Three Directors at Zavarovalnica Triglav D.D bought 1,017 shares at between 38.900EUR and 39.000EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's direct...
Telekom Slovenije: On 31 January 2019 Telekom Slovenije concluded the sale of its 100% stake in Blicnet, Banja Luka. Telekom will announce the total value of the purchase fee after determining the adjustment figures, while it is known that the purchase fee significantly exceeds the book value of the investment. Remember, Telekom Slovenije and Telekomunikacije Republike Srpske, Banja Luka, signed the agreement on the sale of the 100% stake in Blicnet on 2 October 2018. The sale of Blicnet is in ...
Bank of Slovenia - Developments in the banking sector:Year-on-year growth in the balance sheet total slowed to 1.9% in November 2018 with total assets reaching EUR 38.5bn. Loans to the non-banking sector grew by 6.1% YoY. Growth in deposits by the non-banking sector stood at 5% in November, and is continuing to outpace growth in the balance sheet total. The NPE ratio declined to 4.2% in November, equivalent to NPEs of EUR 1.8 billion, while the NPL ratio declined to 6.0%.The banks generated a pr...
Luka Koper:Luka Koper published the information about the maritime throughput and revenues in 2018. In 4Q18 Luka Koper handled 6.4 MT of cargo, a 12.7% YoY increase. Bulk and break bulk cargos increased by 22.3%, liquid cargos by 17.2%, container freight by 8.1% and general cargos by 6.9%. Number of TEUs increased by 9.7% YoY in 4Q and reached 988.5k for the entire year. So far, trade wars and slowing global economy had no impact on TEU handling. The only weak spot in 4Q was vehicles handlings w...
Trading in 2018:The value of the LJSE index increased for the third year in a row and exceeded 900 points for the first time in 8 years. The SBITOP index ended the year valued at 805.06 points. The month with the most trades was May due to the acquisition of Gorenje. A fall increase in interest for Slovenian shares was due to the first listing of a new share after more than 10 years. Those were shares of Nova Ljubljanska banka. In 2018 the most traded shares were shares of Krka, with which 25.6%...
This week was marked by publications of the business plans for 2019 and estimatedbusiness performance for 2018. Among them were Luka Koper, Zavarovalnica, Triglav,Mercator, Unior and Salus. More details on page 2.Luka Koper:Results for 2018 will be mainly in line with our expectations, while 2019 projectionsare below our estimates. EBITDA is therefore 5% below our plans, EBIT 7% and netincome 10% below our plans. Margins in 2019 will therefore fall to 5-year low. Afterattaining all the necessary...
Cinkarna Celje published the summary of business plan for 2019 and preliminary business results for 2018. For 2019 the company is expecting to generate EUR 167.7m of sales (+1% vs. 2018), EUR 25.5m of EBITDA and EUR 11.1m of net profit (-63% YoY). CAPEX is expected to reach EUR 11.2m vs. EUR 21.5m in 2018. The decline in net profit is a direct consequence of the significant drop in sales prices of pigment titanium dioxide. TiO2 prices reached their peak in the first quarter 2018 and are under pr...
NLB 9M18:NLB also reported its 9M18 results with net interest income of EUR 231.9m, up by 1.4% YoY. Net interest margin is at 2.5%, ranging from Serbian branch 5.1% to Slovenian operations of 1.9%. Non-interest income increased to EUR 120m or by 4.1% YoY in the period.Cost-income ratio stands at 57.0%. EBT amounted to EUR 181.7m with profit at EUR 158.3m. This represents a decrease of 8.5% and 13.9% YoY respectively.3Q18 brought net interest income of EUR 125.9m with profit after tax of EUR 53.5...
PETROL: Please note recommendation and coverage is till temporarily suspended.Group reported 9M18 EBITDA at EUR 124.1m, up by mild 1% YoY, while net profit is at EUR 68.7m for the period, up by 11.5% YoY.Petroleum volume is up by 1% to 2,502 thousand tons while merchandise sales amounted to EUR 445.9m or up by 11% by its 495 retail station network.Net debt (only cash deducted) amounted to EUR 278.3m on 30th September 2018 vs 2017 end year EUR 374.9m.CAPEX amounted to EUR 24.3m for the period.For...
NLB:NLB shares started to quote on LJSE and LSE. While the IPO price was set to EUR 51.5 per share, share price increased in the first day of trading on LJSE by 10% to EUR 56.65 per share. The second day the share price was up to EUR 57 per share at the end of the day. This happened on volume of EUR 3.6m. This is a hefty volume for LJSE.This uptick is somewhat expected. Firstly, its a usual dynamic after IPO. Secondly, IPO pricing at P/B 0.67 was attractive in our belief as is the expected divid...
