As food deflation risks increasingly diverge from one market to another, we take a fresh look at local price war risks and at the sector earnings cycle. We remain puzzled by the YTD sector derating and underperformance while FY 2024-25 expected EPS growth is still strong. Many investors seem to be
Latest Kantar French market share data highlight a continued and surprising outperformance by Leclerc (+80bp) despite very tough comps vs. other independents and Lidl (slightly up) and vs. integrated groups (down 100bp). The wide gap between Leclerc and Intermarché, Systeme U and Lidl in a fast-dec
Atos: weak Q1 2024 results, need for fresh funds has already increasedVerisure launches a new term loan; new bonds to followVerallia: Q1 2024 logically weak but the recovery in demand is confirmedAngloAmerican Plc: Takeover offer from BHP Group for the entire share capital>...
Atos : faibles résultats au T1 2024, les besoins de nouveaux fonds a augmentéVerisure lance un nouveau term loan ; des nouvelles obligations suivrontVerallia : T1 2024 logiquement faible mais la reprise de la demande se confirmeAngloAmerican PLC : Offre de rachat sur la totalité du capital par BHP>...
Having flirted with the 495-point mark on Friday, which could have triggered an extension of the correction, the market has rebounded well since then. Our technical analysis highlights a configuration in which we are only at the start of a powerful rally. Target of 622 points for Stoxx 600 index (+11%) by the end of the year confirmed. Prefer banks to insurance companies in the short term. - ...
Après avoir frôlé vendredi la barre des 495 points qui aurait pu déclencher la poursuite de la correction, le marché a ensuite bien rebondi. Notre analyse technique met en lumière une configuration où nous ne serions qu’au début d’un rallye puissant. Objectif 622 points (+11%) d’ici à la fin de l’année confirmé sur le Stoxx 600. Préférer les banques aux assurances à court terme. - ...
>Q1 2024: in line with forecasts - Yesterday evening, Carrefour published its sales figures for Q1 2024. Sales including tax were € 22.2bn, a slight 0.4% increase on a reported basis of which 13.5% l-f-l, broadly in line with expectations in France, relatively weak in Europe and a shade above in Latin America. Overall, as expected, the quarter was marked by the continued deceleration in food inflation and a volume effect still under pressure in Europe, to which sho...
>T1 2024 : en ligne avec les attentes - Carrefour a publié hier soir ses ventes du T1 2024. Le CA TTC s’élève à 22,2 Md€, en légère hausse de 0.4% en données publiées dont 13.5% en LFL, globalement en ligne avec les attentes en France, assez faibles en Europe et un peu au-dessus au Latam. Globalement, le trimestre est sans surprise marqué par la poursuite de la décélération de l’inflation alimentaire et un effet volume toujours sous pression en Europe, auquel s’ajou...
After a soft Q1 missing expectations at the group-level excluding Argentina and in France, we welcome Carrefour's more proactive stance on its French price positioning (targeting a volume market share trend reversal) with ongoing waves of price cuts that should materialise throughout the year, fina
Nexity obtains a waiver on its bank debt Clariane confirms that it is considering selling its HAD business in FranceSaur: in response to the sharp fall in results in 2023, S&P placed its BBB- rating on negative creditwatch and Fitch directly downgraded its rating to BB+.>...
Nexity obtient un waiver sur sa dette bancaire. Clariane confirme que le groupe envisage de céder son activité HAD en France.Saur : réagissant à la forte baisse des résultats en 2023, S&P a placé son rating BBB- sous creditwatch négatif et Fitch a directement abaissé sa note à BB+.>...
With the latest French market share data highlighting the 12th consecutive month of material market share gains by independents (and especially Leclerc) vs. integrated groups, we expect the coming period to be key for gauging Leclerc's ability to continue to rise on tough comps. Leclerc's triumph c
A director at Carrefour sold 25,000,000 shares at 14.604EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 77/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...
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