Although Q1 PTP declined by 19% YOY to EUR377m, due to a lower investment result, Sampo continued to see strong underwriting momentum, with 9% YOY GWP growth (in local FX) and a 2.5%-points stronger underlying combined ratio YOY. Based on a better synergy outlook from the integration of Topdanmark, it increased its cost improvement guidance. We have raised our 2026–2027e EPS by ~1% on higher growth and ongoing underwriting improvements. We have raised our target price to EUR10.2 (9.8), and reite...
We forecast Q1 organic sales growth of just 0.6% YOY, below the full-year guidance, owing to persistent headwinds in wholesale. However, with Managed Care headwinds set to annualise from Q2, better quarters should lie ahead. We expect an unchanged 2025 guidance of 3–7% organic sales growth and DKK4.5bn–4.9bn in EBIT, but we find the lower end most likely. We reiterate our BUY but have cut our target price to DKK300 (320).
The US Trade Representative on 17 April published revised US port fees with significant changes to the initial proposal based on industry feedback. In its current form, the fees will primarily discourage use of Chinese-controlled maritime trade services to the US, and directly affect the use of Chinese-built vessels in US ports (with several considerable exemptions to avoid harm to US trade). The previous broader fees based on fleet composition and share of Chinese-built vessels has been scrappe...
A director at Dorian LPG Ltd bought 30,000 shares at 17.750USD and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...
Helped by benign weather with few storms, we expect solid underwriting across the Nordic P&C sector for Q1, with underlying performance further supported by earned repricing momentum and abating claims inflation. The sector is trading at an attractive average 2026e P/E of c15.2x and we see solid capital distribution prospects. We reiterate our recommendations on all our covered sector names and highlight Tryg as our top pick.
The recurring theme at our 18th Energy & Shipping Conference was geopolitical uncertainty and a potential trade war, warranting a wait-and-see approach, particularly on the Trump 2.0 effect. The consensus view pointed to high asset values, with no rush to the yards, aligning with below-NAV valuations across most of our coverage. However, panellists generally saw less downside risk than the 25% average discount to steel for our Tanker, Dry Bulk and Gas coverage. Overall, the day highlighted uncer...
We have adjusted our estimates to reflect the now completed 4-to-1 share split announced by the board on 5 February. While we forecast unchanged earnings, we have revised our 2025–2027e EPS and DPS due to the increased share count. We do not consider these changes to be material, and we have not changed our BUY recommendation. We have adjusted our target price to EUR9.80 (49).
A director at Sampo bought 7,500 shares at 41.097EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 57/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing ...
Against a backdrop of soft financial markets and one-off integration costs, Sampo continues to deliver a solid underwriting performance, with the Q4 adjusted risk ratio improving by 0.3%-points YOY, helped by currency-adjusted GWP growth of 18% YOY. We believe the company’s efforts to mitigate claims inflation and increased frequencies should support growth and earnings, in line with the ambitions from the 2024 CMD, and have raised our 2025–2026e EPS by ~1%. We reiterate our BUY and have raised ...
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