Greater China Company Results | Yum China Holdings, Inc (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$392.40) In 4Q25, YUMC’s total revenue reached US$2,823m, up 9% yoy. Total system sales grew 7% yoy, with a 3% increase in same-store sales. Operating profit rose 25% yoy to US$187m, with operating margin at 6.6% (+80bp). For 1Q26, management targets positive SSS. It aims to maintain flat yoy restaurant margin and operating profit margin on a high base. For 2026, it expects to open more than 1,900 net new stores, wi...
Company Update | Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt22.90/Target: Bt38.00) MINT is expected to deliver solid earnings momentum in 4Q25, driven by strong post-renovation hotel performance and RevPar growth across Thailand, Europe, and the Maldives, alongside easing interest expenses that support margin expansion. Core profit should rise both yoy and qoq. Looking ahead, leverage will hinge on the planned REIT and food IPO, which are expected to support deleveraging. We maintain BUY with a Bt38.00 ...
Top Stories Strategy | Alpha Picks: Focusing On Stocks With Undemanding Valuation And A Positive Outlook Our portfolio returns outperformed the market in Jan 26 (+5.3% vs +0.2%). We have a less positive view on the SET Index as the election rally has already occurred, and we believe there will be more uncertainty after Election Day. We decide to take profit on OR as we expect it to report a disappointing 4Q25 net profit, and add CPN for its positive business outlook with expansion plans. Comp...
Greater China Sector Update | China Property CRIC data show that the top 100 developers’ contracted sales fell 24.7% yoy in Jan 26, while new-home sales in 28 major cities declined 36% yoy. Second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities rose 1% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT but deepening industry downturn leads to rising possibility of policy support, supporting selective exposure. CR Land remains our top pick, with P/B at 1SD below the five-year mean, and PE and yield near the five-year average....
A director at Minor International Plc sold 285,600 shares at 23.400THB and the significance rating of the trade was 58/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two year...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Chinese equities remained in consolidation through December, with the HSI and MSCI China down 0.9% mom and 1.5% mom, respectively, despite last week’s window dressing narrowing losses. Policy signals from the Economic Work Conference broadly met expectations. Looking ahead, we are constructive on 1Q26, supported by a favourable global liquidity cycle and potential macro supportive measures in China. We retain most of our December...
Greater China Sector Update | China Property Demand stayed weak in Nov 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 42% yoy and second hand home prices in most cities falling. Land auctions in Shanghai and Hangzhou cooled, with most plots near reserve prices. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China property, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance. Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Nov 25 GGR reached MOP 21.1b, down 12% mom but up 14% yoy, and recovering to 92% o...
Company Update | Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt20.20/Target: Bt38.00) MINT held an analyst meeting to discuss its 3Q25 results, and the tone was positive. Management is guiding a stronger 4Q25 RevPar, which will be boosted by an ADR uplift, demand in the Maldives, Thailand’s festive bookings, and the “We Travel Together” stimulus. A large US$1.2b-1.3b REIT planned for 2Q-3Q26 will support deleveraging. Value menus continue to boost food traffic, while margins stay intact. Net IBD/E should e...
Top Stories Company Update | Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt20.20/Target: Bt38.00) MINT held an analyst meeting to discuss its 3Q25 results, and the tone was positive. Management is guiding a stronger 4Q25 RevPar, which will be boosted by an ADR uplift, demand in the Maldives, Thailand’s festive bookings, and the “We Travel Together” stimulus. A large US$1.2b-1.3b REIT planned for 2Q-3Q26 will support deleveraging. Value menus continue to boost food traffic, while margins stay intact. Net I...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The phasing out of subsidies has hammered auto sales. PV sales fell 14% yoy, and PEV sales edged up 1-2% yoy during 1-16 Nov 25. Subsidies are likely to continue into 2026 at reduced levels. We expect PV and EV sales to grow 4.9% and over 20%, driven by exports. Tighter regulatory oversight amid rising safety concerns should benefit OEMs such as Geely and Great Wall. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Company Re...
