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MCB Bank Limited: Update following rating upgrade; outlook positive

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its high asset risks amid weak operating conditions and modest capitalisation, balanced with strong profitability, stable funding and liquidity.

Moody's Ratings upgrades five Pakistani banks and changes outlook to p...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today upgraded the long-term deposit ratings to Caa2 from Caa3 of five Pakistani banks: Allied Bank Limited (ABL), Habib Bank Ltd. (HBL), MCB Bank Limited (MCB), National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) and United Bank Ltd. (UBL). We have also upgraded ABL, HBL, MCB and UBL's ...

MCB Bank Limited: Update to credit analysis

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its high asset risks amid challenging operating conditions and modest capitalisation, balanced with stable funding and liquidity.

MCB Bank Ltd: 1 director

A director at MCB Bank Ltd bought 814,623 shares at 183.760PKR and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...

Moody's announces completion of a periodic review for a group of Pakis...

Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") has completed a periodic review of the ratings -and other ratings that are associated with the same analytical units for the rated entity(entities) listed below. The review was conducted through a portfolio review discussion held on 30 November 2023 in which Mo...

Yusra Beg
  • Yusra Beg

MCB Bank (Pakistan): MCB Bank Ltd: 2QCY23 Review - Strong asset repric...

MCB has posted consolidated 2QCY23 NPAT of PKR14.7bn (EPS: PKR12.38), up a massive 6.4x YoY and 25% QoQ. This takes 1HCY23 NPAT to PKR28.6bn (EPS: PKR24.13), up 2.5x YoY. The result is much better than our estimated 2Q EPS of PKR9.85, led by a sharp rise in NII (+80% YoY) and very strong fee income delivery (up 37% YoY). Results were accompanied by a second interim cash dividend of PKR7.0/sh – slightly higher than estimated, taking 1HCY23 DPS to PKR13.0/sh. 2QCY23 RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS: * MCB r...

Yusra Beg
  • Yusra Beg

Pakistan Banks – 2QCY23 Result Previews - Strong core performance to c...

* Pre-tax 2QCY23 profits for the IMS Banking Universe are expected to rise 10%QoQ, reflecting strong core performance. However, net earnings may come off by 15%QoQ due to retrospective impact of super tax (10% vs. 4% previously). Payouts should remain broadly intact. * Domestic asset quality has remained resilient, which should keep the cost of risk in check. Impairment, if any, should also be contained compared to the last few quarters. We expect MEBL to stand out due to the lagged ass...

Yusra Beg
  • Yusra Beg

Pakistan Banks: Returning conviction

* With the IMF staff-level agreement in place, the much needed breathing space for Pakistan's economy reinforces our liking for the banking sector. The absence of banks from debt restructuring in Zambia and Sri Lanka also provides comfort if this conversation crops up again in Pakistan next year. * 1QCY23 results indicate underlying profitability is strong, on rising margins and resilient asset quality. Our 2023-27f earnings estimates remain broadly unchanged, even as we conservatively ...

Yusra Beg
  • Yusra Beg

MCB Bank (Pakistan): 1QCY23 Review - Going strong – earnings beat

MCB has posted consolidated 1QCY23 NPAT of PKR13.9bn (EPS: PKR11.75), up 53% YoY and flat QoQ. The result is better than our estimated 1Q EPS of PKR10.90, led by better revenues and lower provisioning charges. Results were accompanied by an interim cash dividend of PKR6.0/sh – inline with estimates. 1QCY23 RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS: * NII of PKR33bn is up a sharp 71% YoY and 15% QoQ. This is slightly above our estimated PKR32bn – led by a strong push on low cost deposits which helped offset the imp...

MCB Bank Limited: Update following ratings downgrade

Our credit view of MCB, reflecting its very high exposure to Pakistani government securities, the challenging operating conditions, but also its stable funding and moderate profitability.

Moody's downgrades five Pakistani banks; deposit rating outlook change...

Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") has today downgraded to Caa3 from Caa1 the long-term deposit ratings of five Pakistani banks: Allied Bank Limited (ABL), Habib Bank Ltd. (HBL), MCB Bank Limited (MCB), National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) and United Bank Ltd. (UBL). Moody's has also downgraded the fi...

Yusra Beg
  • Yusra Beg

MCB Bank (Pakistan): 4QCY22 Review - Core business is driving growth –...

