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Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, we published a note on Aker BP highlighting our growing concerns of sharp cuts to consensus FCF, with capex assumptions beyond 2026 looking far too low to us – we are ~40% below consensus on 2027–2030e FCF. As well as BW Energy’s Q1 trading update revealing net production just below our estimate, it announced a sale & leaseback agreement, which we see as marginally accretive to our NAV. In other news, we believe the Tyra ramp-up will be in focus in BlueNord’s Q1 results, due next week

 PRESS RELEASE

Form 8.3 - The Vanguard Group, Inc.: BHP Group Limited

The Vanguard Group, Inc. ( ) Form 8.3 - The Vanguard Group, Inc.: BHP Group Limited 03-May-2024 / 14:24 GMT/BST FORM 8.3   PUBLIC OPENING POSITION DISCLOSURE/DEALING DISCLOSURE BY A PERSON WITH INTERESTS IN RELEVANT SECURITIES REPRESENTING 1% OR MORE Rule 8.3 of the Takeover Code (the “Code”)   1. KEY INFORMATION   (a) Full name of discloser: The Vanguard Group, Inc. (b) Owner or controller of interests and short positions disclosed, if different from 1(a):  The naming of nominee or vehicle companies is insufficient.  For a trust, the trustee(s)...

 PRESS RELEASE

Holding(s) in Company

easyJet plc (EZJ) Holding(s) in Company 03-May-2024 / 11:15 GMT/BST TR-1: Standard form for notification of major holdings 1. Issuer Details ISIN GB00B7KR2P84 Issuer Name EASYJET PLC UK or Non-UK Issuer UK 2. Reason for Notification An acquisition or disposal of voting rights; An acquisition or disposal of financial instruments 3. Details of person subject to the notification obligation Name Bank of America Corporation City of registered office (if applicable)   Country of registered office (if applicable) US 4. Deta...

Greater China Research Team ... (+7)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

REG: Strategy: Alpha Picks - May 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call: Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In A Bear Market: Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Well-Positioned For 1Q Results Season: Our April picks again beat the KLCI. May 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MYEG, Press Meta...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
TFG THAIFOODS GROUP
600690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS A
02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ES ESSO SOCIETE ANONYME FRANCAISE
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
STEC SINO-THAI ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION PCL
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
EA ENERGY ABSOLUTE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
COM7 COM7
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600585 ANHUI CONCH CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
ORI1 ORIENT OVERSEAS (INTERNATIONAL) LIMITED
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
MAPI MITRA ADIPERKASA
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
ADRO PT ADARO ENERGY TBK
300124 SHENZHEN INOVANCE TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ROTI NIPPON INDOSARI CORPINDO
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
M4B CHINA MERCHANTS BANK CO. LTD. CLASS H
SE SEA ADS
INRI INARI AMERTRON BHD
FEHT FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
PTTEP-R PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PCL NVDR
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
SMM SEMBCORP MARINE LTD
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
IOI IOI CORP BHD
CPALL TB CP ALL
GENM GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
MAHB MALAYSIA AIRPORTS HLDGS BHD
333 MIDEA GROUP
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
2013 WEIMOB INC
EKO EKOVEST BHD
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
SCB-R SIAM COMMERCIAL BANK PCL NVDR
709 GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
MRDIY MR DIY GROUP M BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
2696 SHANGHAI HENLIUS BIOTECH INC
KEX KERRY EXPRESS (THAILAND)
OR PTT OIL & RETAIL BUSINESS PCL
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
1209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
PDD PINDUODUO PDD US
09888 BAIDU INC
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
MPACT MAPLETREE PAN ASIA COMMERCIAL TRUST
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
CLAS CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
SMGR SEMEN INDONESIA PERSERO TBK
NATGATE NATIONGATE HOLDINGS BHD
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
SUNWAY SUNWAY BHD
ESSO ESSO THAILAND PCL
HUME HUME CEMENT INDUSTRIES BHD
02015 LI AUTO INC
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
Bella Lu Yifei ... (+17)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • Johnny Yum
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, May 03, 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...

