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Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

BABA FY4Q25 Results: Continued Investments in Core Businesses

What’s new: Alibaba’s reported FY4Q25 top-line results that were below consensus and our expectations. CMR growth could continue to be supported by take rate improvement, while Cloud could further accelerate partly driven by AI-related products revs. Margins could be adversely impacted due to continued investments in core businesses. We maintain our PT at USD155. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 4QFY25: Slight earnings miss; CMR delivers be...

Alibaba’s 4QFY25 earnings slightly missed expectations. Revenue grew 7% yoy to Rmb236.5b, in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit rose 22% yoy to Rmb29.8b, missing consensus forecasts, with net margin of 12.6%. CMR revenue growth of 12% yoy exceeded expectations, propelled by the introduction of service fees, take rate improvement and the national subsidies programme. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$165.00 (US$165.00).

Daniel Ives ... (+4)
  • Daniel Ives
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Sam Brandeis
  • Scott Devitt
Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+7)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Friday, May 16, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations rose 0.5% yoy, 26.5% mom and 5% wow in the 19th week of 2025, with PEV market share increasing to 50.2%. Geely’s Zeekr, Lynk & Co, and Galaxy saw strong sales growth driven by new model launches, aggressive pricing, tech upgrades, and robust export expansion. We lift Geely’s 2025 net profit forecast by 24%, given its upbeat 1Q25 earnings. Maintain BUY and raise target price to HK$31.00 Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Ge...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+19)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Lester Siew
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, May 16, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PEV sales edged up wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Healthcare: The rising robotic surgical system market in China. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$128.90/Target: HK$165.00): 4QFY25: Slight earnings miss; CMR delivers better-than-expected double-digit growth. Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$19.58/Target: HK$31.00): 1Q25: Earnings beat on forex gain and associate profit. Maintain BUY. Raise target price to HK$31...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 1Q25 - Smartphones: 2025 weak and front-loaded? Rest of the year...

Dear all, ​​ Today, we are publishing the Smartphones section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Memory, Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, Ride sharing & Delivery, Foundry, and Semicap Equ...

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