reports
- Baptiste Salaville
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
- Baptiste Salaville
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
Raiffeisen Bank International : The sun will still rise in the East, e...
Despite its return to favour this year (+90% YTD vs SX7E +75%), we think the stock has re-rating potential that is still overlooked regarding RBI’s increasingly credible capacity to’ function’ decently without Russia, (the group’s key engine until 2022). Its solid outlook for profitability (ROE ~12% sur 2025-2028e, +7 pts vs 2024), and shareholder returns (dividend yield of ~6%, potential increase in the payout) and low valuation multiples (20% discount vs sector on P/E 2026e). We initiate cover...
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
Raiffeisen Bank International : Le soleil se lèvera toujours à l’Est …...
En dépit d’un retour en grâce amorcé (+90% YTD vs SX7E +75%), il existe, selon nous, un potentiel de rerating encore mal identifié sur la capacité de plus en plus crédible de RBI à ‘fonctionner’ décemment sans la Russie (véritable locomotive du groupe jusqu’en 2022). Ses perspectives sont solides en matière de rentabilité (ROE ~12% sur 2025/28e, +7 pts vs 2024), et de retour à l’actionnaire (rendement dividende ~6%, potentielle hausse du payout)… le tout sur des multiples de valorisation bas (dé...
- Mihaly Gajda
Reinitiation Of Coverage
We reinitiate the coverage of Raiffeisen Bank International with a Buy recommendation. Our 2026 year-end ex-dividend target price is EUR 38.5, which implies an upside potential of approximately 21%. Our base case valuation excludes the Russian operation (zero P/BV). For 2025, we forecast a dividend of EUR 1.45 per share, corresponding to a payout ratio of roughly 30%. At current levels, the stock trades at 0.85× P/TBV, 6.9× 2025 ex-litigation P/E, and 7.0× 2026 ex-litigation P/E, underscoring th...
- Mihaly Gajda
Raiffeisen - Raiffeisen Beats Estimates On NII, Costs, And Provisions
Raiffeisen beat both the analyst consensus of EUR 424mn and our estimate of EUR 366 mn on net profit to shareholders excluding Russia, posting EUR 349 mn. The bank outperformed expectations across nearly all key items, most notably in net interest margin, operating expenses, and provisions. An upward revision to the consensus for full-year consolidated profit now appears highly likely, provided there is no exceptionally high provision booking in Q4. Management provided a conservative estim...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Hungarian BUX in the lead in Octob...
EME Equity Market – October 2025 Hungarian BUX leads in October, Türkiye and Greece lag. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.5% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in USD terms in October. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 9.1% mom in EUR terms; followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Romanian BET (+5.4% mom) (in EUR terms). The Czech PX was also in the green (+2.8% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Turkish ISE30 (-1.9% mom and -1.1% mom, in EUR terms, respectively) both los...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
ADNOCDRILL CTP NV
2381 ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
BOROUGE HELLENIQ ENERGY
H2O BOROUGE
AQ HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
THEON AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIRA THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
NOVAL GEVORKYAN A.S.
ZAB NOVAL PROPERTY
DSPW ZABKA GROUP
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PEO PW; KOMB CP; ING PW; MBK PW; KRU PW; JMT PL; RBI AV; B...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: 3Q25 very solid; 20%+ ROE delivery; key catalyst will be M&A decisions NEUTRAL • Komercni Banka: 3Q25 beat driven purely by positive LLPs balance, still no breakthrough in NII performance NEUTRAL • ING BSK: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • mBank: 3Q25 bottom line misses estimates, but purely on higher tax and FX mortgage saga provisions NEUTRAL • Kruk: 3Q25 results a mixed bag – recoveries strong, revenues down, no breakthrough in Spain NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
- Marine Leleux
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
- Marine Leleux
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
- Research Team
WOOD Morning (20 October 2025)
HEADLINES: • Raiffeisen Bank International: material upside locked up in Russia (stays BUY) • Theon International: secures EUR 300m long-term supply agreement with a NATO country POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: to receive an extra EUR 39m from its investment in Ellaktor POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (13-19 October) • Magyar Telekom: 3Q25E preview – 13% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 12 November) • Wirtualna Polska: 3Q25E preview – soft quarter, with 1% yoy pro-forma adjusted E...
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
- Miguel Dias
Raiffeisen Bank International: material upside locked up in Russia (st...
We maintain our BUY on RBI, and set a new 12M price target (PT) of EUR 35.8/share, offering 21% upside. We see RBI as one of the cheapest among the regional and European banks, on an adjusted earnings basis (2025-26E adjusted P/E excluding Polish losses of 6.8-6.6x). On the headline earnings, excluding the Russian operations, it is trading at our 2025-26E P/Es of 10.6-8.5x, which do not offer as wide discounts to its peers, but neither do they indicate a significant valuation premium. RBI trades...
- Marine Leleux
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
- Marine Leleux
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
- Marine Leleux
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
- Marine Leleux
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
- Szabolcs Pal
RBI reported a surprising result in Q2
After the Q2 results we revised our forecast and rolled our TP to Jun-26 which we set at EUR 28.3 excluding the DPS after the 2025 results. We increased our 2026 estimated EPS by 15% to EUR 4.2. However, we cut our recommendation to Accumulate from Buy due to the limited upside potential. We assume that RBI will increase the dividend payout ratio to 40% following last year's decline. RBI reported a net profit of EUR 307mn, a 25% increase YoY, due to the higher operating income and lower CHF pr...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in July
EME Equity Market – July 2025 EME indices all in the green in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 6.0% mom in EUR terms and 3.0% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE30 was, once again, the top performer, adding 7.9% mom in EUR terms, followed very closely by the Romanian BET, advancing 7.8% mom in EUR terms. The Greek ASE added 6.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Czech PX added 4.5% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and Polish WIG20 added 3.6% and 3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms.
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
- Marine Leleux
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
- Marine Leleux
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
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