Two Directors at Top Glove Corporation Bhd bought 6,000,000 shares at between 0.552MYR and 0.553MYR. The significance rating of the trade was 66/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's direct...
2QFY26: Propelling Forward Despite Challenges Ahead Highlights TOPG charted resilient revenue and sales volume growth in 2QFY26, but results were below expectations as net profit and margin contracted due to lower blended ASP and weakening forex. Management raised ASPs as much as US$7/’000 pieces in April, mainly to offset the spiking raw material prices due to the Middle East tensions. While FY26 earnings remain on track for good growth (+15%), risk-reward appears balanced with fair valua...
Greater China Company Results | Fuyao Glass (3606 HK/BUY/HK$60.25/Target: HK$105.00) FYG’s 4Q25 GAAP net profit missed expectations at Rmb2,248m (+11.3% yoy/-0.5% qoq), due to forex losses. Stripping out one-off items, adjusted net profit met estimates at Rmb2,427m (+36.2% yoy/+4.0% qoq) on a yoy margin expansion. Its earnings outlook remains brilliant, backed by: a) continuous market share gain overseas, b) ASP increase from optimisation of product mix, and c) its aluminium trim business. M...
Setbacks From Macro Challenges; Modest Growth In FY26 Highlights 2QFY26 results will see a modest sales volume growth, but profitability likely faces pressure from the weakening MYR/USD rate and higher input costs. 2026-27 earnings recovery remains intact despite various challenges, lifted by better sales volume and various production optimisation efforts. Risk-reward still appears unattractive at this juncture. Maintain HOLD and target price of RM0.57.
Greater China Company Results | Chongqing Brewery (600132 CH/NOT RATED/Rmb56.22) In 2025, CBC achieved revenue of Rmb14,722m (+1% yoy) and core net profit of Rmb1,188m (-3% yoy). Sales volume increased 1% yoy and ASP remained largely flat. On-premise channels showed a slight improvement during the CNY holiday, but still remained under pressure. In contrast, off-premise channels performed well. While there has been a surge of small players in emerging channels, this is seen as a positive developm...
A Long Winter Highlights Oversupply and sub-optimal utilisation rates are likely to continue weighing on earnings recovery prospects. China manufacturers’ aggressive capacity expansion are disrupting industry supply-demand equilibrium. Top-line remains under pressure from the weakening MYR/USD rate. The sector’s risk-reward pay-off appears neutral with potential structural derating from China’s capacity influx and aggressive expansion strategies. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
Greater China Company Update | Lenovo Group (992 HK/HOLD/HK$8.95/Target: HK$9.70) Lenovo is expected to report its 3QFY26 results on 12 Feb 26. We estimate adjusted net profit to grow 8.2% yoy to US$470m on the back of a 12.1% yoy growth in revenue. The solid revenue growth was primarily driven by pulled-forward demand as consumers rushed to replace their PCs before further price hikes amid a memory super cycle. We factor in a worse-than-expected memory shortage and trim our FY27-28 estimate...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Ja...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&C an...
Adopting To A New Equilibrium Highlights Additional 100% US tariffs on China exports from the current high base have limited incremental impacts on Malaysian glovemakers’ earnings. Oversupply and sub-optimal utilisation rates are likely to continue to weigh on earnings recovery prospects. Sector’s risk-reward payoff appears neutral with potential structural de-rating from China’s capacity influx and aggressive expansion strategies. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
Greater China Economics | Trade China’s trade rebounded strongly in September, with exports (8.3%, +3.9ppt) and imports (7.4%, +6.1ppt) beating expectations. This month marked the strongest monthly growth for imports in 2025, thanks to the trade surplus narrowing to US$90.4b. Demand from non-US markets held firm while domestic recovery gained traction. Imports for integrated circuits, agricultural products and key commodities improved. On the export front, hi-tech and mechanical & electrical...
4QFY25: Improving Earnings Momentum, But Challenges Persist Highlights TOPG made a turnaround into core net profit in 4QFY25 due to strong volume sales and lower raw material costs. Despite better US demand and margin uptick anticipated in FY26, intensifying competition in Europe remains a threat to mid- to long-term earnings. Risk-reward appears neutral following yesterday’s share price action (+15%). Maintain HOLD with a lower target price of RM0.70 (from RM0.71).
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile This week we focus on China's automobile sector under the "anti-involution" policy, which is slowing auto sales and stabilising car prices, but pressuring margins. While domestic sales slow, exports remain strong. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT on China’s automobile sector, with CATL and Geely as our top BUYs for innovation, while advising investors to SELL BYD and Li Auto due to margin and sales pressures. Key focuses include policy execution, inventory and o...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: October Conviction Calls The HSI and MSCI China gained 7.1%/8.2% mom in September on Fed easing and optimism over advancements in semiconductors and AI. We remain positive in the medium term but expect near-term consolidation after the recent strong gains. The best performer of the month was Alibaba (+53.0% mom). With some rotations expected in non-tech stocks, our October calls are: add Galaxy, Jacobson, Ping An, Trip.com and WuXi Bio to BUY; SELL Meituan. ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: Add Anta, BYDE and CSCEC to our BUY list, Li Auto and OOIL to our SELL list. Take profit on Innovent, JD Logistics, Lenovo, Sino Biopharm, Tencent and TME. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In August: Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, ARCI, BBCA, BBNI, BRMS, MTEL, HRUM and NCKL. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Wake Me Up When September Ends: Our Aug 25 Alpha Picks underperformed marginally. Sep 25 picks: Alpha IVF, Hume ...
A Glimpse Of Hope Amid Trump Tariff Setback In a landmark decision, a US federal appeals court voted 7–4 to strike down most of President Trump’s global tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), ruling that the administration lacked explicit congressional authority. The verdict delivers a heavy blow to the cornerstone of Trump’s trade policy and marks its second consecutive defeat in the closely watched case of V.O.S. Selections vs Trump. Trump blasted the ru...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: Add JBM Healthcare and Lenovo to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In July: Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, AKRA, ARCI, BBNI, KLBF, MTEL, and MYOR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Some Opportunities Amid A “Summer Lull”: Our July 25 Alpha Picks outperformed. Aug 25 picks: Coraza, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari, RHB and Zetrix. SINGAPORE ...
Mounting Pressures From Elevated US Tariffs And China Competition The Malaysian glove sector is weathering challenges such as the geopolitical reshuffling, higher US reciprocal tariffs (25%), and intensifying competition from China. Earnings delivery is lagging expectations with a meaningful recovery expected only in 4Q25. Although the sector’s forward valuations are well below the historical average, we acknowledge that there could be a potential long-term structural de-rating. We lower our 202...
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Bi-Weekly: Expecting strong 1H25 results. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750 CH/BUY/Rmb277.09 /Target: Rmb390.00) 2Q25: Earnings in line, with margins hitting record-high levels. Maintain A-share at BUY. Downgrade H-share to HOLD. New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$44.37/Target: US$55.00) ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls: Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June: Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Positioning For Positive US Trade Deals: Our Jun 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Jul 25 picks: Coraza, Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari and MYEG. SINGAP...
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