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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: Pre-close 3Q: HAL inclusion. Ahold Delhaize: Peer Albertsons 2Q25/26 results. AMG: Lithium supply deal with Beijing Easpring. ASML: 3Q25 results supportive. Barco: 3Q25 trading update inline, surprise buyback. Belgian telcos: Start of the market test for cooperation agreement in Flanders. CM.com: Preview 3Q25 trading update. NSI: Vacancy increase as expected, marginal guidance update. Staffing sector: PageGroup 3Q25 trading update. Zabka: 3Q25 Preview - Like-for-Like(...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ASML NA, BAR BB, OPTI BB, HEIA NA, IVA FP, PRO...

: ABI BB, ASML NA, BAR BB, OPTI BB, HEIA NA, IVA FP, PROX BB, SEQUA BB, MRUS US

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telecoms: DAZN informs Pro League it has no deal with operators. CTP: €600m senior unsecured green bond at 3.625%. dsm-firmenich: Givaudan 9M25 IMS. TomTom: 3Q25 results – Defying weak auto market

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Mémoire : Et si nous étions à l’aube d’un ‘supercycle’ ?

Les prix de la mémoire ont progressé de 15% sur un mois et de ~30% YTD. Cela reflète une forte tension sur l’offre alors que la demande IA est plus élevée qu’attendu. Les stocks de mémoires sont, par ailleurs, au plus bas, ouvrant la voie en 2026 à un supercycle, tiré par l’IA mais aussi par l’intégration de l’Edge AI dans les smartphones/PC. Un marché des semis à ~+15/20% en 2026 est crédible dans ce contexte. Dans notre couverture, cela devrait d’abord bénéficier à ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi e...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Memory: What if we were on the eve of a super cycle?

Memory prices have risen by 15% m-o-m and by ~30% since the start of 2025. This reflects a tight supply situation, with demand for AI stronger than expected. Memory inventories are also at an all-time low, paving the way for a super cycle in 2026, driven by AI but also by the integration of Edge AI in smartphones/PCs. A semis market at ~+15-20% in 2026 is a credible scenario in this context. In our coverage, this should first benefit ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi and SUSS (Outperform vs Neutral), f...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: AG Real Estate looking to reduce exposure to Interparking, lower capital charges. Air France-KLM: 3Q25 a bit light? ASML: Preview 3Q25, riding the AI wave. Barco: Preview 3Q25, self-help offsets macro headwind. D'Ieteren: Belron starts to roll out static mobile recalibration. Euronext: September's seasonal recovery. Tessenderlo More focus on capital allocation and returns. TomTom: Preview 3Q25, Cost cutting offsets slow markets. Umicore: Gold inventory sale-and-lease-back

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telcos: Digi launches new mobile offer at €7 per month with 30GB D'Ieteren: Belgium Sept car registration, Febiac cuts 2025 outlook to 405-410k new cars Dutch insurance: Achmea Sixth Steet JV done, new entrant for buyouts for ASR and NN Heijmans: I'm a steamroller baby Prosus: Just Eat Takeaway offer unconditional WDP: €22m investment in Romania

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update October: Removing VGP – Adding Shurgard a...

In this October update of our Dynamic Top Pick List we are removing VGP while adding Shurgard and Wolters Kluwer. Since its recent inclusion in our Dynamic Top Pick List in July-25, VGPs share rose by 10.6%. While we still believe there is significant upside to the share price, we don't see short term catalysts. In fact, the macro picture remains cloudy with the jury still out on the impact of tariffs and the erratic US policy shifts. Also, we are a bit concerned that competition in Western Eur...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telecoms: Telenet increases its fixed internet speed at unchanged price Colruyt: FY25/26F profitability guidance maintained despite market share loss Corbion: Keep Calm and Carry On Fagron: Acquires UCP, adding to its 503A health and wellness offering in California GBL: Planning ahead to deliver on its promise OCI: Limited details on Orascom merger, sales process for Nitrogen Europe ongoing TKH Group: Mixed emotions Wolters Kluwer: Launches UpToDate Expert AI

Avantium N.V.: 2 directors

Two Directors at Avantium N.V. bought 14,575 shares at 5.400EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...

Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Miko 1H25 saw significant price increases next to a 7% y/y volume incr...

The significant price increases next to a 7% y/y volume increase helped to protect its 1H25 results. We updated our model incorporating that coffee prices remain high and volatile. Also Miko indicated that thanks to these price evolutions it is very difficult to make any predictions about the future. We also incorporated that recently Miko has secured a €6.75m settlement in a dispute over the earn-out following the sale of the plastics processing division in 2021. The result of this settlement ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Melexis: update on the share buy-back program

Melexis: update on the share buy-back program Press release - Regulated Information Ieper, Belgium – 22 September 2025, 17.45 hrs CET Further to the initiation of the share buy-back program announced on 10 December 2024, Melexis reports the purchase of 14,249 Melexis shares on Euronext Brussels in the period from 15 to 19 September 2025. Trade dateTotal shares purchasedAverage price (€)Min price (€)Max price (€)Buyback amount (€)15/9/20253,00064.8364.8065.00194,50216/9/20254,00064.6464.4565.00258,58017/9/20255,00064.0163.3064.50320,03418/9/202559164.6764.4565.0038,21719/9/20251,65864.68...

 PRESS RELEASE

Melexis: update over het aandeleninkoopprogramma

Melexis: update over het aandeleninkoopprogramma Persbericht - Gereglementeerde informatie Ieper, België – 22 september 2025, 17.45 uur CET Naar aanleiding van het aandeleninkoopprogramma dat op 10 december 2024 werd aangekondigd, maakt Melexis bekend dat er 14.249 eigen aandelen ingekocht werden op Euronext Brussel tussen 15 en 19 september 2025. InkoopdatumAantal verworven aandelenGemiddelde prijs (€)Laagste prijs (€)Hoogste prijs (€)Aankoop bedrag (€)15/9/20253.00064,8364,8065,00194.50216/9/20254.00064,6464,4565,00258.58017/9/20255.00064,0163,3064,50320.03418/9/202559164,6764,4565,00...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

B&S: Sarabel launches recommended all cash offer; Belgian Telecoms: Digi confirms possible minority stake disposal in Spain; market test for Flanders cooperation agreement due any time; Exor: Great companies outperforming the benchmark; PostNL: Feedback on Capital Markets Day event 2025 - new strategy and ambitions 2028; UCB: Encouraging P2a data for Galvokimig in Atopic Dermatitis; Wolters Kluwer: Accelerating share buyback programme and good start to 2H25

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Inmobiliaria Colonial, Benelux TMT Credits

Real Estate: Inmobiliaria Colonial was back in the market with a green bond; TMT: Benelux TMT Credits - How's it going? Where's the value?

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