This note gathers feedback from the group meetings and the panels. In total 21 companies were presented in group meetings and/or panels. More than 100 guests found their way to the venue either physical or virtual (only panels). The 2 panels made for informative additions to the C-level meetings and a nice platform for discussion. Wednesday afternoon concentrated 4 experts from Logistic companies (CTP, Montea, VGP, WDP) for an interesting discussion on brownfields: " an answer to the scarcity of...
We publish our conference book with info on the panels, the graphs on the market and company profiles. European REITS suffered from macro and geo-political worries (logistics) Also, the European knee-jerk reaction on the bund (+60 bps) had a negative effect. We believe that despite these worries, REITS are a good place to hide, given their high visibility and proven growth potential in a tough environment. Our top-picks are Shurgard, WDP and Xior. SHUR and WDP have ample headroom on their balanc...
We update our model after the annual results and the EUR 45.3m capital increase announced on Sunday. The capital increase and its timing was a surprise as the guidance on debt reduction of EUR 150.0m is realised and the adjusted operational performance in line with our estimates. The reason for the capital increase is linked to the EUR 65.0 bond repayments coming up in FY25 and to get more flexibility at the deal table. Atenor did not announce any new project sales since October (Lakeside, Warsa...
BE-REITS suffer from macro-worries (logistics) and post-Trump knee-jerk reaction. We believe that especially money flows are pushing stocks down as interest rate fears resurfaced in the US. Our top-picks are Shurgard, WDP and Xior. SHUR and WDP have ample headroom on their balance sheet to continue their growth track record. WDP is also very cheap on cash earnings metrics vs. peers. Xior can grow and fix its balance sheet at the same time through contributions in kind.
Atenor guided towards a EUR 150.0m consolidated debt reduction by YE24 vs. YE23. The recent negative share price performance does not reflect this. In this note, we outline the 8 projects that could lead to an EUR 150.0m debt reduction. We also provide a detailed overview of the EUR 403.0m short term (
Ackermans & van Haaren: Indian participation casts shadow over excellent result of core segments. ASML: Spotlight on export restrictions again. Basic-Fit: Dutch parliament persists in plans to raise VAT for oa Sports to 21%. CFE: Earnings quality improved in challenging markets. Eurocommercial Properties: Better numbers, guidance moved toward the higher end of the range. OCI: IFCO sale successfully closed, cash return unlocked Recticel: Solid 1H24 beat, FY guidance may disappoint. SIF Grou...
We zoom in on the Atenor results of last week. The company guides a minimum of EUR 150m debt reduction by YE24. According to our calculations this is feasible. We even factor in EUR 170m debt reduction in our model, slightly above the guidance. According to our estimates, Atenor has 8 confirmed sales that reduce debt by EUR 230m. The decrease in debts is also driven by the reduced cash out related to the 1.200.000 sqm pipeline. This will be lower compared to previous years as there are no new pr...
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