Mobile and broadband pair trades to consider this summer

While we have been intensively focused on such things as a Presidential intervention to prevent a Chapter 11, we admit that our mind occasionally drifts to thoughts of summer. So to help others who may have similar thoughts, we thought, in honor of summer beginning, we should provide our thoughts as to which alcohols pair best with the purchase of the stocks we cover (actually, we just asked ChatGPT and, given its attitude about intellectual property, we have no fears about just cutting and pas...

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Intrum, Nimlas, TeamSystem, Altice France (SFR), Almaviva, Urbaser, Telecom Italia, Paprec Group, Selecta, Cirsa, Vedanta Resources, Cheplapharm, Kem One

NOS (Sell, TP: €3.11, -18%) Digi (Underweight) Altice International (E...

One of the key questions in European Telecoms at the moment is how successful will Digi be in Portugal, Spain and Belgium; and to a lesser extent, how successful can the challengers be in general: Salt, Iliad Italy, and so on. In this report, we take a top-down look at how spectrum drives success in European mobile, and what that means for future outcomes.

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Loewen Play, TeamSystem, Eircom, United Group, Telecom Italia, Cheplapharm, Virgin Media O2, Tata Motors, Benteler International, Lottomatica (formerly Gamenet), Crown Holdings

Tele Columbus - ESG Report - Lucror Analytics

Altice France (Overweight) Key questions from the Q1 25 results and m...

Last week SFR reported weak numbers at the SR and EBITDA level (HERE). We are surprised the bonds have not been sold off more. Possibly that is because new OpFCF guidance is for OpFCF to be up y/y despite the EBITDA declines, and/or investors think fundamentals are not important when there is a high chance of M&A. We are overweight the bonds based on the likelihood that M&A happens this year – HERE – but absent M&A, it is hard to find much to cheer about in the results: KPIs are solid, but stabi...

Telecom Italia Spa: 1 director

A director at Telecom Italia Spa bought 100,000 shares at 0.380EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: PeopleCert, Stada, Kiloutou, Loxam, CeramTec, Progroup, Playtech, Tele Columbus, CBR Fashion, Best Secret (Schustermann & Borenstein), Grunenthal, Novafives, Intrum, Profine, Flos B&B Italia (formerly International Design Group), Odido, Multiversity, Paprec Group, Cheplapharm, Engineering Group, Itelyum Group, Motel One, Tereos, Iberconsa, Stena AB, Mooney (formerly SisalPay)

TeleColumbus (Overweight) Updated model and outlook post Q1 results

TeleColumbus reported Q1 results last night – and for our detailed review of the quarter, please see our note HERE.Now, following the management call, we publish an updated model to reflect the comments around the more competitive environment in the market. In this note, we run through our changes to estimates, liquidity and valuation.

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Progroup, Atalian, Loxam, Salt, United Group, Altice France (SFR), TeamSystem, Altice International, VodafoneZiggo, Tele Columbus, Kiloutou, Techem, THOM Europe, EnQuest Plc, Grunenthal, Cirsa, SIG plc, Derichebourg, Forgital, Vallourec, Mahle, CABB, Stena AB, Bertrand Franchise, Canpack, Benteler International, Azelis, Motel One, Grupo Antolin

TeleColumbus (Overweight) Q1 25: Pricing power leads to KPI wobble

TeleColumbus Q1 results would suggest the introduction of some long-awaited pricing power on their broadband product, but this has been offset by weaker KPIs. EBITDA in Q1 was also slightly weaker than expected on higher costs.

Altice France (SFR) Q1 25: Positive new OpFCF guidance despite weak SR...

Altice France has reported Q1 25 results which are quite weak at both the SR and EBITDA level. There is new guidance on OpFCF, which is for it be up y/y (i.e. for capex declines to offset EBITDA declines (which slipped to –11.6% y/y ex construction from –11.2% y/y in Q4 24)), which is a positive, but we can’t help but feel that the OpFCF guidance has been given in order to distract from the weak underlying numbers. We are overweight the bonds based on the likelihood that M&A happens this year bu...

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Kiloutou, Tele Columbus, Odido, Guala Closures, Tereos, Sasol, Novafives, Paprec Group, CMA CGM, Bertrand Franchise, CBR Fashion, Grunenthal

Europe HY Trade Book - May 2025 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for May 2025 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. We also discuss the US tariff situation and key related impacts.

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Versuni (formerly Philips Domestic Appliances), PureGym, Eircom, Modulaire, Arrow Global, Iliad, Engineering Group, Advanz Pharma, Kem One, Borr Drilling, Travelodge, Trivium, Teva, Premier Foods, Tullow Oil

eir Q1 25: Solid quarter and guidance reiterated

Summary: Eir has reported a solid set of Q1 numbers; SR trends are broadly unchanged from Q4 and guidance has been reiterated. We continue to think that although the Eir spreads are quite tight, they could be tighter still given the outlook and asset cover. Eir benefits from being part of the Xavier Niel stable, and we expect operational excellence to remain core to the story.

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: TK Elevator, Verisure, Arxada, Modulaire, Omnia Technologies, Eircom, Iliad, Travelodge, Advanz Pharma, Trivium, Cheplapharm, Teva, Biofarma, Biogroup, AMS Osram, Ardagh, ASK Chemicals, Rino Mastrotto, Scan Global Logistics, Sasol

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Vodafone, Telecom Italia

Vodafone FY25 results disappoint on performance in Germany. Telecom Italia's ratings on positive outlook with Fitch

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: TK Elevator, Trivium, SPIE, Ahlstrom, NewDay, Italmatch Chemicals, Manuchar, Asmodee, Allwyn (formerly Sazka), Sunrise, Telecom Italia, Altice France (SFR), Teva, Borr Drilling, AMS Osram, Victoria, Cerba, EVOCA, Solenis

Credit Morning 05/16/2025

Reportedly, Bayer thinks about sending Monsanto into chapter 11 to solve litigation|Teva: Moody’s upgrades the rating to Ba1/stable from Ba2/positive|Techem Q2 25 call notes: Likely no imminent call of EUR 750 Temporary Notes|Crédit Logement released its 2024 results|BFCM announces the call for its Perp CMS on 16/06/2025|