Please excuse the lateness of our Daily today, due to technical issues. HEADLINES: • Theon International: impressions from the CMD POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 3Q25, in line with expectations; market waiting for management to reveal plans on surplus capital allocation decisions NEUTRAL • Dino: 2-3% EBITDA miss in 3Q25; lfl and EBITDA dynamics behind Zabka; FY25E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • InPost: 3Q25 slightly above expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance trimmed, on slower Yodel NEUTRAL • ...
Low fuel prices remain a key tailwind for the sector, but many airlines under our coverage are seeing margin compression this year, as yields lag CASK inflation. The early summer was also affected negatively by the June escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. We expect Wizz Air to deliver c.20% EBIT growth, off a relatively low base last summer; while Aegean Airlines and Turkish Airlines to record mid-single digit yoy EBIT declines in 3Q25E, with the modest yield pressure and rising CASK ...
HEADLINES: • Turkish Airlines: buy the dip (upgraded to BUY) • Cimsa: 3Q25 financial results review POSITIVE • Tupras: 3Q25 results – net income beats expectations NEUTRAL • Isbank: 3Q25 highlights – slower margin rebound and 11% miss vs.to our estimate • Elm: 3Q25 financial results review NEGATIVE • Arabian Drilling: 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: receives recalls for three land rigs POSITIVE • Akcansa: 3Q25 conference call takeaways • CEZ: nationalisation in draft government plan, bu...
EME Equity Market – October 2025 Hungarian BUX leads in October, Türkiye and Greece lag. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.5% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in USD terms in October. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 9.1% mom in EUR terms; followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Romanian BET (+5.4% mom) (in EUR terms). The Czech PX was also in the green (+2.8% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Turkish ISE30 (-1.9% mom and -1.1% mom, in EUR terms, respectively) both los...
Throughout the past year, with our Hold on Turkish Airlines (THYAO), we have stood apart from the Bloomberg consensus, in which all the other analysts rate the stock a Buy. Over the past year, our more cautious stance has proven justified – the shares have underperformed the global airlines by 27% in USD terms over the LTM. Following this underperformance, we have revisited our estimates and upgraded our rating to BUY, with a new price target (PT) of USD 8.8/share (TRY 464/share), with 26% USD u...
HEADLINES: • Kazatomprom: soft metal still rocks (stays BUY) • Elbit Systems: strong execution at a rich valuation (stays HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: management recommends CZK 4/share extra dividend due before the year-end POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: conditions have been met for the acquisition of Eco Point PSA shares POSITIVE • Inter Cars: September sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy POSITIVE • Rainbow Tours: winter season pre-sales 5.7% higher yoy NEUTRAL • GTC: repurchases EUR 195m of 2026 bonds • Er...
EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...
The order was expected, as it has been discussed widely in the press in recent days, and comes after many years of negotiations. Without any information on price, we do not see the announcement as market moving, but we consider it broadly positive that the company managed to finalise its talks with Boeing constructively, as without the additional aircraft, it would not be able to continue to grow at the intended pace. Currently, Turkish Airlines is roughly the tenth largest airline group globall...
The order was expected, as it has been discussed widely in the press in recent days, and comes after many years of negotiations. Without any information on price, we do not see the announcement as market moving, but we consider it broadly positive that the company managed to finalise its talks with Boeing constructively, as without the additional aircraft, it would not be able to continue to grow at the intended pace. Currently, Turkish Airlines is roughly the tenth largest airline group globall...
The order was expected, as it has been discussed widely in the press in recent days, and comes after many years of negotiations. Without any information on price, we do not see the announcement as market moving, but we consider it broadly positive that the company managed to finalise its talks with Boeing constructively, as without the additional aircraft, it would not be able to continue to grow at the intended pace. Currently, Turkish Airlines is roughly the tenth largest airline group globall...
HEADLINES: • LPP: 2Q25 small beat vs. our ambitious expectations; 22% yoy sales growth in 3Q-to-date; FY25E guidance maintained POSITIVE • Rainbow Tours: disappointing 2Q25 results; strong cash flow, driven by prepayments, should support the 3Q25E results NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 2Q25 results review - adj. EBITDA -84% yoy, below our estimates; order intake growth rose to 69% yoy NEUTRAL • Doosan Skoda Power: 2Q25 higher than expected, but a lower backlog, with only CZK 0.5bn in new contracts d...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
HEADLINES: • NEPI Rockcastle: 1H25 good (first look), FFO guidance revised upwards POSITIVE • Halyk Bank: 2Q25 highlights – 2025E guidance revised down, but still targeting >30% ROE NEGATIVE • Turkish Airlines: buys a stake in Air Europa for EUR 300m • 11 bit studios: early access release date for Moonlighter 2: The Endless Vault set as 23 October NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: 2Q25E preview – just flat earnings yoy (due on 18 September)
HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: solid 2Q25, with a beat vs. the market's expectations on stronger other income and lower LLPs POSITIVE • Richter: 2Q25 results broadly in line NEUTRAL • Aselsan: 2Q25 results – strong beat, driven by operating performance POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 2Q25 – EBIT above the consensus on better costs POSITIVE • Isbank: 2Q25 highlights – a mixed bag, but management sounds confident in sharp margin recovery in 2H25E • Cimsa: 2Q25 financial results review – strong revenue grow...
HEADLINES: • EMEA Airlines: 2Q25 traffic - Easter good, conflict bad • GEK Terna: motorway traffic grows faster than expected in 1H25 POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: changes in the Supervisory Board NEUTRAL • Allegro: expands its delivery network via a partnership with Zabka, adding 11,600+ new pick-up points NEUTRAL • Jahez: takeaways from the conference call on the Snoonu deal POSITIVE • Titan Cement: 2Q25E financial results preview (due on 31 July)
Calendar 2Q25 started off well for the sector, benefitting from the Easter effect and low fuel prices, but many airlines experienced disruptions to their networks later in the quarter, following Israel’s attack on Iran. Demand for flying seems broadly resilient so far, with fares helped by limited capacity growth in Europe, due to supply constraints. As we move into the peak season, Air Traffic Control (ATC) remains a bottleneck, especially as parts of the European network remain closed to traff...
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: disruption in Middle East operations • Romanian banks: draft government plan suggests new tax on banks is being considered • MOL: to acquire Budapest University of Technology and Economics NEGATIVE • Graphisoft Park: sells residential land plot POSITIVE • CEZ: AGM approves dividend of CZK 47/share NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: to invest in solar power plant in Bulgaria NEUTRAL • OPAP: Greece invites bidders for State lotteries licence NEUTRAL • Short News (BFT, CDR)
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (16-22 June) • Turkish Airlines: confirms talks over Air Europa stake purchase NEUTRAL • Aegean Airlines: may issue EUR 200-250m of new bonds NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: might raise up to 3.5m shares in the next 5Y NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: MSCI 2025 Global Market Accessibility Review
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