Greater China Sector Update | China Property Demand stayed weak in Nov 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 42% yoy and second hand home prices in most cities falling. Land auctions in Shanghai and Hangzhou cooled, with most plots near reserve prices. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China property, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance. Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Nov 25 GGR reached MOP 21.1b, down 12% mom but up 14% yoy, and recovering to 92% o...
Company Update | Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt20.20/Target: Bt38.00) MINT held an analyst meeting to discuss its 3Q25 results, and the tone was positive. Management is guiding a stronger 4Q25 RevPar, which will be boosted by an ADR uplift, demand in the Maldives, Thailand’s festive bookings, and the “We Travel Together” stimulus. A large US$1.2b-1.3b REIT planned for 2Q-3Q26 will support deleveraging. Value menus continue to boost food traffic, while margins stay intact. Net IBD/E should e...
Top Stories Company Update | Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt20.20/Target: Bt38.00) MINT held an analyst meeting to discuss its 3Q25 results, and the tone was positive. Management is guiding a stronger 4Q25 RevPar, which will be boosted by an ADR uplift, demand in the Maldives, Thailand’s festive bookings, and the “We Travel Together” stimulus. A large US$1.2b-1.3b REIT planned for 2Q-3Q26 will support deleveraging. Value menus continue to boost food traffic, while margins stay intact. Net I...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The phasing out of subsidies has hammered auto sales. PV sales fell 14% yoy, and PEV sales edged up 1-2% yoy during 1-16 Nov 25. Subsidies are likely to continue into 2026 at reduced levels. We expect PV and EV sales to grow 4.9% and over 20%, driven by exports. Tighter regulatory oversight amid rising safety concerns should benefit OEMs such as Geely and Great Wall. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Company Re...
Company Results | Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt21.40/Target: Bt38.00) MINT reported a 3Q25 net profit of Bt2.55b (+5% yoy core profit), slightly below expectations due to weaker margins and higher SG&A, although revenue of Bt40.3b was in line. The company is launching more budget-tier food products, such as Swensen’s Bingsu Sundae, to attract cost-conscious customers while maintaining margins through its efficient supply chain. Net IBD/E rose slightly to 0.90x after the MHEA delisting tend...
Top Stories Company Results | AP (Thailand) (AP TB/BUY/Bt7.90/Target: Bt9.30) AP posted a net profit of Bt1.15b in 3Q25 (-20% yoy, +15% qoq), in line with our estimate. The qoq improvement was underpinned by a solid performance in the low-rise segment, improved gross margin and higher equity income. AP revised down its 2025 launch plan from Bt65.0b to Bt59.6b. However, we are optimistic about the presales and earnings outlook for 4Q25. We still like AP as the market leader with a more aggressi...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...
Greater China Company Results | Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb80.80/Target: Rmb89.50) FII registered a stellar quarter, with net profit beating our and consensus estimates on stronger-than-expected margins. Top-line lagged our expectations, likely due to differences in product mix, and also the reason behind margins remaining elevated despite the product ramp-up of the lower-margin GB200 NVL72 racks. With the recent checks continuing to point towards a much stronger-than-expected...
Company Update | Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt22.70/Target: Bt38.00) We expect MINT to post a strong 3Q25 net profit of Bt2.7b (vs Bt149m in 3Q24 and Bt3.1b in 2Q25), mainly due to strong hotel performance across all regions and lower interest expenses yoy. RevPar remains flat in Thai baht terms but has increased in local currencies, led by Europe, the Maldives, and Australia. MINT is also driving food sales via new budget-tier products while maintaining margins. Its debt ratio should rema...
Top Stories Company Results | Siam Cement (SCC TB/BUY/Bt207.00/Target: Bt290.00) SCC reported a net loss of Bt669m in 3Q25, larger than both our and the consensus forecasts, mainly due to substantial inventory losses. The weak 3Q25 performance reflected seasonal factors and continued softness in olefins spreads. However, we expect earnings to return to a profit in 4Q25, supported by stronger performance from the cement and packaging businesses. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt290.00. Company U...
Greater China Sector Update | Internet Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude for a mid-single-digit GMV growth in 4Q25. The new phase of 11.11 is characterised by a longer cycle, simplified promotion mechanics, and deeper technological integration. Platform competition has shifted from “traffic wars” to “efficiency wars”, as AI enhances demand-supply matching and instant retail breaks offline barriers, reducing consumer decision costs. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT....
