A director at Top Glove Corporation Bhd sold 770,000 shares at 0.375SGD and the significance rating of the trade was 77/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two yea...
A New, Different Beginning While the Malaysian gloves sector charted an impressive turnaround in 2024 after the COVID-19 lows as expected, risk-reward appears less appealing currently as valuations are trading close to the historical mean based on 2025’s full earnings recovery. Despite more optimism emerging following better operating matrixes and several rounds of catch-up upgrades by consensus, we believe that these have been fairly reflected in the recent share price movement. Downgrade to MA...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls: Add CATL, JD Logistics, Miniso and Plover Bay to our BUY list, and Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Our Selections Outperform In 2024: Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Still Ample Domestic Catalysts: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Dec 24. Jan 25 picks: Gamuda, GENM, MrDIY, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, SP Setia, VSI and Yinson. SINGAP...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls: Add Hansoh Pharma, Sands China, CSCEC and BYDE to our BUY list. Add Sinopharm to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in Oct 24: Our picks are NCKL, BBTN, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Gearing Up For The Reporting Season: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Oct 24. Nov 24 picks: EcoWorld, Gamuda, Lagenda, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, Top Glove, VSI and Yinson...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls Add Hansoh Pharma, Sands China, CSCEC and BYDE to our BUY list. Add Sinopharm to our SELL list. Sector Aviation – China Airlines: 3Q24 earnings a slight miss; expect losses in seasonally weak 4Q24. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Macau Gaming Oct 24 GGR up 7% yoy and...
Alpha Picks: Gearing Up For The Reporting Season Our Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI in Oct 24 (-0.5% vs -2.9%). While the equity market still lacks conviction, our Alpha Picks should still outperform in Nov 24, driven by expected winners in the upcoming reporting season (MYEG), as well as beneficiaries of dividends (RGB) and M&A activities (Yinson). Nov 24 picks: EcoWorld, Gamuda, Lagenda, MYEG, Pekat, RHB Bank, RGB, Top Glove (replacing Sime Darby), VSI and Yinson.
4QFY24: Hours Before Dawn TOPG’s core losses narrowed in 4QFY24. Despite results being below our expectations due to unprecedented forex movement, several silver linings such as rising volume sales (+31% qoq) and ASP trends reinforced recovering industry dynamics. Meanwhile, recent deterioration of US-China trade tension is catalysing meaningful demand flowback, allowing TOPG to progressively restore its pre-pandemic’s profitability in FY25-26. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of RM1.31.
INDONESIA Asian Gems Corporate Highlights Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia (ACES IJ/BUY/Rp720/Target: Rp1,200) Store expansion pace picking up. MALAYSIA Sector Plantation MPOB's Sep 24 data showed slow inventory rebuilding due to a decline in production even as exports improved. Results Top Glove (TOPG MK/BUY/RM1.03/Target: RM1.31) 4QFY24: Losses narrow but below expectation...
Scoping Beyond Near-term Headwinds After the recent meeting with management, we remain optimistic on Top Glove’s prospects over a medium-term horizon. Despite anticipating short-term headwinds due to an unprecedented weakening of the US dollar, TOPG’s operating matrixes are seeing visible signs of recovery. More importantly, the recently revised US tariff hike on China medical gloves is poised to catalyse meaningful flowback of demand to Malaysian glovemakers. Maintain BUY and target price of RM...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: October Conviction Calls: Adding CATL, Geely and Plover Bay to our BUY list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Defensive Stance Worked In Sep 24: Our picks are ASII, BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Update Top Glove (TOPG MK/BUY/RM1.01/Target: RM1.45): After the recent meeting with management, we remain optimistic on Top Glove’s prospects over a medium-term horizon. Maintain BUY with a target price of RM1.45. SINGAPORE Strateg...
US Raises China Gloves Tariffs In Protectionism, Trade Rivalries A further precipitous tariff hike and earlier implementation timeline announced by the US authority on China’s medical-grade gloves are poised to revitalise investors’ sentiment on the Malaysian glove sector. With the sector’s post-pandemic recovery eclipsing earnings amid demand moderation, domestic glovemakers should progressively reclaim market share from China, sustaining concrete ASP trajectories and margin upticks. Maintain O...
