We upgrade Triglav to Outperform and see an upside potential of c. 25% to our new TP of € 62. Our updated model assumptions reflect the 2025-2030 strategy, with increase in EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026 of 7.4% and 6.8%. We think the 2025 guidance has upside potential and expect an upgrade with H1 results in August. Finally, despite the improved fundamentals, the stock is trading at an unjustified discount to peers.
Three Directors at Zavarovalnica Triglav D.D bought 1,017 shares at between 38.900EUR and 39.000EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's direct...
Bank of Slovenia - Developments in the banking sector:Year-on-year growth in the balance sheet total slowed to 1.9% in November 2018 with total assets reaching EUR 38.5bn. Loans to the non-banking sector grew by 6.1% YoY. Growth in deposits by the non-banking sector stood at 5% in November, and is continuing to outpace growth in the balance sheet total. The NPE ratio declined to 4.2% in November, equivalent to NPEs of EUR 1.8 billion, while the NPL ratio declined to 6.0%.The banks generated a pr...
This week was marked by publications of the business plans for 2019 and estimatedbusiness performance for 2018. Among them were Luka Koper, Zavarovalnica, Triglav,Mercator, Unior and Salus. More details on page 2.Luka Koper:Results for 2018 will be mainly in line with our expectations, while 2019 projectionsare below our estimates. EBITDA is therefore 5% below our plans, EBIT 7% and netincome 10% below our plans. Margins in 2019 will therefore fall to 5-year low. Afterattaining all the necessary...
NLB 9M18:NLB also reported its 9M18 results with net interest income of EUR 231.9m, up by 1.4% YoY. Net interest margin is at 2.5%, ranging from Serbian branch 5.1% to Slovenian operations of 1.9%. Non-interest income increased to EUR 120m or by 4.1% YoY in the period.Cost-income ratio stands at 57.0%. EBT amounted to EUR 181.7m with profit at EUR 158.3m. This represents a decrease of 8.5% and 13.9% YoY respectively.3Q18 brought net interest income of EUR 125.9m with profit after tax of EUR 53.5...
PETROL: Please note recommendation and coverage is till temporarily suspended.Group reported 9M18 EBITDA at EUR 124.1m, up by mild 1% YoY, while net profit is at EUR 68.7m for the period, up by 11.5% YoY.Petroleum volume is up by 1% to 2,502 thousand tons while merchandise sales amounted to EUR 445.9m or up by 11% by its 495 retail station network.Net debt (only cash deducted) amounted to EUR 278.3m on 30th September 2018 vs 2017 end year EUR 374.9m.CAPEX amounted to EUR 24.3m for the period.For...
NLB:NLB shares started to quote on LJSE and LSE. While the IPO price was set to EUR 51.5 per share, share price increased in the first day of trading on LJSE by 10% to EUR 56.65 per share. The second day the share price was up to EUR 57 per share at the end of the day. This happened on volume of EUR 3.6m. This is a hefty volume for LJSE.This uptick is somewhat expected. Firstly, its a usual dynamic after IPO. Secondly, IPO pricing at P/B 0.67 was attractive in our belief as is the expected divid...
GWP increased by 5.5% to EUR 820.2m in 9M18 with growth still present in all markets and segments (countries and product wise). GWP is slightly above our estimate, but this was true also in 1H18 report. Even more importantly while expense ratio stagnated in non-life, claims ratios pushed combined non-life ratios lower in almost all countries and with aggregate combined ratio at 92.4%, down from 94.5%. This lower claims in 3Q18 vs 3Q17 recuperated profitability of Triglav Group. Namely now EBT st...
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