>Good Q1 performance despite adverse calendar effect - Bookings growth in Q1 (+2.8% y-o-y for bookings still 23% below Q1, stable relative to Q4) was impacted by the unfavourable positioning of the Easter vacation, for an impact of c. -1.5 pt by our calculations. This calendar effect, coupled with the loss of some local bookings in the US migrated to direct connect (stable impact vs Q4), had an impact of -5 pt on bookings growth in Q1. This factor was largely offset b...
>Bonne performance T1 malgré l’effet calendaire défavorable - La croissance des bookings au T1 (+2.8% y/y pour des bookings toujours 23% en dessous du T1, stable par rapport au T4) a été impactée par le positionnement défavorable des vacances de pâques, pour un impact de c. -1.5 pt selon nos calculs. Cet effet calendaire, couplé à la perte de certains bookings locaux aux USA migrés en direct connect (impact stable vs Q4), a un impact de -5 pt sur la croissance des boo...
>Q1 sales up 14% y-o-y, 1.5% above expectations - Q1 revenue came to € 1,496.3m, up 14.1% y-o-y. This is 1.5% above css expectations and roughly in line with ours (vs ODDO BHF: € 1,492.7m; css: € 1,474.8m) Air Distribution revenues came in at € 764.4m, up 12.6% y-o-y but still down -9.0% vs Q1 2019. This figure is 0.5% above css expectations but -0.8% below our expectations (vs ODDO BHF: € 770.8m; css: € 760.6m). Bookings came in at 125.2m, up 2.8% y-o-y, -2.7%...
>Q1 sales up 14% y-o-y, 1.5% above expectations - Q1 revenue came to € 1,496.3m, up 14.1% y-o-y. This is 1.5% above css expectations and roughly in line with ours (vs ODDO BHF: € 1,492.7m; css: € 1,474.8m) Air Distribution revenues came in at € 764.4m, up 12.6% y-o-y but still down -9.0% vs Q1 2019. This figure is 0.5% above css expectations but -0.8% below our expectations (vs ODDO BHF: € 770.8m; css: € 760.6m). Bookings came in at 125.2m, up 2.8% y-o-y, -2.7%...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AENA, AMADEUS, ENDESA, FERROVIAL, FLUIDRA, NATURGY, ROVI, TALGO. EUROPA: AB INVEB, BMW, MUNICH RE. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Continúa el rebote en Europa Las bolsas europeas continuaron con el rebote de comienzos de seman...
NEWS SUMMARY: AENA, AMADEUS, ENDESA, FERROVIAL, FLUIDRA, NATURGY, ROVI, TALGO. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The rally in Europe continues European stock markets continued to rally at the start of the week while sovereign debt yields continued to fall, bringing the IBEX back above 11,000 points. With...
L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...
BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...
S&P revises six Spanish banks' outlook to positive due to increased profitability. CaixaBank: strong profitability and an AT1 call, MREL remains the tightest requirement. Unicaja earnings benefit from the substantial increase in NII, we expect new PS issuance for MREL buffering. The ESMA agrees with Irish and Luxemburgish investment restrictions on Liability-Driven Investments
S&P revises six Spanish banks' outlook to positive due to increased profitability. CaixaBank: strong profitability and an AT1 call, MREL remains the tightest requirement. Unicaja earnings benefit from the substantial increase in NII, we expect new PS issuance for MREL buffering. The ESMA agrees with Irish and Luxemburgish investment restrictions on Liability-Driven Investments
>Neutral rating maintained – target price raised to € 1.25 (vs € 1.20) - We maintain our Neutral rating, with a higher target price of € 1.25 (vs € 1.20). The Q1 2024 figures broadly confirm the bank’s favourable underlying operating trends (top line, costs, CoR) and solid balance sheet. We have upgraded our net income expectations (+4% on average for 2024-26e) to factor in a lastingly more favourable NII trajectory and a slightly less conservative CoR scenario. Follo...
>Opinion Neutre réitérée – OC porté à 1.25 € (vs 1.20 €) - Nous réitérons notre recommandation Neutre avec un objectif de cours porté à 1.25 € (vs 1.20 €). Les chiffres T1 2024 confirment globalement l’orientation favorable de l’opérationnel underlying (top line, coûts CdR) et la solidité bilancielle du groupe. Nous révisions à la hausse nos anticipations de RN (+4% en moyenne sur 2024-26e) afin d’intégrer la trajectoire in fine plus durablement favorable des NII et u...
1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23 Results Sales: € 994.43 M (-23.1% vs. -23.0% BS(e) and -23.5% consensus); EBITDA: € 339.29 M (+6.0% vs. +1.4% BS(e) and +0.9% consensus); EBIT: € 290.3 M (+6.3% vs. +5.6% BS(e) and -5.1% consensus); Net Profit: € 25.45 M (-17.9% vs. +18.3% BS(e) and -6.5% consensus);
Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: Ventas: 994,43 M euros (-23,1% vs -23,0% BS(e) y -23,5% consenso); EBITDA: 339,29 M euros (+6,0% vs +1,4% BS(e) y +0,9% consenso); EBIT: 290,3 M euros (+6,3% vs +5,6% BS(e) y -5,1% consenso); BDI: 25,45 M euros (-17,9% vs +18,3% BS(e) y -6,5% consenso).
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