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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: Dutch state stake at c.40%, end of programme (for now). WDP: Small acquisitions in France

Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Holdings Report - August 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Up 0.5% Thanks To...

1M Performance - Absolute: During July'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of 0.5% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (+1.7%) while single-asset holdings posted a negative return of -1.3%. The 3 top performers during the period were HAL Trust (+5.1%), Texaf (+2.9%), and The Infrastructure Company (TINC, +9.6%) while the 3 worst performers were Brederode (-2.8%), Solvac (-5.3%), and Whitestone Group (-7.2%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD basis (as of A...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

D'Ieteren: 1H24 preview. Sofina: Purpose achieved, patience confirmed

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Couvreur

Still a solid entry point into banking stocks

Although share price gains in the European banking sector have been significant in recent quarters, comfortably outperforming the general market; valuation multiples have lagged behind. The European banking sector has become cheaper relative to the market, and in absolute terms are still a low levels historically. Despite declining interest rates, the fundamental environment remains benign, providing a solid entry point for investors. In this note we specifically look at ABN Amro & ING. Revised ...

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update September 2024 –Cofinimmo & Kinepolis in;...

In this September update of our Dynamic Top Pick List we make 4 changes. •We include Cofinimmo in our Dynamic Top Pick List after our recent upgrade from Accumulate to Buy. We expect the name to outperform in a decreasing interest rate environment given its relatively high leverage and cheap valuation. We also believe the risk of a dilutive equity raise eased when the FY24 capex decreased from € 320m to € 250m. The management stays disciplined in its capex program and continues to focus on asse...

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/ABN AMRO AT1, Belfius earnings, LBBW covered, bond perform...

ABN AMRO returns with a new AT1. Belfius Bank earnings: loan quality and capital weaken. LBBW returns with public sector covered bond. Bank bond performance

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/ABN AMRO AT1, Belfius earnings, LBBW covered, bond perform...

ABN AMRO returns with a new AT1. Belfius Bank earnings: loan quality and capital weaken. LBBW returns with public sector covered bond. Bank bond performance

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: Indian participation casts shadow over excellent result of core segments. ASML: Spotlight on export restrictions again. Basic-Fit: Dutch parliament persists in plans to raise VAT for oa Sports to 21%. CFE: Earnings quality improved in challenging markets. Eurocommercial Properties: Better numbers, guidance moved toward the higher end of the range. OCI: IFCO sale successfully closed, cash return unlocked Recticel: Solid 1H24 beat, FY guidance may disappoint. SIF Grou...

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Steeper bank bond curves, Rabobank vs ABN AMRO capital

More asset swap curve steepening expected at current low yield levels. Underperformance leaves value in Rabobank AT1 against ABN AMRO

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Steeper bank bond curves, Rabobank vs ABN AMRO capital

More asset swap curve steepening expected at current low yield levels. Underperformance leaves value in Rabobank AT1 against ABN AMRO

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/ABN AMRO 3yr covered

ABN AMRO Bank steps outside its comfortzone with a new 3yr covered

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/ABN AMRO 3yr covered

ABN AMRO Bank steps outside its comfort zone with a new 3yr covered

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Bond performance, Benelux bank earnings

Unsecured spread retightening prospects best for preferred senior; Benelux bank profitability developments mixed so far; Bank bond performance

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Bond performance, Benelux bank earnings

? Unsecured spread retightening prospects best for preferred senior; ? Benelux bank profitability developments mixed so far; ? Bank bond performance

Jason Kalamboussis
  • Jason Kalamboussis

ABN AMRO/Progress overshadowed/HOLD

The recent news that CEO Robert Swaak is stepping down so soon after accepting a second term in April 2024 overshadows results. This is another management change, but the CEO reassures there will be continuity to departure in 1H25. Still. The acquisition of HAL in Wealth management recently was a good step in the right direction, and results were better than expected with increases in 2024 guidance. Costs absorbed the rather generous recent CLA increases, so for 2H/1Q25 the main focus will be on...

Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank on it/ABN AMRO: strong credit quality remains, we see value in no...

ABN AMRO's earnings were supported by strong core revenues and the bank slightly hiked its NII guidance for the year. Cost developments look a tad more problematic and the bank's profitability metrics weakened. Loan quality has remained strong and the bank guides for the situation to remain so in 2H. ABN AMRO has relatively tight headroom to MDA in our view but its MREL buffers look strong, supporting the non-preferred senior debt trading levels. On the rather flat T2 curve we would see better v...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: 2Q24 results good, CET1 B4 ratio stable. Ahold Delhaize: A beat across the board. Coca-Cola Europacific Partners: Soft but strong. UCB: Amgen reports strong sales for Evenity

Michiel Declercq ... (+2)
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Holdings Report - July 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Up 1.2% Thanks To M...

1M Performance - Absolute: During July'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of 1.2% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (+3.6%) while single-asset holdings posted a negative return of -2.4%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+17.0%), Ackermans & van Haaren (+9.8%), and Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (+9.6%) while the 3 worst performers were Texaf (-3.9%), Heineken Holding (-7.5%), and Gimv (-8.4%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YT...

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