MCB has posted consolidated 4QCY22 NPAT of PKR13.8bn (EPS: PKR11.60), up 65%YoY and 49%QoQ. This takes CY22 NPAT to PKR34.4bn (EPS: PKR29.00), up 10%YoY. The result is much better than our estimated 4Q EPS of PKR6.90, led by a combination of strong NII, net provisioning reversals and a low tax rate - excluding the latter this is still an earnings beat. Results were accompanied by a strong final cash dividend of PKR6.0/sh – vs. an estimated PKR4.5/sh, taking the CY22 payout to PKR20.0/sh. 4QCY...

Yusra Beg
  • Yusra Beg

Pakistan Banks: 4QCY22 Result Previews - NII growth may be negated by ...

We estimate the IMS Banking Universe to report flat sequential earnings in 4QCY22 (up 19% YoY), as we incorporate significantly lower Fx income, sticky total provisions and higher admin expenses. These factors should offset sequentially higher NII. UBL may stand out in terms of sequential profit growth, given its low base (one-off impairment in the previous quarter). In general, there is room for minor negative surprises on payouts across our coverage, with mark-to-market bond repricing pushi...

Yusra Beg
  • Yusra Beg

MCB Bank (Pakistan): 3QCY22 Review - Strong asset quality remains a ha...

MCB has posted consolidated 3QCY22 NPAT of PKR9.2bn (EPS: PKR7.80), up 16% YoY and 4.0xQoQ – coming from a low base in 2Q. This takes 9MCY22 NPAT to PKR20.6bn (EPS: PKR17.40), down 10%YoY. The result is better than our estimated EPS of PKR7.00, led by a combination of net provisioning reversals and strong Fx gains. Results were accompanied by an interim cash dividend of PKR5.0/sh – inline with estimates, taking 9MCY22 payout to PKR14.0/sh. 3QCY22 Results Highlights: * MCB reported NII of PKR...

MCB Bank Limited: Update following ratings downgrade

Our credit view of MCB is constrained by its exposure to the government of Pakistan, despite its stable funding and good liquidity.

Moody's downgrades five Pakistani banks' ratings; maintains negative o...

Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") has today downgraded the long-term deposit ratings to Caa1 from B3 of five Pakistani banks: Allied Bank Limited (ABL), Habib Bank Ltd. (HBL), MCB Bank Limited (MCB), National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) and United Bank Ltd. (UBL). The rating agency has also downgrade...

Yusra Beg
  • Yusra Beg

MCB Bank (Pakistan): 2QCY22 review – Payout surprises, tax is transito...

MCB has posted consolidated 2QCY22 NPAT of PKR2.3bn (EPS: PKR1.92), down 71% YoY and 75% QoQ. On a pre-tax basis however, profits are up 30%YoY/18%QoQ. The result takes 1HCY22 NPAT to PKR11.4bn (EPS: PKR9.58), down 24%YoY. The result is significantly lower than our estimated EPS of PKR2.75, due to a combination of admin expenses and high tax. Results were accompanied with a cash dividend of PKR4.0/sh, higher than our expected DPS of PKR2.25. 2QCY22 RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS: * MCB reported NII of ...

MCB Bank Limited: Update following outlook change to negative

Our credit view of MCB, reflecting its high exposure to Pakistani government securities, which links its creditworthiness with that of the sovereign.

Moody's affirms the B3 ratings of Pakistani banks; changes outlook to ...

Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") has today affirmed the B3 long-term deposit ratings of five Pakistani banks: Allied Bank Limited (ABL), Habib Bank Ltd. (HBL), MCB Bank Limited (MCB), National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) and United Bank Ltd. (UBL). As part of the same rating action Moody's has chang...

Raza Jafri
  • Raza Jafri

Pakistan Banks - Court directs economy’s conversion to Islamic mode in...

The Federal Shariat Court (FSC) has ordered to fully convert Pakistan’s economy into Islamic mode by Dec 31, 2027, concluding a long-standing case stretching at least two decades. The Court has also clarified that Pakistan is bound to honor existing international financial commitments, even if they are non Shariah-compliant, but that future borrowing should be through compliant modes. The Finance Minister has tweeted he welcomes the decision and, together with the SBP, will seek guidance on t...

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