reports
- Paul Bryant
Solid H1 as investments in capacity start to pay off
AUM was up by £2.2bn or 6% over H1-24, reaching £39.6bn on 31 Mar 24 (30 Sep 23: £37.4bn). This was a top-third growth rate among a London-listed peer group. While sustainable investing flows around the world have been subdued, we are seeing some early signs of a return to stronger flows. H1-24 revenue of £86.2m was down 2% y-o-y from £88.0m in H1-23 on lower average AUM levels and an unchanged average fee margin of 45bps. However, an AUM recovery during the period saw run-rate revenue increase...
Polar Capital Holdings: 1 director
A director at Polar Capital Holdings sold 5,000 shares at 526p and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...
- Paul Bryant
AUM up 30% in FY24, record flows, forecasts raised
AUM jumped £3.8bn or +30% in FY24, reaching £16.6bn on 31 Mar 24, 12% above our previous forecast of £14.7bn. Including 50%-owned 8AM Global, Assets Under Influence hit £17.6bn. Investment performance provided a tailwind, adding £1.5bn to AUM. But our key takeaway from Tatton’s hugely impressive last few years, is that it has designed and implemented a superior offering in platform-MPS with net flows consistently far higher than peers. That leadership looks even more pronounced in H2-24 with net...
- Robin Savage
- Paul Bryant
AUM and forecasts up, stellar returns, positive flows
AUM jumped £2.3bn (+12%) over Q4 of FY24 to £21.9bn on 31 Mar 24, which is 12% above our previous forecast of £19.5bn, and +14% y-o-y growth (AUM 31 Mar 23: £19.2bn). In turn, our FY24 revenue forecast increases from £188.4m to £191.6m (+5% y-o-y, FY23: £182.9m). PBT rose from £50.1m to £52.1m (+15% y-o-y, FY23: £45.2m) and basic EPS from 38.3p to 39.8p (+8% y-o-y, FY23: 36.8p). The EPS revision translates to a forward PER of just 11.5x Investment performance was the booster for AUM in Q4, add...
- Paul Bryant
Investment performance drives 6% H1 AUM growth
AUM was up by £2.2bn or 6% over H1-24, reaching £39.6bn on 31 Mar 24 (30 Sep 23: £37.4bn). This is slightly above the trajectory required to meet our FY24 AUM forecast of £41.1bn (+10% annual growth), but taking a cautious approach our FY24 forecasts remain unchanged. A very strong investment performance was the growth driver in H1, contributing +£4.9bn (+13%) while net outflows were £2.7bn. We maintain our strong conviction that medium-to-long term structural factors favour Impax, but also fla...
Impax Asset Management Group: 1 director
A director at Impax Asset Management Group bought 5,500 shares at 434p and the significance rating of the trade was 63/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two year...
Tatton Asset Management: 1 director
A director at Tatton Asset Management sold 200,000 shares at 561p and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cle...
Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 07 Mar 24
7th March 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: TMT Acquisition (TMTA.L) has left the Standard Segment of the London Stock Exchange. What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Takeovers: Change of Market: Banquet Buffet*** Brooks Macdonald Group £16.275 £267.6m (BRK.L) Th...
- Paul Bryant
FUM up 4.3% in quarter, profit forecast upgraded a touch
FUM rose by 4.3% in Q2-FY24 from £16.9bn on 30 Sep 23 to £17.6bn on 31 Dec 23. This is on track to meet our end-FY24 (30 Jun 24) FUM target of £18.4bn (+9% y-o-y growth). Investment performance was strong, contributing £821m to FUM or +4.9% of opening FUM. Net flows remained subdued at -£98m (Q1: -£70m). We remind readers that in Oct 23, BM announced a programme to reduce costs by around £4m per year, with one-off FY24 restructuring costs of up to £3.0m. This followed extensive technology and d...
- Paul Bryant
Forecasts up on jump in performance fees
AUM grew £0.43bn or 2.2% over Q3 of FY24 (01 Oct 23 - 31 Dec 23) to £19.56bn and is now slightly above our previous £19.40bn forecast for the 31 Mar 24 FY-end. Investment performance was exceptionally strong in the quarter, contributing +£1.51bn or +7.9% of opening AUM. This was despite a currency headwind which would have depressed GBP AUM levels of USD holdings (GBP/USD +4% over Q3 from 1.22 to 1.27). Performance fee profits (net of staff allocations) jumped from the previous marked-to-market...
