reports
- Paul Bryant
Strong growth drives profit +24%, dividend +19%
FY25 (to 31 Mar 25) was an exceptionally strong year which exceeded our previous forecasts. Revenue grew 23% to £45.3m (previous forecast £44.3m), adjusted operating profit 24% to £22.9m (£22.1m) and PBT 29% to £21.6m (£21.3m). Net cash was £32.1m at year-end with no debt. A final dividend of 9.5p is proposed. Full year dividend is 19.0p (yield 3.2%), +19% YOY. Underpinning performance was sector-leading AUM growth, up 26% to £20.9bn (FY24: £16.6bn). This was in turn mostly a result of record o...
- Robin Savage
Tatton Asset Management (TAM LN) - Full year results beat expectations...
Tatton’s full year results beat our revenue and operating cashflow forecasts. Net inflows continued being strong with £0.6bn in the first 10 weeks of the current year. Using cautious assumptions and guidance, we nudge up our revenue and profit forecasts.
- Paul Bryant
Tough H1, but shares detached from fundamentals
Given previous updates, the impact of challenges faced in H1 is no surprise. AUM fell 32% to £25.3bn, with half of the fall due to two cancelled (low margin) St James’s Place (SJP) mandates. Revenue fell 11% y-o-y to £76.5m, adjusted operating profit dropped 21% to £20.5m, and investors can expect a fall in full-year dividend. However, Impax is hardly the disaster implied by its share price decline: down 31% over six months and by 68% over 12 months – leaving its shares on a forward PE of just ...
- Paul Bryant
Record inflows (again), so impressive given markets
This time last year, we wrote: “our key takeaway from Tatton’s hugely impressive last few years, is that it has designed and implemented a superior offering in platform-MPS with net flows consistently far higher than peers.” That view has only been reinforced with Tatton’s most recent trading update covering FY25 (Apr 24 – Mar 25). It recorded another year of record net inflows, as it did in FY24 (£3.7bn in FY25; £2.3bn in FY24) – a hugely impressive achievement given market weakness and investo...
- Robin Savage
Tatton Asset Management (TAM LN) - Net inflows rise to £307m/month - C...
Tatton’s Assets under Management and Influence “AUM/I” beat Zeus forecast, as “record net inflows of £3.7bn increase AUM/I, up 24% to £21.8bn”. In H2, average net inflows/month were £309m: 1% higher than H1; 33% higher than H2 last year). With higher average AUM and a resilient performance from its IFA support services business, the Board is confident results will be in line with market expectations.
- Paul Bryant
Markets hit AUM in Q4 of FY25, but net flows hold up
AUM fell by £2.4bn (10%) in Q4 of FY25 (to 31 Mar 25), from £23.8bn to £21.4bn. Market movements, investment performance and currency fluctuations accounted for nearly all of the decline (£2.3bn). This was unsurprising considering the heavy falls in technology sector stocks (Dow Jones Global Technology Index: -11%), and Polar’s reporting currency, GBP, strengthening 3% over the US$, depressing the £-value of US$-denominated assets. Pleasingly though, net flows were only marginally negative in Q...
- Paul Bryant
Outlook hit by markets, but price fall looks extreme
AUM fell to £25.3bn on 31 March ‘25 (Q2, FY25), down 25.7% from £34.1bn on 31 Dec ‘24, with £7.8bn of net outflows and £0.99bn negative investment performance. We knew net outflows would be significant in the quarter due to the previously announced termination of a £5.1bn St James’s Place mandate being reflected in Q2, and some other smaller mandate losses. Investment performance was strong relative to broader market indices at -3.3% of average AUM. US markets experienced particularly heavy de...
Brooks Macdonald Group: 1 director
A director at Brooks Macdonald Group bought 1,224 shares at 1,470p and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...
- Robin Savage
Tatton Asset Management (TAM LN) - Assets under Management focus - Cor...
Tatton is growing, even in volatile markets. In the three months to the end of January 2025, Tatton’s core portfolios outperformed their ARC peers (page 4). This note provides a guide to movements in Tatton’s Assets under Management “AuM”. Tatton’s AuM update is expected in mid-April (e.g. 16 April 2024).
- Paul Bryant
AUM fall as expected and profits seen holding up
Ahead of its AGM, Impax has confirmed AUM of £28.5bn on 28 Feb 25. This is close to our expectations as on 31 Dec 24 AUM stood at £34.1bn, and we already knew that the termination of a £5.1bn James’s Place mandate would impact the current quarter (Q2 of FY25). We expect AUM to jump again soon by c. £1.3bn once the Sky Harbor acquisition closes. At the same time Impax reported an acceleration of the efficiency programme. Over 30 roles have been cut since 1 Oct 24 (c. 10% of headcount). This redu...
Polar Capital Holdings: 1 director
A director at Polar Capital Holdings sold 11,000 shares at 513p and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clear...
