A director at Minth Group Ltd bought 100,000 shares at 32.669HKD and the significance rating of the trade was 58/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...
Minth’s 2H25 net profit slightly missed expectations at Rmb1,416m (+13.1% yoy/+10.9% hoh), with one-off gains partly offsetting revenue miss. Looking ahead, earnings growth will be driven by new product lines and customer base expansion. We trim our 2026-27 net profit estimates by 11%/13% to Rmb2,874m/Rmb3,376m respectively, on short-term turbulence of EV sales, and introduce our 2028 net profit forecast of Rmb4,012m, implying a 15% three-year CAGR. Maintain BUY and cut target price from HK$62.0...
Top Stories Company Results | Minth Group (425 HK/BUY/HK$36.00/Target: HK$56.00) Minth’s 2H25 net profit slightly missed expectations at Rmb1,416m (+13.1% yoy/+10.9% hoh), with one-off gains partly offsetting revenue miss. Looking ahead, earnings growth will be driven by new product lines and customer base expansion. We trim our 2026-27 net profit estimates by 11%/13% to Rmb2,874m/Rmb3,376m respectively, on short-term turbulence of EV sales, and introduce our 2028 net profit forecast of Rmb4,01...
Greater China Company Results | Giordano International (709 HK/BUY/HK$1.50/Target: HK$1.92) Giordano’s 2025 revenue/net profit saw changes of -1.7%/+0.5% yoy, 4.5%/4.3% below our estimates on lower-than-expected core business growth and softened performance of the non-Giordano brands in Indonesia. For 2026, Giordano targets a 3-5% revenue growth for its core brands and is cautious on potential logistics cost hikes due to geopolitical tension. It expects its Mainland China store consolidation to ...
The US-Iran conflict boosted oil prices, accelerating EV adoption but causing minimal short-term cost shock to China's auto industry. February deliveries met expectations, with exports offsetting weak domestic demand. BYD unveiled new technology while Xpeng launched its smart driving system. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs include CATL and Geely, while Li Auto is our top SELL.
Greater China Economics | China China set a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0% yoy, in line with expectations, while maintaining a 4% fiscal deficit ratio. Fiscal policy remains the main growth driver, supported by Rmb4.4t in local government special bonds and Rmb1.3t in ultra-long treasury bonds, while monetary policy stays accommodative. Policy priorities focus on AI+, New Quality Productive Forces, industrial upgrading, and targeted consumption support, alongside welfare improvements and ...
China's humanoid robotics sector is accelerating, with 2025 global shipments up 508%. Key players anticipate significant revenue contributions by 2031: CATL expects 3-7% from batteries; Minth and LeaderDrive project 5-12% and 45-65% respectively; Tuopu forecasts 15-25% from motion systems; and RoboSense targets 40-60% from LiDAR. We maintain a MARKET WEIGHT rating on the sector. Top BUY recommendations include CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth (target price raised to HK$62.00), and Geely, while Li Au...
As of mid-Feb 26, over 20 Chinese provinces and cities have announced 2026 vehicle purchase subsidy schemes, aligning with the national policy that has shifted to percentage-based subsidies (favouring mid-range to high-end vehicles) from 2025’s fixed amounts. This supports premium segments and market stability but may not fully counter the new 5% EV tax. 2026 sales forecasts: PV ‒ 30.4m units (+3% yoy); PEV ‒ 18.2m units (+19% yoy). Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth ...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile As of mid-Feb 26, over 20 Chinese provinces and cities have announced 2026 vehicle purchase subsidy schemes, aligning with the national policy that shifted to percentage-based subsidies (favouring mid-range to high-end vehicles) from 2025’s fixed amounts. This supports premium segments and market stability but may not fully counter the new 5% EV tax. 2026 PV sales forecast: 30.4m units (+3% yoy); PEV sales: 18.2m units (+19% yoy). Maintain MARKET WEIG...
CATL, BYD, and Changan are deploying SIBs in EVs due to longer cycle lives, strong cold-weather performance and better fire safety. SIB-equipped EV sales are projected to make up 4-9% of global EV sales. LIBs remain dominant, but CATL benefits from diversification. The lithium market is expected to stay resilient through 2030. The hike in lithium carbonate costs will mostly be borne by auto OEMs. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; BUY CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth, Geely; SELL Li Auto.
CPCA estimates January China passenger NEV wholesale sales at 900,000 units (+1% yoy/-42% mom), with front-loaded purchases ahead of the reduced purchase tax and delayed local subsidies weighing on volumes. Automakers with ICE-car exposure, such as Geely Auto and Great Wall Motor, saw relatively resilient January sales. We expect China’s auto sales to recover after Chinese New Year, with local subsidies in place. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth and Geely. Top SELL:...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile CPCA estimates January China passenger NEV wholesale sales at 900,000 units (+1% yoy/-42% mom), with front-loaded purchases ahead of the reduced purchase tax and delayed local subsidies weighing on volumes. Automakers with ICE-car exposure, such as Geely Auto and Great Wall Motor, saw relatively resilient January sales. We expect China’s auto sales to recover after Chinese New Year, with the local subsidies in place. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: ...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite the risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, and Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Strategy | Alpha Picks: From MSCI Shock To Policy-Driven Rebala...
Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite the risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, and Meituan to our SELL list.
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom, respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, while adding Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/B...
Minth targets Rmb72b in revenue by 2030, implying >20% five-year CAGR, well above our estimate of 13% and consensus estimate of 14-15%. The extra growth will come from the new product lines like intelligent exterior parts, liquid cooling parts, humanoid robot parts, eVTOL parts, and wireless charging parts. We raise our 2025-27 net profit estimates by 6%/10%/14% to Rmb2,754m/Rmb3,229m/Rmb3,866m respectively. Maintain BUY on Minth and lift target price from HK$40.00 to HK$45.00.
Top Stories Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterprise su...
Greater China Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterpri...
Chinese EVs are gaining share in the global auto market, due to China’s integrated supply chain dominance and favourable trade policies. Established incumbents like BYD are facing increasing competition from fellow Chinese auto OEMs and some western brands like VW. Lower-export OEMs (Geely, XPeng) hold greater upside than high-export leaders (BYD, GWM). China’s EV export hub status benefits suppliers as foreign OEMs leverage local production. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Ganfeng Lithi...
12 Chinese automakers set ambitious targets for 2026. Despite weak sales from 1-18 January, we maintain our PV sales forecast of 30.4m units (+3% yoy), driven by exports and EVs. Policy shifts in the EU and Canada are creating a more favourable environment for Chinese EV exports, supporting overseas growth. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth and Geely. Top SELL: Li Auto.
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