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Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Johanna Jourdain
  • Johanna Jourdain

Compass Group : Solid H1 2024 results, a slight upward revision to our...

>Solid H1 2024 results, upward revision to the guidance for FY 2024 - Yesterday before trading, Compass published H1 2024 results that came in a shade above expectations, including organic revenue growth of 11.2% and an EBIT margin of 7.1% (vs 7.0% for the consensus). In light of the H1 results and the encouraging outlook, Compass has raised its targets for 2024 and now anticipates organic growth of around 10% (vs high single-digit growth previously) and EBIT growth t...

Johanna Jourdain
  • Johanna Jourdain

Compass Group : Solides résultats S1 24, nos estimations sont légèreme...

>Résultats S1 24 solides, relèvement de la guidance FY24 - Compass a publié hier avant Bourse des résultats S1 24 légèrement supérieurs aux attentes, dont une croissance organique du CA de 11.2% et une marge d’EBIT de 7.1% (vs consensus 7.0%). Compte tenu des résultats S1 et de perspectives encourageantes, Compass a relevé ses objectifs 2024 et attend désormais une croissance organique de c.10% (vs high single digit préc.) et une croissance de l’EBIT vers 15% (vs 13% ...

Julian Dobrovolschi ... (+2)
  • Julian Dobrovolschi
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/15/2024

With 71% of the companies in the Stoxx 600 having released their Q1 2024 results, the picture at this stage is encouraging, with 58% of positive surprises on results. Materials and financials were the sectors that delivered the most positive surprises. If the Q4 2023 earnings season put an end to a downward revision of EPS, the Q1 2024 earnings season has triggered the start of an upward EPS revision, more markedly in the US than in Europe. In terms of sectors, re-rating effects conti...

Julian Dobrovolschi ... (+2)
  • Julian Dobrovolschi
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 15/05/2024

Alors que 71% des sociétés du Stoxx 600 ont publié, le bilan est à ce stade positif avec 58% de surprises positives sur les résultats. Matériaux et Financières sont les secteurs ayant apporté le plus de surprises positives. Le consensus – qui avait stoppé sa baisse durant les publications T4-23, est désormais reparti à la hausse, plus nettement aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe. Sectoriellement, les effets de rerating ont continué de dominer les révisions de BPA. - ...

Johanna Jourdain
  • Johanna Jourdain

Compass Group : Slight beat on H1 2024, upgrade of FY 2023-24 guidance...

>H1 2023-24 results slightly above expectations - Compass released H1 2023-24 results that slightly beat expectations. Sales came in at $ 20.9bn (+11% reported, consensus $ 20.8bn) with organic growth up 11.2%, slightly above the consensus at 10.7% (ODDO BHF 11.2%e), supported by all regions and in particular by the progress made in Europe (+12.4% organic growth) while North America remained very solid (+10.9% organic), and net new business of 3.7% (vs 5.2% in H1 23),...

Johanna Jourdain
  • Johanna Jourdain

Compass Group : Slight beat on H1 2024, upgrade of FY 2023-24 guidance...

>H1 2023-24 results slightly above expectations - Compass released H1 2023-24 results that slightly beat expectations. Sales came in at $ 20.9bn (+11% reported, consensus $ 20.8bn) with organic growth up 11.2%, slightly above the consensus at 10.7% (ODDO BHF 11.2%e), supported by all regions and in particular by the progress made in Europe (+12.4% organic growth) while North America remained very solid (+10.9% organic), and net new business of 3.7% (vs 5.2% in H1 23),...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/30/2024

BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/04/2024

L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

Covestro AG : Q1 EBITDA 15% above cons on strong volumes; outlook conf...

>Q1 EBITDA of € 273m, 15% above cons of € 237m (ODDO BHF € 248m) on strong 10.9% y-o-y volume recovery - Q1 EBITDA of € 273m came in 15% above the consensus forecast of € 237m (ODDO BHF € 248m) on a better contribution from both segments. Q1 2024 sequentially doubled q-o-q compared to € 132m in Q4 2023 but still slightly below last year's comparison base of € 286m in Q1 2023. The y-o-y EBITDA decline of only € 13m was primarily fuelled by € 139m from volume recovery ...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO : Glass half full – Volume recovery started after almost 2 years ...

As Spring approaches, we see industry-wide destocking coming to an end, emerging recovery trends in China gaining momentum and European spot energy cost relief rolling in, all helping to restore plant utilisation and earnings. We add more cyclicality to our preferred names, upgrading BASF to Outperform (Neutral). Momentum being regained in specialties chemicals distribution triggers our upgrade of IMCD to Outperform (Neutral). ‘From record to record’ remains our mantra at FUCHS. ...

SGS AG: 1 director

A director at SGS AG sold 1,913 shares at 85.500CHF and the significance rating of the trade was 63/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing C...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

Covestro AG : Constructive on ADNOC, recovery underway. Stay tuned

>Good finish: Volume recovery ends 6 quarters of decline, better S&S, good FCF - Covestro reported a good finish of a challenging 2023 with Q4 2023 group volume recovery to 3.1% y-o-y (o/w PM +7.7%) ending six quarters of annual volume decline. Plant availability issues in PM also weighed throughout 2023, turning a tailwind in 2024. S&S-EBITDA was the positive surprise, almost matching ‘normal’ Q4 2020 levels. FCF 2023 of € 232m finished strongly.ADNOC – ...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

Covestro AG : Q4 EBITDA 26% above cons, EBITDA 2024 outlook 5% below c...

>Q4 EBITDA of € 132m 26% above cons of € 105m (ODDO € 79m) on better S&S and Q4 volume turnaround - Q4 EBITDA of € 132m came in 26% above the consensus forecast of € 105m (ODDO € 79m) on a significantly better contribution from S&S. Q4 2023 is sequentially down 52% q-o-q compared to € 277m in Q3 2023 but turned around y-o-y vs -€ 38m in Q4 2022. The € 170m y-o-y EBITDA turnaround was primarily fuelled by € 52m from volume recovery to 3.1% y-o-y (Q3 2023: -3.8% y-o-y) ...

Baptiste Lebacq ... (+6)
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 02/09/2024

Falling inflation and weaker growth (in Europe) and – paradoxically – higher interest rates are driving an upturn in M&A in Europe. The sectors that are expected to be the most active are: healthcare, technology, industry, telecoms and utilities/renewables. We present the M&A outlook for all sectors of activity and identify 80 potentially active companies (predators, targets, buyers or sellers of assets). - ...

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