TFG THAIFOODS GROUP
600690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS A
02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
LH LAND & HOUSES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ORI ORIGIN PROPERTY
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
002142 BANK OF NINGBO CO. LTD. CLASS A
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
AALI ASTRA AGRO LESTARI
6963 V.S. INDUSTRY
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
600660 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
QH QUALITY HOUSES
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
GFPT GFPT
SPALI SUPALAI PCL
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
BSDE PT BUMI SERPONG DAMAI TBK
300124 SHENZHEN INOVANCE TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD CLASS A
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
AP AP THAILAND
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
FEHT FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
SIDO INDUSTRI JAMU DAN FARMASI SI
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
WPRTS WESTPORTS HOLDINGS BHD
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
333 MIDEA GROUP
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
PSH PRUKSA HOLDING PCL
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
338 WEICHAI POWER
709 GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
869 PLAYMATES TOYS LIMITED
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
MPACT MAPLETREE PAN ASIA COMMERCIAL TRUST
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
09868 XPENG INC
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
GENTMK GENTING BERHAD
Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call

The HSI and MSCI China rose 7.4% and 6.4% mom respectively in April, lifted by news of a stock connect scheme expansion and further easing of restrictions on property purchases in China. With the July Politburo likely to see further supportive policy rollout, we are adding beneficiaries of improving domestic consumption − CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou and Tencent − to our BUY list, and closing out our SELL calls.

Alison Turner
  • Alison Turner

Pan American Silver - La Arena divestment

Pan American Silver (PAAS) has announced a sale of the La Arena and La Arena II projects to Zijin Mining for US$245m in cash, US$50m in a contingent payment and a 1.5% NSR gold royalty. La Arena II is a copper and gold sulphide deposit that sits underneath the currently producing La Arena gold project. We view the transaction as positive for PAAS, given La Arena’s very short mine life, significant capex required to bring La Arena II into production and the fact that copper is not PAAS’s core com...

 PRESS RELEASE

Form 8.3 - The Vanguard Group, Inc.: BHP Group Limited

The Vanguard Group, Inc. ( ) Form 8.3 - The Vanguard Group, Inc.: BHP Group Limited 02-May-2024 / 14:31 GMT/BST FORM 8.3   PUBLIC OPENING POSITION DISCLOSURE/DEALING DISCLOSURE BY A PERSON WITH INTERESTS IN RELEVANT SECURITIES REPRESENTING 1% OR MORE Rule 8.3 of the Takeover Code (the “Code”)   1. KEY INFORMATION   (a) Full name of discloser: The Vanguard Group, Inc. (b) Owner or controller of interests and short positions disclosed, if different from 1(a):  The naming of nominee or vehicle companies is insufficient.  For a trust, the trustee(s)...

ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun

If it's too good to be true, it usually is

Salmon prices higher on another blow to '24e supply, but farmers struggling to reap the benefits due to weak biology. Valuation not demanding, but more mixed triggers short term.

ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun

As good as it gets – down to SELL

Q1e EBIT of DKK 664m (-2% vs. comp.any-collected consensus). '24e/'25e EBIT up 1%/3%, still 6%-13% below consensus. Unattractive valuation and sentiment to turn: SELL (Hold).

ABGSC IT Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
 PRESS RELEASE

United Steelworkers Ratify New Collective Agreement

United Steelworkers Ratify New Collective Agreement MONTREAL, May 01, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- CN (TSX: CNR) (NYSE: CNI) announced today that its new three-year collective agreement with the United Steelworkers (USW) Local 2004, was formally ratified by union members on Monday April 29th, 2024. The USW represents approximately 2,500 track and bridge employees at CN, primarily responsible for track maintenance across Canada. "We're pleased to have reached this new collective agreement through collaborative negotiations. It is a testament to our commitment to invest in our people, contribu...