A Late Bloomer On Sector Recovery Cycle After three years of industry consolidation, visible signs of demand recovery from distributors’ accelerating restocking cycle, an inception of regional producers’ ASP upcycle, and the potential deterioration of the US-China trade tensions weigh on Top Glove's outlook. Against the backdrop of these tailwinds, we have recalibrated our valuation multiples upwards. Top Glove still appeals as a laggard with its high beta and optimistic sector prospects. Mainta...
GREATER CHINA Initiate Coverage CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical Co (300765 CH/BUY/Rmb24.40/Target: Rmb33.00): Transforming into a drug innovator with over 200% earnings CAGR in 2024-26. INDONESIA Update Dayamitra Telekomunikasi (MTEL IJ/BUY/Rp690/Target: Rp810): Expect 52% yoy growth in 2024 fibre optic revenue; exploring non-terrestrial network technology’s potential; maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Top Glove (TOPG MK/BUY/RM1.24/Target: RM1.45): Against a backdrop of favourable tailwinds, we hav...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: Sales of top 12 EV brands rose 5% mom/wow last week, in line. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Tuopu and Joyson Electronics. Top SELL: XPeng. INDONESIA Strategy The Beginning Of The Rate Cut Cycle: Our top picks are BBCA, BBNI, BMRI, BBTN, BSDE, CTRA, BUKA, CMRY, ACES and JSMR. We have an end-24 target of 7,800 for the JCI. MALAYSIA Results Top Glove (TOPG MK/BUY/RM1.14/Target: RM1.28): 3QFY24: Core losses narrowed on sales growth; reporte...
3QFY24: Turning Over A New Leaf Top Glove reported narrowing core losses in 3QFY24. This reflects volume sales growth (+13% qoq) amid a sequential demand recovery and rising ASP trends, offsetting surging raw material costs (+16-20% qoq). Although yet to turn around core losses, Top Glove’s progressive operating matrixes refinement and recent deterioration of US-China trade tension may continue to catalyse the group’s reversion to prepandemic profitability. Maintain BUY and target price of RM1.2...
Blooming In Spring The Malaysian glove sector is officially out of the woods with anticipation of sequential earnings growth coming into fruition throughout 2024. We have also observed a feasible trend of improving operating statistics from the past few quarters. With this and the US’ precipitous tariff hike on China’s medical-grade gloves beginning 2026, we re-affirm our optimism that potential valuation re-rating may continue to catalyse the sector’s positive share price trajectories. Maintain...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pull back last week. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Tuopu and Joyson Electronics. Top SELLs: XPeng. Internet Strategic revamp to foster re-accelerating growth and shareholders’ return. INDONESIA Update Bank Tabungan Negara (BBTN IJ/BUY/Rp1,240/Target: Rp1,700) ...
Selective Exporters With Exposure To Related Strategic Sectors To Benefit Further From The Latest Round Of Tariff Hikes We believe the latest round of tariff hikes directed by the US president Joe Biden will lend further strength to selective Malaysian exporters given Malaysia’s geographical neutrality. A statement released by The White House stated that following an in-depth review by the United States Trade Representative, President Biden is taking action to protect American workers and Americ...
Plot Twist From Escalating US-China Trade Tension The precipitous tariff hike announced by US authorities on China’s medical-grade gloves beginning 2026 is poised to revitalise investors’ sentiment on the Malaysian glove sector. While the sector’s recovery plot continues to thicken beyond postpandemic eclipsing earnings and demand moderation, we anticipate domestic glovemakers to progressively reclaim market share from China, sustaining concrete ASP trajectories and future margin upticks. Mainta...
2QFY24: A Setback With Silver Linings Core losses widened in 2QFY24, reflecting a time lag of ASP adjustment to counter surging input costs. This offset volume growth (+18% qoq). Nevertheless, management’s upbeat narrative on a sequential demand recovery and rising regional ASP trends in the post-results briefing came as positive surprises. These catalysts may be sufficient to re-ignite investors’ confidence and allow Top Glove to re-rate towards mean valuations. Upgrade to BUY with a higher tar...
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