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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: Potential UK target ESURE - nice fit, right size. ASML: Highlights of roadshow. Belgian Food Retail: Delhaize CEO interview with Gondola. RELX, Wolters Kluwer: Resilient academic publishing

Hans D’Haese ... (+2)
  • Hans D’Haese
  • Maxime Stranart

Ahold Delhaize/2Q24 postview: Show me you can grow/HOLD

We reiterate our HOLD rating on Ahold Delhaize but increase our target price from €29 to €32 on the back of higher mid-to-long term sales expectations and a lower WACC. We continue to see limited short-term catalysts for the group, although we note that the company will lap easier comps than in 1H. On the other hand, management stated during its CMD that potential margin gains, especially in the US, will be re-invested in growth, in line with the new ‘Growing Together' programme. At our target p...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Kroger 2Q24 results

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: Dutch state stake at c.40%, end of programme (for now). WDP: Small acquisitions in France

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Couvreur

Still a solid entry point into banking stocks

Although share price gains in the European banking sector have been significant in recent quarters, comfortably outperforming the general market; valuation multiples have lagged behind. The European banking sector has become cheaper relative to the market, and in absolute terms are still a low levels historically. Despite declining interest rates, the fundamental environment remains benign, providing a solid entry point for investors. In this note we specifically look at ABN Amro & ING. Revised ...

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update September 2024 –Cofinimmo & Kinepolis in;...

In this September update of our Dynamic Top Pick List we make 4 changes. •We include Cofinimmo in our Dynamic Top Pick List after our recent upgrade from Accumulate to Buy. We expect the name to outperform in a decreasing interest rate environment given its relatively high leverage and cheap valuation. We also believe the risk of a dilutive equity raise eased when the FY24 capex decreased from € 320m to € 250m. The management stays disciplined in its capex program and continues to focus on asse...

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/ABN AMRO AT1, Belfius earnings, LBBW covered, bond perform...

ABN AMRO returns with a new AT1. Belfius Bank earnings: loan quality and capital weaken. LBBW returns with public sector covered bond. Bank bond performance

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/ABN AMRO AT1, Belfius earnings, LBBW covered, bond perform...

ABN AMRO returns with a new AT1. Belfius Bank earnings: loan quality and capital weaken. LBBW returns with public sector covered bond. Bank bond performance

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Steeper bank bond curves, Rabobank vs ABN AMRO capital

More asset swap curve steepening expected at current low yield levels. Underperformance leaves value in Rabobank AT1 against ABN AMRO

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Steeper bank bond curves, Rabobank vs ABN AMRO capital

More asset swap curve steepening expected at current low yield levels. Underperformance leaves value in Rabobank AT1 against ABN AMRO

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/ABN AMRO 3yr covered

ABN AMRO Bank steps outside its comfortzone with a new 3yr covered

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/ABN AMRO 3yr covered

ABN AMRO Bank steps outside its comfort zone with a new 3yr covered

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Bond performance, Benelux bank earnings

Unsecured spread retightening prospects best for preferred senior; Benelux bank profitability developments mixed so far; Bank bond performance

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Bond performance, Benelux bank earnings

? Unsecured spread retightening prospects best for preferred senior; ? Benelux bank profitability developments mixed so far; ? Bank bond performance

Robert Jan Vos
  • Robert Jan Vos

Ahold Delhaize N.V. : Solid Q2 2024 allows room for manoeuvre in H2 20...

>Sales and EBIT beat consensus by 1% and 7.5%, respectively, in Q2 2024 - Ahold Delhaize reported group sales of € 22,349m and underlying EBIT of € 933m in Q2 2024, ahead of consensus by 1% and 7.5%, respectively. Reported EBIT was € 143m lower than underlying EBIT, predominantly due to € 122m in costs associated with the Belgium Future Plan. Underlying EPS came in at € 0.65, ahead of expectations. FCF was lower than our forecast, but the CFO said that cash generation...

Jason Kalamboussis
  • Jason Kalamboussis

ABN AMRO/Progress overshadowed/HOLD

The recent news that CEO Robert Swaak is stepping down so soon after accepting a second term in April 2024 overshadows results. This is another management change, but the CEO reassures there will be continuity to departure in 1H25. Still. The acquisition of HAL in Wealth management recently was a good step in the right direction, and results were better than expected with increases in 2024 guidance. Costs absorbed the rather generous recent CLA increases, so for 2H/1Q25 the main focus will be on...

Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank on it/ABN AMRO: strong credit quality remains, we see value in no...

ABN AMRO's earnings were supported by strong core revenues and the bank slightly hiked its NII guidance for the year. Cost developments look a tad more problematic and the bank's profitability metrics weakened. Loan quality has remained strong and the bank guides for the situation to remain so in 2H. ABN AMRO has relatively tight headroom to MDA in our view but its MREL buffers look strong, supporting the non-preferred senior debt trading levels. On the rather flat T2 curve we would see better v...

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