Ulker has experienced a significant re-rating over the past 12 months due to efforts to improve profitability, working capital, and financial leverage. We've incorporated inflation adjustments and the superior operational performance observed in 1Q24 into our financial projections. Consequently, we have raised our target price per share to TL241 (previously TL154) and maintain our BUY rating. Ulker has notably reduced its net debt by 17% year-over-year in USD terms, effectively lowering the net ...
We discontinue our coverage of the following stocks, with immediate effect. We caution against using the forecasts, ratings and price target guidance issued previously on these stocks: AD Plastik Arena Hospitality Group Bittnet Ciech Conpet Dogus Otomotiv Ekspress Grupp Fintel Energija Immofinanz Kcell Kernel KGHM Komercijalna Banka NLB Banka Petrol Group S Immo Sava Re Shelly Group (formerly Allterco) STS Group Turk Telekom Turkcell Ulker Zagreb Stock Exchange
EME Equity Market – November 2023 Market performance – Greeks in the lead, in a month with only green across the region. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 5.6% mom in EUR terms and 8.7% mom in USD in November. The Greek ASE Index was the top performer in our region (+6.9% mom), followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.5% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom). The Czech PX Index saw the most muted performance, advancing 2.8% mom.
Including Ulker to our model portfolio: We are including Ulker to our model portfolio. We've factored in the better-than-expected third-quarter results, along with a significant improvement in working capital and financial leverage. Consequently, we've raised our target price per share to TL145 and maintain our BUY rating. Ulker has impressively reduced net debt by 12% q/q in USD terms, effectively bringing down the net debt/EBITDA ratio to below 2x. This marks the lowest level since the acquis...
We've factored in the better-than-expected third-quarter results, along with a significant improvement in working capital and financial leverage. Consequently, we've raised our target price per share to TL145 (previously TL95) and maintain our BUY rating. Ulker has impressively reduced net debt by 12% q/q in USD terms, effectively bringing down the net debt/EBITDA ratio to below 2x. This marks the lowest level since the acquisition of Onem Gida in 2021. Considering Ulker’s 60% value erosion in i...
HEADLINES: • Teknosa: good things come in small packages (BUY - initiation of coverage) • OTP Bank: beats expectations with 3Q23 delivery • Bank Handlowy: solid 3Q23, DPS feasible and attractive, still a reason to own the stock NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 3Q23 beat on costs POSITIVE • Dogus Otomotiv: strong bottom-line beat in 3Q23 POSITIVE • Ulker: 3Q23 results - strong beat POSITIVE • Sok Marketler Ticaret: 3Q23 in line operationally, strong bottom-line beat on deferred tax income NEUTRAL • Public P...
We incorporate new macro forecasts, price adjustments reflecting the uptrend in food inflation, and a higher corporate tax rate. We, thus, increase target price per share to TL95 and maintain BUY rating. Ulker has recently taken steps to improve its financial position, including the refinancing of its syndication loan, reduction of short FX position, and repurchase of USD50 million-denominated notes (originally totalling USD 650 million). While we recognize that these efforts to strengthen the f...
EME Equity Market – August 2023 Market performance – Turkey the top performer in August, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.2% mom in USD in August. Turkey, yet again, outperformed its peers, with the ISE30 gaining 9.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX index saw a solid performance in August, adding 6.1% mom in EUR terms, while the Romanian BET had a lacklustre month, barely making any gains (0.1% mom in EUR terms). Elsewhere, the index performances were neg...
HEADLINES: • Bank of Georgia: 2Q23 - strong quarter with more capital returns POSITIVE • Photon Energy: cuts FY23E EBITDA guidance by 66%, to EUR 10m NEGATIVE • Dino: 2Q23 EBITDA misses both our and the market's expectations by 3-5% NEUTRAL • Turkcell: 2Q23 results - FY23E guidance upgraded, dividends still uncertain NEUTRAL • BIM: 2Q23 results - in line operationally, but bottom line beat expectations NEUTRAL • Ulker: 2Q23 results - bottom line as expected NEUTRAL • Addiko Bank: solid 2Q23, wit...
This week's CPI print has sharply shifted market expectations, with scope for the recent risk-on moves to continue into the summer. At the same time, in spread terms much of the IG space is looking rich, with the single-B and distressed tier one of the few areas in credit remaining that could still offer some decent value for spread compression.
EME Equity Market – March 2023 Market performance – all geographies down in March. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 7.6% mom in EUR terms and 5.7% mom in USD in March. Among a sea of red, Romania’s BET saw the smallest decline (-2.6% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Czech PX Index (-5.5% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX indices saw similar declines (-7.4% and -7.5% mom ,respectively, in EUR terms), while the worst performer for the month was the Turkish ISE30, down 10.5% mo...