GWP increased by 5.5% to EUR 820.2m in 9M18 with growth still present in all markets and segments (countries and product wise). GWP is slightly above our estimate, but this was true also in 1H18 report. Even more importantly while expense ratio stagnated in non-life, claims ratios pushed combined non-life ratios lower in almost all countries and with aggregate combined ratio at 92.4%, down from 94.5%. This lower claims in 3Q18 vs 3Q17 recuperated profitability of Triglav Group. Namely now EBT st...
Due to state holidays in a week of 29th October to 2nd November (on 31st October and 1st November to be exact) news flow will likely be very light and consequently next Weekly is scheduled to include news from first full week of November, consequently on 9th or 12th November. NLB (pending IPO):Equity at EUR 1,797m on 30th June 2018, however EUR 271m of dividends were paid out in the meantime so adjusted equity would be at EUR 1,527m or at EUR 76.3 per share. CET 1 ratio (before dividend payment...
Telekom Slovenije revenues decreased by 0.7% YoY in 9M18, but this is also due to e-tolling project revenue boost recorded in 9M17. Nevertheless, mobile and wholesale segment revenues are also down, while revenues from fixed broadband segment and new sources are up. Consequently, we have lowered our top line expectations (derived from wholesale segment). EBITDA is also down 0.9%, despite lower labour cost expenditures. All in all, a slight disappointment from quarter to quarter demanded some adj...
TELEKOM SLOVENIJE:Telekom Slovenije has signed a purchase and sale agreement with Telekomunikacije Republike Srpske joint stock company on the sale of 100% share in Blicnet, d.o.o. The transaction is supposed to be completed by 2018 yearend, after all suspensory conditions are filled. No detail data regarding the transaction has been disclosed. However the facts are: that Blicnet d.o.o. was a key Telekom Slovenije company in Bosnia and Herzegovina;that Blicnet generated EUR 18.1m of net revenues...
ZAVAROVALNICA TRIGLAV:Triglav Skladi, a Triglav Group member and its asset management arm, bought 100% stake in ALTA Skladi, a Slovene asset management company with almost 10% market share. ALTA Skladi manages 22 mutual funds with over EUR 270m of AuM. Jointly Triglav will now have roughly 36% market share on the Slovene mutual fund market and a billion of AuM. Triglav reported that the purchase price excluding adjustment for net debt is EUR 21.7m, a part of which is contingent on future payment...
TELEKOM SLOVENIJE:Further development regarding a rumor supervisory board is discussing a settlement deal with T2 is still pending. The only new variable is that the settlement could include receivables due from T2, which would lower the effective net payment by Telekom to roughly EUR 30m. In the meantime share price did not react much as most are waiting for more speculation or are of opinion shares have already adjusted enough. ZAVAROVALNICA TRIGLAV:NLB finally agreed to sell its 28.13% share...
TELEKOM SLOVENIJE:Newspapers released a rumor on Tuesday, 11th September, that Telekom Slovenije supervisory board will decide whether to settle a dispute with T2 for more than EUR 50m. This translates into at least EUR 7.7 per share. True, Telekom Slovenije had provisions in the amount of EUR 34.3m for lawsuits, albeit not all provisioning is tied to this case (likely majority of it). In addition, nothing is confirmed yet while Telekom Slovenije released a statement that it will not comment any...
POLITICS:Ministry team (16 positions) is slowly getting formed with key positions being: it seems SMC will control Ministry of Economic development and Technology as well as Ministry of Foreign Affairs, SAB Ministry of Infrastructure, Desus Defense Ministry, Lista M. Šarca Finance Ministry and Ministry of Health, Social Democrats Ministry of Justice etc.Given this segmentation and names circulating around, it seems a hefty part of the team will be the same as in Cerar coalition (sometimes only w...
POLITICS: A key theme remains Slovene politics or more exactly, coalition building. On 17th Šarec became a new Prime Minister based on a minority government scenario of 5 parties (Social Democrats, Pension party Desus, Slovene Modern Centre, Lista M. Šarca and Bratušek Party with 43 seats of 90) with The Left (9) supporting the vote under a partnership agreement for certain projects, as well as having an influence in a coalition. More data on page 2 of this report. Note that Šarec Ministry t...
Earnings season started with release schedule as stated below: Telekom 20.07.2018 Krka 26.07.2018 Zavarovalnica Triglav 17.08.2018 Petrol 23.08.2018 Intereuropa 30.08.2018 Luka Koper 31.08.2018 Pozavarovalnica Sava 31.08.2018 Unior 31.08.2018 Cinkarna Celje 12.09.2018 Please note that Cinkarna Celje and Petrol coverage is temporarily suspended while Gorenje (extensive) coverage has ceased with sell rating as Hisense takeover attempt succeeded ...
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