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Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen

Millicom - In play

Xavier Niel becomes largest shareholder with 7% stake Says supportive of Millicom’s strategy and management A likely first step only; Millicom now a take-over target

Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen

Millicom - Fighting macro headwinds

Q3 growth rates reflect weaker macro trends as expected ’22e-’24e EBITDA -2%, ‘22e EPS -35% on finance losses Risks to outlook and guidance but valuation upside

Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen

Millicom - Q3’22: weakening markets

Serv. revs -1%, EBITDA -5% vs ABG and consensus FY’22 guidance for EFCF USD 150-200m in line Cons estimates and shares down by 3-5%

Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen

Millicom - Q3’22: weaker macro trends taking hold

Stable performance but EBITDA growth coming down Estimates reduced 1-2% on weaker Columbian peso Macro environment challenging; TP to SEK 200 (250)

Christer Linde
  • Christer Linde

Strategy Report - Share performance during rights issues

Increasing amounts of rights issues expected Last five years saw shares overperform post-rights issue Offensive reasons for issues generally perform well

Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen

Millicom - EBITDA growth catching up

Solid growth in service revenues and EBITDA OCF and EFCF guidance and targets reiterated Fundamentals strong but macro challenges weigh

Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen

Millicom - Q2’22: EBITDA growth accelerating

Q2 service revenue in line with EBITDA 1-2% above Guidance for OCF and EFCF reiterated Cons estimates +2-3%, shares to react positively

Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen

Millicom - Time to revisit

Rights offering period and trading in rights from 27 May EPS diluted by 42% with TP to SEK 250 (400) Appealing valuation multiples & recovery potential; BUY

Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen

Millicom - All set for the rights offering

Q1 in line with only minor estimate changes Rights issue to pressure shares; TP to SEK 400 (450) We see strong recovery potential and uplift post offering

Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen

Millicom - Q1’22 results fully in line

Q1 results fully in line with ABG and cons estimates Timing for USD 750m rights issue announced Minor changes to cons estimates; shares slightly up

Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen

Millicom - Q1’22: solid growth but higher costs

Q1 results 28 April: solid performance looks set to continue Higher costs weighing on EBITDA growth, as in Q4 We expect the share to recover post upcoming rights issue

MILLICOM INTERNATIO sees an upgrade to Slightly Positive due to a bett...

The general evaluation of MILLICOM INTERNATIO (SE), a company active in the Mobile Telecommunications industry, has been upgraded by the independent financial analyst theScreener with the addition of a star. Its fundamental valuation now shows 4 out of 4 possible stars while its market behaviour can be considered as moderately risky. theScreener believes that the additional star(s) merits the upgrade of its general evaluation to Slightly Positive. As of the analysis date March 29, 2022, the clos...

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

New Street: TIGO (Buy, TP: $48, +75%) Millicom Q4s: Buy back looks se...

Ahead of Monday's Investor Day, Millicom released FY numbers this morning which were generally solid; higher corporate costs a slight worry, but broader guidance OK and including a pick up in homes passed within the existing capex envelope.

Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen

Millicom - Cash flow to start growing

Q4’21: strong operational momentum continues Positive outlook for growth in cash flow during ’22-‘24e CMD to present positive outlook for growth and OCF

Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen

Millicom - Q4’21e: weaker on tough y-o-y comps

Q4e: weaker Latam growth on tough y-o-y comparisons Guatemala now 100% (IFRS) consolidated We expect shares to recover post upcoming rights issue

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

New Street: Millicom (Buy, TP: $48, +68%) Millicom: A busy quarter pr...

Q1 is set to be a busy quarter for Millicom. FY results are due on Feb 11, followed by an investor day on Feb 14 which is designed to showcase the stock ahead of a USD750 million placing due by the end of Q1 which is set to part-fund the Guatemala minority buy-in.

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

New Street: TIGO (Buy, TP: $48 (from $44), +33%) Telco Nirvanas: Upgr...

Duopolies, light regulation, US$-based revenues: Telco Nirvana for an EM investor. Millicom’s announced (and closed) buy-in of the minorities last week in one of the best country-examples of this construct means Guatemala will represent 38% of proportionate EBITDA.

Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen

Millicom - Buying out minorities in Guatemala

Will acquire local partner’s 45% stake at USD 2.2bn value Strategically and financially attractive for Millicom Share issue at depressed valuation, but a net positive

Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen

Millicom - Q3’21: Positive outlook

Q3: investing for growth is reaping rewards May reach ~10% OCF growth target in 2022 With material upside to shares we remain at BUY

Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen

Millicom - Q3’21 results in line

Latam service revenues and EBITDA in line FY outlook for OCF of at least USD1.4bn unchanged Small impact on cons estimates and shares expected

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