EME Equity Market – April 2025 EME indices mostly in the red in April, Hungarian BUX and Greek ASE the exceptions. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.0% mom in EUR terms, but was up 2.9% mom in USD terms in April. The Hungarian BUX was the best performer, followed by the Greek ASE index (+3.5% and 0.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively). There was a slight decline in the Polish WIG20, and more pronounced deteriorations in the Romanian BET and Czech PX indices (-0.6%, -2.0% and -4.2% mom in EUR ...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: very solid 1Q25, supporting our 2025E 20%+ ROE, trading at 1.3x BV and a 9%+ yield very attractive • Komercni Banka: beat on 1Q25 bottom line driven by LLPs releases, pre-provision profit falls short of expectations NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 1Q25 results in line; 2025E ROTE guidance sustained, but market focus on potential big M&A effort • mBank: 1Q25 solid, but valuation reflects recovery already; 2025E revenue guidance a little disappointing • Santander Bank Polska: solid ...
HEADLINES: • Halyk Bank: efficient frontier (stays BUY) • Diagnostyka: 4Q24 prelims and DPS proposal ahead of expectations POSITIVE • Kety: 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries, PLN 48.78 DPS proposed NEUTRAL • Kety: new strategy assumes PLN 1.35bn in EBITDA in 2029E, close to our forecast NEUTRAL • CEZ: said to be nearing sale of nuclear SPV to the State POSITIVE • Poland macro: mixed results in March • Greece macro: 2024 budget surplus triggers one-off fiscal easing this year • Kazatomp...
A director at GR Sarantis S.A. bought 3,606 shares at 11.800EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clear...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: agrees to limit retail fees NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: EGM approves capital increase, via issuance of up to 280k new shares NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: may face change of strategic investor NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: March sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 1Q25 bookings at USD 62m, almost flat qoq NEUTRAL
HEADLINES: • CIS-plus macro: Georgia, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan face indirect risks from US tariffs, but growth trajectory to remain intact • CD Projekt / gaming sector: Nintendo delays Switch 2 pre-orders in the US, due to tariffs NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: new US tariffs should have a marginal impact on the company's business NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: US import tariffs unlikely to affect demand or margins NEUTRAL • DataWalk: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call POSITIVE • Hungarian telecoms: g...
HEADLINES: • Magyar Telekom: regulatory risk outweighs the growth story (downgraded to HOLD) • DataWalk: actual 4Q24 figures in line with the prelims; strong hikes in sales funnel and value of acquired contracts in 1Q25 POSITIVE • LPP: key takeaways from 4Q24 and the strategy update presentation POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 4Q24-25 preliminary earnings call NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: management's initial comment on US tariffs NEGATIVE • European oil and gas monthly: March 2025 – refi...
We have downgraded our rating on Magyar Telekom (MTELEKOM) to HOLD (from Buy) and raised our price target (PT) to HUF 1,635/share (from HUF 1,432), implying 4% upside potential. After keeping our Buy for four years (with a 289% share price rally in that time), we close our call. We continue to appreciate MTELEKOM’s growth outlook (a 7.0% 2024-27E EBITDA CAGR) and generous investor remuneration (a c.10% dividend yield in 2025-26E), but see the current discount on its valuation vs. its peers as ju...
HEADLINES: • LPP: mediocre 4Q24 – EBIT 4-5% below expectations, but decent start to the year; FY25E guidance broadly maintained, and FY26-27E guidance of stable margins, despite major sales growth acceleration POSITIVE • EEMEA macro: US reciprocal tariff effects • Trade Estates: strong 2024 results POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: 4Q24 results – CCS EBITDA in line with the consensus, but net income weak NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 4Q24 in line with the prelims NEUTRAL • Text: 4Q24-25 (calendar 1Q25) prelimi...
EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.
Delivering on FY’24 targets… – Sarantis delivered a solid performance in FY’24, with sales up 24% to €600m and EBIT rising 30% to €61m. Organic EBIT growth reached 14.7%, driven by a better product mix and efficiency gains. International sales surged 31%, supported by the Stella Pack acquisition (+15% uplift), while Greece saw a 10% increase. Net profit grew 17% to €46m, slightly below expectations due to one-off financial costs. Importantly, Sarantis beat guidance on most metrics and demonstrat...
Delivering on FY’24 targets… – Sarantis delivered a solid performance in FY’24, with sales up 24% to €600m and EBIT rising 30% to €61m. Organic EBIT growth reached 14.7%, driven by a better product mix and efficiency gains. International sales surged 31%, supported by the Stella Pack acquisition (+15% uplift), while Greece saw a 10% increase. Net profit grew 17% to €46m, slightly below expectations due to one-off financial costs. Importantly, Sarantis beat guidance on most metrics and demonstrat...
The buildup to more tariff news next week is likely to keep investors on edge, while spreads generally remain fairly tight. We see technicals as the main supportive factor for EM credit, with a decent amount of sovereign issuance out of the way.
HEADLINES: • Pepco Group: structurally challenged (downgraded to HOLD) • Air Astana Group: 4Q24 – good, at first glance; dividend surprises positively • CEZ: takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEGATIVE • Allegro: key takeaways from the 4Q24 call POSITIVE • Shoper: takeaways from the post-4Q24 prelims management call NEUTRAL • Polish banks: receive maximum dividend payout ratio letters from the PFSA – no surprises NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: unfavourable ruling results in closure of Wałbrzych branch (2...
HEADLINES: • CEZ: 4Q24 results a strong beat, FY25E guidance also positive POSITIVE • PKO BP: posts solid 4Q24, and sets solid base for 2025E delivery NEUTRAL • Sarantis: FY24 slightly above guidance; minor guidance upgrade for 2025E POSITIVE • Allegro: 4Q24 EBITDA beat, solid FY25E guidance, PLN 1.4bn buyback POSITIVE • Inter Cars: preliminary 4Q24 net profit rises 41% yoy, but a slight miss vs. expectations NEUTRAL • Shoper: 4Q24 preliminary adjusted EBITDA up 32% yoy, sound 12% beat vs. our f...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: conditional USD 420m agreement to buy leading MAC Group fitness chain in Türkiye POSITIVE • Inter Cars: February sales growth decelerates to 3% yoy NEGATIVE • CTP: issues EUR 1bn of green bonds in two tranches, 6Y and 10Y POSITIVE • Ford Otosan: signs agreement with Iveco to develop heavy truck cabin models NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: comments on electricity price freeze for 4Q25 NEUTRAL • Baltic Classifieds Group: acquires Lithuanian real estate valuation platform ...
EME Equity Market – February 2025 Poland outperforms, again; Türkiye declines. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.1% in EUR terms and 2.9% mom in USD terms in February. The Polish WIG20 was, once again, the best performer, adding 7.3% mom in February; followed by the Czech PX Index (+6.1% mom); while Greece (+3.8% mom), Hungary (+3.5% mom) and Romania (+3.0% mom) all reported rather similar performances. The Turkish ISE30 was the worst performer, declining 4.5% mom.
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