- Paul Bryant
AUM up 4.6% in Q1 and fixed income acquisition
Impax recorded a solid Q1 of FY24, with AUM growing by £1.7bn (+4.6%) to £39.1bn on 31 Dec 23 (30 Sep 23: £37.4bn). This is above the trajectory required to meet our FY24 AUM forecast of £41.1bn (+10% annual AUM growth), but as it is very early in the financial year and markets remain volatile, we have taken a conservative approach and not yet adjusted our forecasts. It has also announced an acquisition in the fixed income segment. While not huge in the context of the group (£351m or just under...
- Paul Bryant
A tough year, but clear fundamental value
AUM closed FY23 (30 Sep 23) on £37.4bn, 5% up y-o-y. Net flows were slightly negative (-£92m or -0.3% of opening AUM), with investment performance adding £1.8bn. It’s been a tough year for asset managers, but in a London-listed peer group, Impax recorded the second-strongest net flow rate (median -7%, see note). Some experienced heavy (double-digit) net outflows. A profit fall was due to adjusted operating costs increasing faster than revenue, by 11% from £108.0m to £120.3m. Part of this increas...
- Paul Bryant
Navigating tough markets better than most
AUM was slightly down by -0.4% to £19.1bn over H1-24 (to 30 Sep 23). This was however a relatively strong performance compared to most other asset managers. Amidst widespread sector outflows, only two from an 11-strong London-listed peer group outperformed Polar on AUM movement over H1, with some recording falls of more than 10% (see page 2). Investment performance was +£546m, net flows -£581m, and fund closures -£50m. Average AUM was up on H2-23 but down y-o-y from £20.0bn in H1-23 to £19.4bn,...
- Robin Savage
- Paul Bryant
Sector-leading net flows, double-digit profit growth
AUM grew 8% over H1-24 (to 30 Sep 23) from £12.7bn to £13.7bn. Net inflows totalled +£910m (7% of opening AUM), an inflow rate far above most peers, with some experiencing substantial outflows (see page 2). Investment performance contributed +£100m to AUM. Encouragingly, Tatton reports that the level of net inflows of H1 has continued into H2. Revenue was up 10% y-o-y from £15.9m in H1-23 to £17.5m; adjusted operating profit (AOP) increased 11% from £8.0m to £8.9m; and AOP margin hit 50.7%, fro...
- Paul Bryant
Tech investments pave way for staff cuts & margin upside
Brooks Macdonald has announced it intends to reduce staff complement by 55, around 10% of its workforce of just over 500. It expects to save £4m of costs per year from the changes, but it will incur restructuring costs of up to £3.0m, to be recognised in the current FY24. We update our forecasts and valuation as a result of these changes, primarily: - Adding ‘one-off’ restructuring charges of £3m to FY24 which reduces statutory profits but not ‘underlying’ profit. - Reducing staff costs from FY...
- Paul Bryant
Growth rate head-and-shoulders above peers (again)
AUM grew 8% over H1-24 (to 30 Sep 23) from £12.7bn to £13.7bn. Net inflows totalled £910m (7% of opening AUM), showing remarkable strength and consistency (H1-23: £907m, H2-23: £887m). This is even more impressive given the difficult economic and market environment which has hurt the growth of most sector peers, with some experiencing substantial outflows. Market and investment performance contributed £100m to AUM over the half-year. ‘Assets under influence’ (AUI), which includes the AUM of 8AM...
- Robin Savage
- Paul Bryant
Well-flagged sluggish quarter but price fall looks over-done
FUM increased marginally over Q1 of FY24 from £16.85bn on 30 Jun 23 to £16.86bn on 30 Sep 23. As flagged in the FY23 results release of 14th Sep 23, net flows were slightly negative for the quarter at -£70m, although BM has indicated it expects positive flows for the whole of FY24. It’s important to keep this small negative quarterly net flow number in context: it follows nine consecutive quarters of positive flows (achieved despite difficult market conditions) and a period where BM recorded a ...
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