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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BOCH CY; MGROS TI; PCO PW; 11B PW; CZG CP; TL Macro; CPS P...

HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: keep calm and return capital (stays BUY) • Migros: weak operating results in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • Pepco Group: 1H24 beat on gross margin; slow start to 3Q and cautious FY EBITDA guidance POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: 1Q24 adjusted EBITDA slightly above our forecast, but a touch below the consensus NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: weak 1Q24 results, but FY24E guidance reiterated NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: CBT on hold, with a hawkish demeanour • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from th...

Banca Transilvania Cluj: 1 director

A director at Banca Transilvania Cluj sold 10,000 shares at 30.900RON and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ALE PW; THYAO TI; CCOLA TI; TUPRS TI; LOGO TI; CPS PW; CAR...

HEADLINES: • Allegro: 1Q24 strong, as expected, guidance for GMV acceleration in 2Q24E POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 1Q24 – revenue up, but EBITDA down yoy, as ex-fuel CASK up in mid-single digits, but RASK down 6% yoy NEUTRAL • Coca-Cola Icecek: strong operating results in 1Q24 POSITIVE • Tupras: 1Q24 results – weak results, on maintenance NEGATIVE • Logo Yazilim: 1Q24 results – on track POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 1Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA +1% yoy, 2% above our estimate POSITIVE • In...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: JAHEZ AB; ILRA CZ; FROTO TI; TOASO TI; APR PW; CAI AV; WPL...

HEADLINES: • Jahez: shifting up a gear (upgraded to BUY) • Ilirija d.d.: on track for another solid summer season (NOT RATED) • Ford Otosan: 1Q24 results – operating margin evolution as expected NEUTRAL • Tofas: 1Q24 results – operating performance as expected NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: 1Q24 results in line with the prelims; 34% yoy increase in logistics costs is the major concern NEUTRAL • CA Immo: 1Q24 – rents up 6% yoy lfl, more sales above book, pre-tax FFO I of EUR 26m NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Pols...

ING Bank Slaski S.A.: Update following affirmation of A2 deposit ratin...

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its strengthened capitalisation and its low reliance on market funds, constrained by its relatively high dependence on corporate deposits.

Szabolcs Pal
  • Szabolcs Pal

Surprising Q1 on revenues, lower provisioning

BT’s reported net income came to RON 1,132 mln in the first quarter, up by35% and 63% y-o-y and q-o-q, respectively. Better results stemmed fromlower provisioning, higher revenues and a solid bargain gain from theacquisition of the BCR Chișinău S.A. Net interest income went up by 9% q-o-q and 24% y-o-y as a result of higherlending flows and higher NIM while net fees also increased thanks to strongclient activity. Net trading was also better after a weak Q4 due to higher incomefrom derivatives....

Egor Fedorov ... (+2)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly

After some relief for markets on the data front this week, a period of quiet in terms of macro news should offer a further window for new supply to come from EM issuers ahead of an expected summer lull. Spread levels remain well anchored and EM credit should continue to see robust demand from yield-seeking investors.

Miguel Dias
  • Miguel Dias

WOOD Flash – Banca Transilvania: NIM resilience and strong loan book e...

Overall, we see the bank’s 1Q24 results as positive. Despite the core pre-provision profit coming in largely in line with our expectations, we view the resilience of the NIM and the strong loan book expansion as constructive. The bargain gain was a positive surprise and, together with the very low COR, provided most of the c.27% bottom-line beat vs. our expectations.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: INPST NA; GSPARK HB; SFG RO; H2O RO; DIGI RO; AROBS RO; PG...

HEADLINES: • InPost: strong 1Q24, as expected; FY24E guidance maintained; slight volume deceleration in 2Q24 so far POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: 1Q24 – occupancy and results stable so far; guidance maintained POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q24 above our expectations POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: 1Q24 – lower power prices offset by no tax on producers NEGATIVE • DIGI Communications: 1Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 22% yoy, 6% above our estimate POSITIVE • AROBS Transilvania Software: weak 1Q24 results, ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CEZ CP; EUR PW; BIMAS TI; RICHT HB; ARABIAND AB; CE4/GR Ma...

HEADLINES: • CEZ: 1Q24 – strong beat on supply and generation POSITIVE • Eurocash: weak 1Q24 across the board NEGATIVE • BIM: 4Q23 results – strong beat POSITIVE • Richter: 1Q24 operations in line, net beat on FX revaluation NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: 1Q24 interim results – net income below expectations NEUTRAL • CE4/Greece macro: the consumption recovery – pivoting from necessities to discretionary • Türkiye macro: our takes from our Symposium; a focus on Coca-Cola Icecek, Tupras, and Aselsan ...

