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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: Launch of BUUT neobank. Aedifica: €47m investment in Finland. bpost: 2025 CMD event feedback - Rethink the Possible. Reshape the Future. Sofina: Scalable investment

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: NFLI reaching c.30% level in its ABN stake reduction. ABN AMRO: Relaunch of Belgium private banking using MeesPierson brand. Elia: FY25 profit outlook unchanged, minor reduction in capex. Greenyard: Disappointing 2H24/25, guidance lowered. NN Group, ASR: Parliament votes against amendment to Dutch Pension Reform

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABN NA, AGFB BB, BEKB BB, COFB BB, DIE BB, SHUR BB, MA...

: ABN NA, AGFB BB, BEKB BB, COFB BB, DIE BB, SHUR BB, MAAT FP, DEME BB, PHVS US

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: Surprise higher cet1 bodes well. Bekaert: In-line 1Q25 revenues, margin guidance more cautious as Specialty misses. Cofinimmo: Counter proposal to Aedifica. DEME Group: Confirms FY25 outlook. D'Ieteren: Solid 2028 targets

Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Couvreur

ABN Amro FIRST LOOK: 1Q25 a mixed bag, but low impairments compensate

Loan volume growth largely compensates for lower than expected NIM. Fee Income is strong, but more than offset by weaker Other Income due to negative revaluations and weaker Treasury result. OPEX is slightly weaker as well, with a higher FTE increase than expected. Impairments remains incredibly low, resulting in a solid net result beat. At this moment we see limited room for increasing our estimates, changing our rating from Buy to Hold following the strong rally since December. A CMD will be h...

 PRESS RELEASE

ABN AMRO Bank posts net profit of EUR 619 million in Q1 2025

ABN AMRO Bank posts net profit of EUR 619 million in Q1 2025 ABN AMRO Bank posts net profit of EUR 619 million in Q1 2025 14 May 2025 Key messages Solid results: Net profit of EUR 619 million, with a return on equity of around 10%Good business momentum: Mortgage portfolio grew by EUR 1.7 billion and corporate loans by EUR 0.9 billionResilient net interest income despite impact from lower short-term interest ratesContinued fee growth: Increase of 8% compared to Q1 2024, with contributions from all client unitsCost discipline: Underlying costs declined 5% compared to Q4 2024; guidance fo...

 PRESS RELEASE

ABN AMRO Bank rapporteert netto winst van EUR 619 miljoen in Q1 2025

ABN AMRO Bank rapporteert netto winst van EUR 619 miljoen in Q1 2025 ABN AMRO Bank rapporteert netto winst van EUR 619 miljoen in Q1 2025 14 mei 2025 Key messages Solide resultaten: nettowinst van EUR 619 miljoen, met een rendement op eigen vermogen van circa 10%Zakelijk momentum goed: hypotheekportefeuille groeide met EUR 1,7 miljard en zakelijke leningen met EUR 0,9 miljardNetto rentebaten veerkrachtig ondanks invloed van lagere korte rentetarievenAanhoudende groei van provisies: 8% hoger dan in Q1 2024; alle client units hebben bijgedragenKostendiscipline: Onderliggende kosten 5% la...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Talabat: 1Q25 results – delivering on its promise. TKH Group: Preview - Weak 1Q. Events Calendar

Jason Kalamboussis
  • Jason Kalamboussis

ABN AMRO/Last hurdle/HOLD

We expect a strong set of results for 1Q25. Impairments should land lower this year than the through-the-cycle 15-20bp, but then with a lowering of the management overlay in 4Q and the current negative revisions of GDP growth expectations we may see a more normalised quarter in 1Q25 (we expect 12bp). Add-ons to RWAs of €3-5bn, while well flagged, will be a focal point to see where it lands since this could start determining the quantum of a potential Share Buyback with 2Q25 results. We expect a ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Preview - priced like it is 2009 all over again. ABN AMRO: Pre-close 1Q – focus on capital & new CEO. Ahold Delhaize: Preview 1Q25. Arcadis: Gatwick work. Basic-Fit: 1Q25 trading update; strong membership ingrowth; CB repayment refinancing. CM.com: 1Q25 trading update. Fastned: 1Q25 trading update; disappointing charging volumes. NSI: A steady quarter, increasing vacancy on the horizon. Sligro: Soft 1Q25 sales, no outlook provided. Wereldhave: Guidance at the higher e...

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

US Tariffs Navigating the impact on Benelux equities

Trumps reciprocal tariffs caused a massive blow to equity markets, following a pressured period of escalating trade wars. Retaliatory measures can further heavily damage market confidence, as seen Friday when China announced their 34% tarrif of US goods. International trade policies have never moved this erratic and untransparant, with uncertainty and volatility being the baseline for now. In this report we highlight the key stocks in our coverage relevant to this discussion.

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Aareal Bank & ABN AMRO covered bonds, funding plans for 20...

Two covered bond issuances to start the month. French banks among the top in funding plans for the year, BNP Paribas with the largest capital target. Bank bond performance

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Aareal Bank & ABN AMRO covered bonds, funding plans for 20...

Two covered bond issuances to start the month. French banks among the top in funding plans for the year, BNP Paribas with the largest capital target. Bank bond performance

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update March 2025: Removing ABN, Ackermans – Add...

We made 5 changes in this March update of our KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List (DTPL): On 26 February we already removed ABN Amro from our DTPL, after a strong 24.4% return since the announcement of our 2025 Dynamic Top Pick List on 13 December 2024, far outpacing our financial sector coverage. Although we remain positive on the longer term, we believe most of the short-term revaluation is behind us. Today, we remove Ackermans & van Haaren as the stock just hit an all-time high and crossed...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ABN NA, AED BB, ASM NA, DECB BB, IBAB BB, VPK ...

: ABI BB, ABN NA, AED BB, ASM NA, DECB BB, IBAB BB, VPK NA, WKL NA, AZE BB, DEME BB, JDEP NA

Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Couvreur

ABN Amro Dynamic Top Pick List update: Removing ABN Amro after strong ...

We are removing ABN Amro from our Dynamic Top Pick List, after a strong 24.4% return since the announcement of our 2025 DTPL on December 13th, far outpacing our financial sector coverage. Although we remain positive in the longer term, we believe most of the short-term revaluation is behind us.

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/ABN AMRO AT1, Senior preferred supply

ABN AMRO adds (again) another new AT1 on its curve; The senior preferred supply surpasses 2024 YTD level at nearly €25bn

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/ABN AMRO AT1, Senior preferred supply

ABN AMRO adds (again) another new AT1 on its curve; The senior preferred supply surpasses 2024 YTD level at nearly €25bn

Jason Kalamboussis
  • Jason Kalamboussis

ABN AMRO/Self-help, building consistency/HOLD

With a change of guards coming up and a new CEO in April (Marguerite Bérard), we find ABN to be making significant progress on two fronts: (1) Capital: while there are some further RWA add-ons coming in 1Q25, ABN is taking action to get capital reliefs like the recent infrastructure loans deal. (2) Earnings are starting to consistently come above estimates, and meeting targets. These are encouraging signs. What remains to address is a wider strategic direction which we think should focus on Weal...

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