions pure play via the planned separation of Polymer Processing Solutions (OPP) in the next 12-36 months. After the strong performance YTD, we are seeing no further significant upside from here for now. We are rating Oerlikon’s shares Neutral with a TP of CHF 5.2. - ...
DKSH DKSH HOLDING AG
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
EXE EXEL INDUSTRIES SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
ITP INTERPARFUMS
BEN BENETEAU SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
SHA SCHAEFFLER AG
DLG DE'LONGHI S.P.A.
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
SHOT SCANDIC HOTELS GROUP
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
MEL MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL S.A.
NHH NH HOTEL GROUP SA
ALM ALMIRALL SA
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
VTSC VITESCO TECHNOLOGIES GRP AG
- Baptiste Salaville
- Fehmi Ben Naamane
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Marc Lavaud
- Oddo Sustainability Team
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 07/23/2024
Oerlikon, leader in attractive niche markets with technology entry barriers, is about to enter the final chapter of its group transition into a Surface Solutions pure play via the planned separation of Polymer Processing Solutions (OPP) in the next 12-36 months. After the strong performance YTD, we are seeing no further significant upside from here for now. We are rating Oerlikon’s shares Neutral with a TP of CHF 5.2. - ...
DKSH DKSH HOLDING AG
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
EXE EXEL INDUSTRIES SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
ITP INTERPARFUMS
BEN BENETEAU SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
SHA SCHAEFFLER AG
DLG DE'LONGHI S.P.A.
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
SHOT SCANDIC HOTELS GROUP
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
MEL MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL S.A.
NHH NH HOTEL GROUP SA
ALM ALMIRALL SA
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
VTSC VITESCO TECHNOLOGIES GRP AG
- Luis de Toledo Heras
Navigator : Strong results driven by outstanding efficiency and higher...
>EBITDA above estimates on strong cost efficiency - Strong results, significantly above our estimates (+18% in Q2 2024 EBITDA, +9% in H1) despite lower paper selling volumes thanks to good cash cost evolution (declines across segments between 6% and 14% in H1 2024), the positive evolution of demand and the price level of pulp, printing and packaging paper and tissue paper. Electricity sales also contracted (-28% vs H1 2023) as the CCTG in Setúbal is operating with onl...
- Bruno Cavalier
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Luis de Toledo Heras
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Yan Derocles
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/06/2024
En ligne avec les sondages, les élections au Parlement européen ont abouti à la déroute de la liste macroniste (14.5% des voix), loin derrière le Rassemblement national (31.5%). En réaction, le président français a dissous l’Assemblée nationale. Ce droit n’avait pas été exercé depuis 1997. Des élections anticipées auront lieu les 30 juin et 7 juillet. Dans une campagne extrêmement courte, tout laisse à croire que le RN sera le premier parti de la future Assemblée. En toute logique, le...
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Luis de Toledo Heras
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Yan Derocles
- Luis de Toledo Heras
Navigator : Upgrading to Neutral on better risk-reward proposition and...
>Integrating recent acquisition in the UK’s tissue market - We are updating our estimates on Navigator after the successful acquisition of Accrol in the UK (one of the leading independent tissue converters for € 152m, 5% of the group’s market cap) with estimated sales of € 240m in 2024 (c.11% of Navigator’s 2024e sales). The transaction (EV of € c.220m, 9x EV/EBITDA LTM) strengthens its position in the attractive tissue market in Western Europe, particularly to the pr...
- Michael B. Schäfer
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/17/2024
Growth momentum remains solid, and the publication of Q1 sales bodes well for the future (12.5% organic growth, including 27% for Aerospace). Margins are set to pick up in 2024 (by an estimated 110bp), with the underlying operating profit expected to jump 33%. With good visibility for Aerospace, medium-term potential for Automotive and profitable growth for Medical, we estimate the potential for margin improvement at no less than 500bp in the medium term. We are raising our underlying...
DBG DERICHEBOURG SA
ALCAR CARMAT SA
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
NEX NEXANS SA
ERG ERG S.P.A.
WIE WIENERBERGER AG
GREEN GREENYARD NV
FCC FOMENTO DE CONSTRUCCIONES Y CONTRATAS S.A.
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
SIFG SIF HOLDING NV
TMV TEAMVIEWER AG
VK VALLOUREC SA
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
- Michael B. Schäfer
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 17/05/2024
La dynamique de croissance reste solide et la publication du CA T1 est de bon augure (croissance organique de 12.5% dont 27% pour l’Aerospace). 2024 devrait voir un redressement des marges (+110 pb estimés) pour un ROC attendu en hausse de 33%. A l’appui d’une bonne visibilité pour l’aéronautique, d’un potentiel MT pour l’automobile et d’une croissance profitable pour le Médical, nous estimons le potentiel d’amélioration des marges à au moins 500 pb à MT. Nous relevons nos estimations...
DBG DERICHEBOURG SA
ALCAR CARMAT SA
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
NEX NEXANS SA
ERG ERG S.P.A.
WIE WIENERBERGER AG
GREEN GREENYARD NV
FCC FOMENTO DE CONSTRUCCIONES Y CONTRATAS S.A.
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
SIFG SIF HOLDING NV
TMV TEAMVIEWER AG
VK VALLOUREC SA
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
- Luis de Toledo Heras
Navigator : Volume growth sustains operating results at historical ave...
>Resilient margins as volume increase offsets lower average prices - Navigator’s results came in line with estimates (EBITDA margin of c.25%) with sales growth (+7% y-o-y, +9% q-o-q) supported by strong volumes (+29% in paper and packaging products y-o-y and +10% q-o-q and c.+20% at pulp on both an annual and quarterly basis) as demand restocking in the uncoated wood free segment continued in Q1 2024 (+1.5% y-o-y apparent demand growth and +10.4% in Europe due to the ...
- Damien Choplain
- Oussema Denguir
- Stephane Beyazian
- Luis de Toledo Heras
Navigator : Expanding its tissue presence in the UK at premium multipl...
>Cash offer for leading tissue converter in the UK - Navigator has launched a public all-cash firm offer to acquire the entire issued and to-be-issued share capital of Accrol Group Holdings plc, a tissue paper converter based in the UK. Accrol’s Board of Directors is backing the offer which values the equity at € 148m (5% of Navigator’s market capitalisation) and the EV at € 180m (5.5% of Navigator’s EV) implying 10x EV/ EBITDA vs Navigator’s 6.5x. Sligh...
- Fehmi Ben Naamane
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
NEX NEXANS SA
AED AEDIFICA SA
SHOT SCANDIC HOTELS GROUP
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
MEL MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL S.A.
NHH NH HOTEL GROUP SA
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
TITC TITAN CEMENT INTERNATIONAL N.V.
KTA KNAUS TABBERT
FUR FUGRO NV
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