HEADLINES: • Middle East oil services: not boring, drilling (initiating on Arabian Drilling with a BUY and ADNOC Drilling with a HOLD) • Sok Marketler: 4Q22 in line operationally, 2023E guidance signals room for upward estimate revisions POSITIVE • U:lker: 4Q22 results - strong beat POSITIVE • Tauron: 4Q22 prelims - EBITDA beat and net loss miss driven by mining, core assets broadly in line NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: USD 24.2m exposure to SVB NEGATIVE • Dogus Otomotiv: receives EUR 150m to finance ...
HEADLINES: • Georgia macro: Georgian Dream withdraws legislation on "foreign agents" • Poland macro: NBP remains on hold • Romania macro: gently does it • Jumbo: strong February sales momentum and 2023E guidance • Asseco Poland: 4Q22 preliminary net profit reaches PLN 126m, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • OMV: creates geothermal joint venture with Wien Energie • Hellenic Bank: issues EUR 200m Tier 2 subordinated notes • Public Power Corporation: signs deal to acquire Enel's Romanian a...
EME Equity Market – November 2022 Market performance – Turkey does it again, breezing past everyone else, once more, in November. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 11.6% mom in EUR terms and 16.7% mom in USD. The ISE30 index, again, boasted the best performance among our coverage, adding 18.6% mom in EUR terms and 23.9% mom in local currency (lcl) terms. Positive performances were also recorded in the WIG (+14.0% EU /13.0% lcl mom), the BUX (+12.6% EUR/12.0% lcl mom), the BET (+8.4% EUR/8.6% lcl...
HEADLINES: • Turkish Airlines: can it get any better? (stays HOLD) • InPost: 3Q22 beat; no new FY22E guidance, but slowdown in Poland becoming visible POSITIVE • Alpha Bank: strong numbers in 3Q22, reassuring outlook • Logo Yazilim: 3Q22 results - 6% EBITDA beat, accelerated growth POSITIVE • Turk Telekom: 3Q22 results - low-quality NI beat, driven by deferred tax NEGATIVE • BIM: 3Q22 results miss expectations NEGATIVE • Kruk: posts upbeat 3Q22, in line with earlier profit warning POSITIVE • ...
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: posts solid 2Q22 results NEUTRAL • Poland macro: GDP slows, but remains well above trend • Cyfrowy Polsat: 2Q22 results - pro-forma EBITDA down 6% yoy to PLN 893m, in line with consensus NEUTRAL • Tauron: 2Q22 results review - strong figures hit by provisions in generation NEUTRAL • KGHM: EBITDA miss, net income beat, negative operating cash flow • Benefit Systems: takeaways from the call, optimistic 2H22E outlook NEUTRAL • Sava RE: 2Q22 results review - annualised ROE de...
EME Equity Market – May 2022 Market performance – markets down mostly, as MSCI EM Europe Index declines 3.6%. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 3.6% mom and 2.0% mom in EUR and USD terms, respectively, in May. The best-performing index was the Russian MOEX, which added 6.3% mom in EUR terms, but declined 3.7% mom in local currency. However, we note that, with the CBR ban on short selling and restrictions on international investors, as well various sanctions, this performance is not fully comparable ...
HEADLINES: • Terna Energy: strategically positioned (stays BUY) • Sava Re: slight discount, despite competitive ROE profile (stays HOLD) • mBank: big beat on bottom line, but operating profit simply solid and not as much of a surprise POSITIVE • Dogus Otomotiv: better-than-expected 1Q22 results POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 1Q22 results - small beat, bullish FY22E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: stable 1Q22 results, valuation remains attractive NEUTRAL • InPost: 1Q22 beat on stronge...
EME Equity Market – March 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks mostly in the black, despite the MSCI EM Europe Index losing half of its value. Following its decline in February, the MSCI EM Europe Index lost in March as well, declining by 49.5% in EUR terms and 50.1% in USD terms. Russia’s MOEX Index added 13.2% in EUR terms and 9.4% RUB terms (we note that Russian companies’ GDRs are still suspended for trading). The Turkish ISE30 Index added 8.2% in EUR terms and 13.3% in local curren...
Ulker held an analyst meeting on Friday. Main highlight are as follows; • Ulker announced a loss of TRY1.1 billion in 4Q21 due to its net FX position and financial expenses. The Company completed the year with a TRY464 mln loss. • The management shared that one of their main targets in 2022 is to increase its profitability. While the Company did not share 2022 guidance, it is stated that January and February 2022 figures were off the charts compared to both 4Q21 and 1Q21. • The Company expect...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.