Alessio Chiesa ... (+3)
  • Alessio Chiesa
  • Atinc Ozkan
  • Can Yurtcan

WOOD Flash – Türkiye macro: our takes from our Symposium; a focus on C...

Last week, WOOD held its second annual symposium in Istanbul (hosting the C-level management of 12 BIST-listed bluechips), which was highly appreciated by both investors and corporates. Overall, sentiment was consistent with our recent pre-elections trip report (followed by our report concerning the elections). The transition towards a more orthodox macroeconomic framework appears both credible and convincing, in terms of the measures implemented, in our view. In the paragraphs below, we focus o...

ING Bank Śląski S.A.: 1 director

A director at ING Bank Śląski S.A. sold 937 shares at 302.500PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TLV RO; ADNOCDRI UH; OTKAR TI; TBCG LN; ELM AB; ISCTR TI; ...

HEADLINES: • Banca Transilvania: NIM resilience and strong loan book expansion the key positives of 1Q24 bottom-line beat, on non-recurring revenue, low provisions and a one-off POSITIVE • ADNOC Drilling: 1Q24 results – new venture and updated dividend policy POSITIVE • Otokar: lacklustre 1Q24 results, but strong backlog NEGATIVE • TBC Bank: 1Q24 results and conference call NEUTRAL • Elm: mixed 1Q24 financial results NEGATIVE • Isbank: 1Q24 highlights – margin pressure worsening • Polish banks: ...

Egor Fedorov ... (+4)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson
  • Oleksiy Soroka
  • CFA

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly

Some signs of cooling economic data out of the US, and the start of DM rate-cutting cycles has offered some optimism for EM assets, with the grind tighter in credit spreads continuing as seen for much of this year. We expect the benign environment to offer further opportunities for new issuance, while spread levels look fairly tight.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKO PW; KRU PW; BHW PW; NLBR SV; PGSUS TI; ADNOCDIS UH; CT...

HEADLINES: • PKO BP: strong 1Q24, with 9% beat, but big part due to lower quarterly tax charge POSITIVE • Kruk: 1Q24 results in line with earlier communication; strong trend continues, but digested by the market already NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: books neutral 1Q24, questions on future capital management NEUTRAL • NLB Group: guidance upgrade spices up vanilla 1Q24 bottom-line beat POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 1Q24 in line, guidance for mild margin compression and 10-12% ASK growth maintained NEUTR...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BDX PW; EU Oil & Gas Monthly; BHW PW; PKO PW; MIL PW; CAR ...

HEADLINES: • Budimex: 1Q24 EBIT 13% above our forecast on solid gross margin, but broadly in line with the consensus POSITIVE • European oil and gas monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating • Bank Handlowy: to pay PLN 10/share dividend NEUTRAL • PKO BP: estimates cost of credit holidays extension at PLN 489m NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: expects a PLN 201-247m impact from the 2024E credit holidays extension for PLN mortgagors NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: April sales recover by 19.5% yoy POSITIVE • MOL: 1Q...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ING PW; SOLUTION AB; EME Macro/Strategy weekly; HUG PW; TE...

HEADLINES: • ING BSK: 1Q24 results softer than demanding market expectations, but our medium-term outlook confirmed NEGATIVE • Solutions by STC: mixed 1Q24 financial results NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (29 April-5 May) • Huuuge Games: April bookings estimate at USD 11m, down 21% mom NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: April bookings estimate down 20% mom NEGATIVE • 11 bit studios: INDIKA release attracts very positive reviews on Steam, but low peak in number of players NEGATIVE • Cyf...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all geographies in the green in Ap...

EME Equity Market – April 2024 Market performance – green across all geographies, with Turkey outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index was up 5.3% mom in EUR terms and 4.2% mom in USD in April; while the Turkish ISE30 saw the strongest performance, adding 11.6% mom; followed by the Hungarian BUX (+5.0% mom); the Czech PX (+2.8% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Polish WIG20 (+1.2% mom) and the Romanian BET (+0.1% mom) (all in EUR terms).

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
M MED LIFE
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
BOROUGE SHOPER SA
AIRA BOROUGE
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
GEVORKYAN A.S.
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: SPL PW; PEO PW; PCF PW; EBS AV; OMV AV; BOROUGE UH; SNP RO...

HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: 1Q24 results – 19%+ headline ROE affected only slightly by FX mortgage saga costs • Bank Pekao: 1Q24 results in line with market's expectations NEUTRAL • PCF Group: 4Q23 headlines hit heavily by write-offs, but a more limited EBITDA loss than we had expected NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • OMV: 1Q24 results – chemicals stronger than expected NEUTRAL • Borouge: 1Q24 results – better than expected POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • Garan...

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