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Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: Indian participation casts shadow over excellent result of core segments. ASML: Spotlight on export restrictions again. Basic-Fit: Dutch parliament persists in plans to raise VAT for oa Sports to 21%. CFE: Earnings quality improved in challenging markets. Eurocommercial Properties: Better numbers, guidance moved toward the higher end of the range. OCI: IFCO sale successfully closed, cash return unlocked Recticel: Solid 1H24 beat, FY guidance may disappoint. SIF Grou...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Cofinimmo: 1H24 results call highlights. Heineken: Misses. Again. Just Eat Takeaway: Preview 2Q24 and 1H24 Philips: 2Q24 results; simply a good update. Retail Estates: A good 1Q with no surprises. Wolters Kluwer: Acquires accountancy portfolio for €325m. Events Calendar

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: New UK ops strategy, targets to 2028: better OCG, lower op earnings. Atenor: Forward funding sale of ‘Realex'

Lynn Hautekeete ... (+4)
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Lynn Hautekeete
  • Lynn Hautekeete

Atenor A zoom on the EUR 150.0m guided debt reduction

We zoom in on the Atenor results of last week. The company guides a minimum of EUR 150m debt reduction by YE24. According to our calculations this is feasible. We even factor in EUR 170m debt reduction in our model, slightly above the guidance. According to our estimates, Atenor has 8 confirmed sales that reduce debt by EUR 230m. The decrease in debts is also driven by the reduced cash out related to the 1.200.000 sqm pipeline. This will be lower compared to previous years as there are no new pr...

Francesca Ferragina
  • Francesca Ferragina

Retail Estates/A resilient portfolio with growth ambitions/BUY

We confirm our positive stance on Retail Estates and raise our target price from €72 to €74. In our view, the full year results were good overall and the c.3% LFL portfolio revaluation indicates the strong resilience of this retail niche. FY25 guidance did not surprise being in line with our numbers and largely positive, anticipating 3% YoY top line growth and 2% DPS increase. Retail Estates reiterated its aim to acquire assets in a new market if a good opportunity arises and is open to a contri...

Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Retail Estates Conference Call Feedback

Positive mood in the call as RET realised the highest profit on record and confirms that it has digested the COVID period well and experts are catching up to this reality. On the CiK in BXL, no more details were given, but the estimated investment value is set at 40m (top of our estimate range). Entering a new country was mentioned again, but prices are still not where they can act upon (close to financing cost), but as the P/NTA discount decreases, chances can open up over time.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Atenor: Disposals are key. Azelis: Temasek reports 4.32% stake, PSP below 3%. KBC Ancora: “Interim” dividend €4.09, CERA 2023 annual report, discount -32.5%. Retail Estates: Strong portfolio resiliency once again

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+3)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Retail Estates FY23/24 Results: In line on lfl basis, aiming for a ret...

RET reported its FY23/24 results (March end) more or less in line with our estimates. EPRA Net profit grew LfL 9.77% yoy (excl. FBI refunds). EPS amounted to EUR 6.18 a LfL growth of 6.81%. We expected an EPRA EPS of EUR 6.28. The cost of debt rose to 2.3% (vs. 2.2% expected). NRI however surpassed our expectation at 138.8m vs. 137.9m expected. RET indicates it is considering a contribution in kind for a retail park in the Brussels periphery (no financial details). We estimate a 20-40m investmen...

Vincent Koppmair
  • Vincent Koppmair

Atenor - Q1 2024 - No surprises

Q1 trading update does not include financial figures.2024 guidance for a positive EBIT, and likely for a positive Net profit.We remain ‘Suspended', we will come back with updated estimates in the coming weeks.More details in our Note published this morning

Inna Maslova
  • Inna Maslova

Retail Estates - FY23/24 solid, guiding for more growth

FY23/24 closed end March 2024. EPRA earnings up 9.77% on a LfL basis (excl. impact of the FBI provision reversal in the previous financial year, flat otherwise) to EUR 88.4m. On a per share basis, the result was up 6.8% YoY on a LfL basis to EUR 6.18, below our EUR 6.59 estimate. The difference with our estimate primarily stems from higher corporate and interest expenses.Portfolio value was up 2.96% on a LfL basis to EUR 2.03bn. EPRA NIY stands at 6.61%, down 18bps.The company is considering an ...

Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Retail Estates Out of Town stands its ground in an online world

In recent decades, OOT stores have become an integral part of the BE/NL retail sector ranging from large supermarkets to specialized retail chains. Traffic congestion around retail parks and the negative impact on inner city retail have become concerns, but OOT stores and retail parks remain a popular shopping destination. They withstood the e-commerce acceleration during COVID. In this note we discuss how the OOT segment adapted to the new online reality and managed to maintain high occupancy r...

Lynn Hautekeete ... (+2)
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Wim Lewi

Real Asset Conference Soundbites 19-20 March 2024

This note gathers feedback from the group meetings and the break-out sessions. In total 23 companies presented in group meetings and/or break-out sessions. More than 100 guests found their way to the venue and some more followed virtual meetings. Physical attendance is clearly on the rise after the COVID disruption. Investing remains a people's business. The 4 break-out sessions made for informative additions to the C-level meetings and a nice platform for discussion. Tuesday morning concentrate...

Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

KBCS Real Assets Conference Book 2024

This conference book is your guide to the KBCS Real Assets Conference 2024. It offers a program, an intro to the break-out sessions and company profiles with financial data and some useful info. The break-out sessions aim to educate and contemplate on certain trends. Last year we hosted “Energy as a business”. This year, we offer 4 break-outs on hot topics.

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Atenor: Write-offs continue – delivery on disposals key for FY24. D'Ieteren: 2H23 preview - Belgian February new car registrations up 10%, VW +3%

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