- Paul Bryant
Q3 AUM +5%, forecasts up on performance fee jump
AUM grew £1.1bn or 4.9% over Q3 of FY25 (Oct 24 - Dec 24) to £23.8bn. This was on the back of a strong investment performance, contributing +£1.47bn despite a Dec 24 market pullback, and modest outflows of £0.26bn, mostly in Oct 24 when equity funds saw widespread outflows ahead of the UK budget. Net flows were positive over the nine months of FY25-to-date (+£0.21bn), and in calendar-2024, Polar was a standout leader among London-listed peers in attracting and retaining AUM (see page 2). The For...
- Paul Bryant
AUM hit by outflows in Q1-25, down 8%
AUM fell 8.3% over Q1 of FY25 (1 Oct 24 - 31 Dec 24) from £37.2bn to £34.1bn. Net outflows were -£2.4bn with investment performance -£0.66bn. The termination of Impax’s smaller mandate with St James’s Place (announced Oct 24) contributed to the outflows (see also below), as well as redemptions driven by industry consolidation in the APAC region. But pleasingly, Impax has continued to see a slow-down in outflows from its largest European distribution partner, BNP Paribas Asset Management, and fro...
- Paul Bryant
SJP ends mandate, but price fall looks unwarranted
Impax has received notice from St. James's Place Unit Trust Group Limited that its mandate to manage the Sustainable & Responsible Equity Fund (SRE) is to be terminated from February 2025, subject to EGM. This is a blow to top-line AUM, with SRE making up c. £5.2bn (30 Nov 24) or c. 14% of total AUM of £37.2bn (30 Sep 24); although the SRE fund was clearly a low-fee-margin account at around 24bps compared to the overall Impax average fee margin of 44.3bps. Therefore, the impact on revenue is fa...
- Paul Bryant
Solid FY24 results, triggers to reignite growth visible
AUM was down a touch by 0.5% in FY24 (1 Oct 23 - 30 Sep 24) to £37.2bn. Net outflows totalled £5.8bn, largely offset by a positive investment performance of +£5.3bn and a contribution of +£0.3bn from the acquisition of fixed-income specialist Absalon Capital Management in Q4. With average AUM also slightly down, revenue fell 4.7% to £170.1m. Adjusted operating costs were firmly under control and decreased by 2% from £120.3m to £117.4m, helped also by Impax’s incentive-based remuneration model....
- Paul Bryant
H1-25 revenue and profits jump on higher AUM
AUM increased £0.8bn (+4%) in H1-25 to £22.7bn on 30 Sep 24. Net flows added +£472m and investment performance +£323m. This was a highly creditable performance relative to peers, with Polar one of only two London-listed asset managers to record positive net flows (page 3). Furthermore, post-interim-results, AUM has increased another 5% to £23.9bn on 8 Nov 24. Polar’s prospects remain strong, despite current headwinds for active managers which we believe will abate (page 16), and ongoing market ...
- Paul Bryant
H1 revenue +24%, profit +23%, forecasts upgraded
AUM jumped 14% over H1-25 (to 30 Sep 24) from £16.6bn to £18.9bn. Net inflows added £1,832m (22% p.a. inflow rate, far higher than all peers, see page 4), and investment returns £534m (3.2% over 6m). Including 50%-owned 8AM Global, Assets-Under-Management/Influence totalled £19.9bn. In the six weeks post-results, AUM/AUI increased another 4% to £20.6bn in early-Nov. This is an exceptionally strong start to the next leg of Tatton’s growth journey. In June ‘24 it set a target of reaching £30bn AU...
- Robin Savage
Tatton Asset Management (TAM LN) - Net inflows drive upgrades - Corpor...
Tatton’s interim results confirm the beneficial impacts of its record net inflows (£305m per month), which have driven up Assets under Management (AUM), revenue, profits and cash. The Board has increased the interim DPS by 18.8% to 9.5p. We now raise our forecast AUM, revenue, profit, cashflow, EPS and DPS for both the year to March 2025 and 2026.
- Paul Bryant
Bumper H1-25, AUM up 14% driven by inflows
Tatton has recorded an exceptionally strong start to the next leg of its growth journey: in June ’24 it set a target of reaching £30bn of Assets-Under-Management or Influence (AUI) by end-FY29, an 11% CAGR. But H1-25 (to 30 Sep 24) saw AUM jump 14% in just six months from £16.6bn to £18.9bn. Net inflows contributed £1,832m (22% p.a. inflow rate), and investment returns £534m (3.2% over 6m), in line with the MSCI PIMFA Private Investors Balanced Index. Including the AUM of 50%-owned 8AM Global, A...
- Robin Savage
Tatton Asset Management (TAM LN)
For the past six months, net inflows to Tatton Asset Management have averaged £305m per month (up 59% yoy); total net inflows were £1,832m being 11% of opening AUM (i.e. 22.1% annualised). Tatton’s trading update also revealed the number of IFA firms on Tatton grew 6.5% to 1,038 and Paradigm, the group’s IFA support services business “delivered a resilient performance”. We will update our forecasts, once interim results have been published (13 November).
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