Company Results | Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt21.40/Target: Bt38.00) MINT reported a 3Q25 net profit of Bt2.55b (+5% yoy core profit), slightly below expectations due to weaker margins and higher SG&A, although revenue of Bt40.3b was in line. The company is launching more budget-tier food products, such as Swensen’s Bingsu Sundae, to attract cost-conscious customers while maintaining margins through its efficient supply chain. Net IBD/E rose slightly to 0.90x after the MHEA delisting tend...
Top Stories Company Results | AP (Thailand) (AP TB/BUY/Bt7.90/Target: Bt9.30) AP posted a net profit of Bt1.15b in 3Q25 (-20% yoy, +15% qoq), in line with our estimate. The qoq improvement was underpinned by a solid performance in the low-rise segment, improved gross margin and higher equity income. AP revised down its 2025 launch plan from Bt65.0b to Bt59.6b. However, we are optimistic about the presales and earnings outlook for 4Q25. We still like AP as the market leader with a more aggressi...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...
Greater China Company Results | Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb80.80/Target: Rmb89.50) FII registered a stellar quarter, with net profit beating our and consensus estimates on stronger-than-expected margins. Top-line lagged our expectations, likely due to differences in product mix, and also the reason behind margins remaining elevated despite the product ramp-up of the lower-margin GB200 NVL72 racks. With the recent checks continuing to point towards a much stronger-than-expected...
Company Update | Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt22.70/Target: Bt38.00) We expect MINT to post a strong 3Q25 net profit of Bt2.7b (vs Bt149m in 3Q24 and Bt3.1b in 2Q25), mainly due to strong hotel performance across all regions and lower interest expenses yoy. RevPar remains flat in Thai baht terms but has increased in local currencies, led by Europe, the Maldives, and Australia. MINT is also driving food sales via new budget-tier products while maintaining margins. Its debt ratio should rema...
Top Stories Company Results | Siam Cement (SCC TB/BUY/Bt207.00/Target: Bt290.00) SCC reported a net loss of Bt669m in 3Q25, larger than both our and the consensus forecasts, mainly due to substantial inventory losses. The weak 3Q25 performance reflected seasonal factors and continued softness in olefins spreads. However, we expect earnings to return to a profit in 4Q25, supported by stronger performance from the cement and packaging businesses. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt290.00. Company U...
Greater China Sector Update | Internet Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude for a mid-single-digit GMV growth in 4Q25. The new phase of 11.11 is characterised by a longer cycle, simplified promotion mechanics, and deeper technological integration. Platform competition has shifted from “traffic wars” to “efficiency wars”, as AI enhances demand-supply matching and instant retail breaks offline barriers, reducing consumer decision costs. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT....
Asian Gems Corporate Highlights | Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt23.00/Target: Bt38.00) MINT continues to emphasise asset-light expansion through management contracts, minimising capital use while enhancing margins. The company plans to launch a US$1.5b-1.6b REIT in mid-26, with about US$700m proceeds to fund deleveraging and reinvestment. Management reaffirmed its targets of high single-digit revenue and 15-20% core profit growth. Despite a modest debt reduction in 2H25, lower interest cost...
Top Stories Sector Update | Retail Home improvement retail appears more attractive than grocery retail as it is in the late stage of a downcycle. Grocery retailers will enjoy short-term benefits from the Half-Half Plus copayment scheme. Initiate coverage with BUY on GLOBAL, CPAXT and DOHOME, and HOLD for CRC. We are OVERWEIGHT on the retail sector. Top picks are CPALL and GLOBAL. Company Update | PTT Oil and Retails (OR TB/BUY/Bt13.90/Target: Bt21.00) We expect OR to post a net profit of Bt2....
Hotel stocks reported a combined core profit of Bt3,767m for 2Q25 (+0.4% yoy, +101.3% qoq), mainly supported by MINT’s strong hotel performance in Europe. However, Thai tourism’s 3Q25 outlook should remain dull, similar to 2Q25. Hopes of hotel operators rest on the high travel season in 4Q25, as room bookings still indicate a positive momentum. MINT remains our top pick given its lower cost of debt. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
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