 PRESS RELEASE

Le Syndicat des Métallos ratifie une nouvelle convention collective

Le Syndicat des Métallos ratifie une nouvelle convention collective MONTRÉAL, 01 mai 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Le CN (TSX : CNR) (NYSE : CNI) a annoncé aujourd’hui que sa nouvelle convention collective de trois ans avec la section locale 2004 du Syndicat des Métallos a été officiellement ratifiée par les membres du syndicat le lundi 29 avril 2024. Le Syndicat des Métallos représente environ 2 500 membres du personnel de la voie et de pont au CN, qui sont principalement responsables de l’entretien de la voie au Canada. « Nous sommes heureux d’avoir conclu une nouvelle convention collective...

 PRESS RELEASE

Form 8.3 - The Vanguard Group, Inc.: BHP Group Limited

The Vanguard Group, Inc. ( ) Form 8.3 - The Vanguard Group, Inc.: BHP Group Limited 01-May-2024 / 14:38 GMT/BST FORM 8.3   PUBLIC OPENING POSITION DISCLOSURE/DEALING DISCLOSURE BY A PERSON WITH INTERESTS IN RELEVANT SECURITIES REPRESENTING 1% OR MORE Rule 8.3 of the Takeover Code (the “Code”)   1. KEY INFORMATION   (a) Full name of discloser: The Vanguard Group, Inc. (b) Owner or controller of interests and short positions disclosed, if different from 1(a):  The naming of nominee or vehicle companies is insufficient.  For a trust, the trustee(s)...

 PRESS RELEASE

Holding(s) in Company

easyJet plc (EZJ) Holding(s) in Company 01-May-2024 / 14:30 GMT/BST TR-1: Standard form for notification of major holdings 1. Issuer Details ISIN GB00B7KR2P84 Issuer Name EASYJET PLC UK or Non-UK Issuer UK 2. Reason for Notification An acquisition or disposal of financial instruments 3. Details of person subject to the notification obligation Name Bank of America Corporation City of registered office (if applicable)   Country of registered office (if applicable) US 4. Details of the shareholder Full name of shar...

 PRESS RELEASE

CN Announces C$1.25 Billion Debt Offering

CN Announces C$1.25 Billion Debt Offering The prospectus supplement, the corresponding base shelf prospectus and any amendment thereto in connection with this offering will be accessible through SEDAR+ within two business days MONTREAL, April 30, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- CN (TSX: CNR) (NYSE: CNI) today announced a public debt offering of C$700 million 4.60% Notes due 2029, and C$550 million 5.10% Notes Due 2054. CN expects to close the offering on May 2, 2024, subject to customary closing conditions. CN plans to use the net proceeds from the offering for general corporate purposes,...

 PRESS RELEASE

Le CN annonce un placement de titres d’emprunt de 1,25 milliard de dol...

Le CN annonce un placement de titres d’emprunt de 1,25 milliard de dollars canadiens Le supplément de prospectus, le prospectus préalable de base correspondant et toute modification de ces documents relatifs au présent placement seront accessibles par l’entremise de SEDAR+ d’ici deux jours ouvrables MONTRÉAL, 30 avr. 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Le CN (TSX : CNR) (NYSE : CNI) a annoncé aujourd’hui un placement public de titres d’emprunt, composé de 700 millions de dollars canadiens de billets 4,60 % échéant en 2029 et de 550 millions de dollars canadiens de billets 5,10 % échéant en 2054. L...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

 PRESS RELEASE

Form 8.3 - The Vanguard Group, Inc.: BHP Group Limited

The Vanguard Group, Inc. ( ) Form 8.3 - The Vanguard Group, Inc.: BHP Group Limited 30-Apr-2024 / 14:25 GMT/BST FORM 8.3   PUBLIC OPENING POSITION DISCLOSURE/DEALING DISCLOSURE BY A PERSON WITH INTERESTS IN RELEVANT SECURITIES REPRESENTING 1% OR MORE Rule 8.3 of the Takeover Code (the “Code”)   1. KEY INFORMATION   (a) Full name of discloser: The Vanguard Group, Inc. (b) Owner or controller of interests and short positions disclosed, if different from 1(a):  The naming of nominee or vehicle companies is insufficient.  For a trust, the trustee(s)...

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