Asian Gems Corporate Highlights | Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt23.00/Target: Bt38.00) MINT continues to emphasise asset-light expansion through management contracts, minimising capital use while enhancing margins. The company plans to launch a US$1.5b-1.6b REIT in mid-26, with about US$700m proceeds to fund deleveraging and reinvestment. Management reaffirmed its targets of high single-digit revenue and 15-20% core profit growth. Despite a modest debt reduction in 2H25, lower interest cost...
Top Stories Sector Update | Retail Home improvement retail appears more attractive than grocery retail as it is in the late stage of a downcycle. Grocery retailers will enjoy short-term benefits from the Half-Half Plus copayment scheme. Initiate coverage with BUY on GLOBAL, CPAXT and DOHOME, and HOLD for CRC. We are OVERWEIGHT on the retail sector. Top picks are CPALL and GLOBAL. Company Update | PTT Oil and Retails (OR TB/BUY/Bt13.90/Target: Bt21.00) We expect OR to post a net profit of Bt2....
Hotel stocks reported a combined core profit of Bt3,767m for 2Q25 (+0.4% yoy, +101.3% qoq), mainly supported by MINT’s strong hotel performance in Europe. However, Thai tourism’s 3Q25 outlook should remain dull, similar to 2Q25. Hopes of hotel operators rest on the high travel season in 4Q25, as room bookings still indicate a positive momentum. MINT remains our top pick given its lower cost of debt. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
We attended MINT’s 2Q25 analyst meeting, and the tone was positive. MINT is maintaining its growth guidance target as the core profit growth in 1H25 remains on track. MINT will utilise a capex of Bt2.5b-3.0b to delist MHEA, allowing greater flexibility for the planned REIT. As a result, MINT’s debt ratio will not improve. However, we are still optimistic on MINT as the cost of debt will continue to decrease, and the growth outlook in 3Q25 is still decent. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt38.00...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt296.00/Target: Bt340.00) 2Q25: Results in line with our and consensus estimates. IRPC (IRPC TB/BUY/Bt1.02/Target: Bt1.20) 2Q25 Results: Losses were expected; better outlook in 3Q25. SVI (SVI TB/HOLD/Bt6.10/Target: Bt6.00) 2Q25: Earnings were weak and below our and market expectations Update CH Karnchang (...
GREATER CHINA Results BeOne Medicines (6160 HK/BUY/HK$182.70/Target: HK$240.00): 2Q25: Results beat; expects revenue and margins to expand further. Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK/SELL/HK$10.85/Target: HK$10.23): 1H25: Results broadly in line. Cargo facing higher uncertainties in 2H25. Downgraded to SELL. Update AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/HK$73.55/Target: HK$91.00): 1H25 results preview: Solid VONB and earnings growth. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$54.00/Target: HK$69.20): 2Q25 results preview: Expect ...
MINT reported a net profit of Bt3.1b (+9.3% yoy, +640.2% qoq) in 2Q25. Excluding the non-core items, MINT reported a core profit of Bt3.4b (+5.6% yoy) which is in line with our and consensus forecasts. The key contributor was a robust hotel performance from every region except Thailand. MINT’s interest expense continues to decrease yoy on a lower cost of debt. We expect MINT’s interest expense to drop significantly to become the key earnings driver in 3Q25. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt38....
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: A More Cautious Market Outlook We have a cautious outlook for the Thai equities market in August. We decide to take profit on SCGP, add GFPT to our portfolio, and replace TIDLOR with KTC. Results Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt25.00/Target: Bt38.00) 2Q25: Strong results in line with expectations. Update Asset World Corporation (AWC TB/BUY/Bt2.10/Target: Bt3.30) 2Q25 earnings expected to weaken due to decline in Chinese guest arrivals. PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt...
We expect MINT to report a core profit of Bt3.4m in 2Q25 (+5.5% yoy, +6,714.1% qoq). The top-line should be at Bt43.2b (-1.3% yoy, +21.3% qoq), with the contraction mainly due to a strong yoy appreciation of the Thai baht vs the euro in 2Q25 and the high base last year due to several large events. In their local currencies, hotels in Europe and the Maldives are still showing strong yoy growth. We are bullish on MINT as its interest expense trends further downwards. Maintain BUY. Target pric...
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