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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PEO PW; KOMB CP; ING PW; MBK PW; KRU PW; JMT PL; RBI AV; B...

HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: 3Q25 very solid; 20%+ ROE delivery; key catalyst will be M&A decisions NEUTRAL • Komercni Banka: 3Q25 beat driven purely by positive LLPs balance, still no breakthrough in NII performance NEUTRAL • ING BSK: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • mBank: 3Q25 bottom line misses estimates, but purely on higher tax and FX mortgage saga provisions NEUTRAL • Kruk: 3Q25 results a mixed bag – recoveries strong, revenues down, no breakthrough in Spain NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat...

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/MUNHYP green SNP, RBI AT1 call, ESRB on stablecoins

Muenchener Hypothekenbank keeps green senior issuance going. RBI moves to call AT1 at a second opportunity. ESRB reports on stablecoins systemic risks

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/MUNHYP green SNP, RBI AT1 call, ESRB on stablecoins

Muenchener Hypothekenbank keeps green senior issuance going. RBI moves to call AT1 at a second opportunity. ESRB reports on stablecoins systemic risks

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (20 October 2025)

HEADLINES: • Raiffeisen Bank International: material upside locked up in Russia (stays BUY) • Theon International: secures EUR 300m long-term supply agreement with a NATO country POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: to receive an extra EUR 39m from its investment in Ellaktor POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (13-19 October) • Magyar Telekom: 3Q25E preview – 13% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 12 November) • Wirtualna Polska: 3Q25E preview – soft quarter, with 1% yoy pro-forma adjusted E...

Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska ... (+2)
  • Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
  • Miguel Dias

Raiffeisen Bank International: material upside locked up in Russia (st...

We maintain our BUY on RBI, and set a new 12M price target (PT) of EUR 35.8/share, offering 21% upside. We see RBI as one of the cheapest among the regional and European banks, on an adjusted earnings basis (2025-26E adjusted P/E excluding Polish losses of 6.8-6.6x). On the headline earnings, excluding the Russian operations, it is trading at our 2025-26E P/Es of 10.6-8.5x, which do not offer as wide discounts to its peers, but neither do they indicate a significant valuation premium. RBI trades...

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/RBI, Third country equivalence and securitisations, ECB on...

RBI may get some respite in the Strabag affair, a clear positive. Third country equivalence for covered bonds – the heat is on from securitisations. ECB on NBFI macroprudential policy

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/RBI, Third country equivalence and securitisations, ECB on...

RBI may get some respite in the Strabag affair, a clear positive. Third country equivalence for covered bonds – the heat is on from securitisations. ECB on NBFI macroprudential policy

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/RBI and SOCGEN AT1, principal adverse impact disclosures

Raiffeisen Bank International takes action on its AT1 curve. Société Générale returns to AT1 markets, but this time in euros. ESAs publish the fourth annual report on principal adverse impact disclosures

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/RBI and SOCGEN AT1, principal adverse impact disclosures

Raiffeisen Bank International takes action on its AT1 curve. Société Générale returns to AT1 markets, but this time in euros. ESAs publish the fourth annual report on principal adverse impact disclosures

Szabolcs Pal
  • Szabolcs Pal

RBI reported a surprising result in Q2

After the Q2 results we revised our forecast and rolled our TP to Jun-26 which we set at EUR 28.3 excluding the DPS after the 2025 results. We increased our 2026 estimated EPS by 15% to EUR 4.2. However, we cut our recommendation to Accumulate from Buy due to the limited upside potential. We assume that RBI will increase the dividend payout ratio to 40% following last year's decline. RBI reported a net profit of EUR 307mn, a 25% increase YoY, due to the higher operating income and lower CHF pr...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in July

EME Equity Market – July 2025 EME indices all in the green in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 6.0% mom in EUR terms and 3.0% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE30 was, once again, the top performer, adding 7.9% mom in EUR terms, followed very closely by the Romanian BET, advancing 7.8% mom in EUR terms. The Greek ASE added 6.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Czech PX added 4.5% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and Polish WIG20 added 3.6% and 3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms.

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Credit Agricole, Societe Generale, RBI, USD supply

Crédit Agricole reports resilient earnings, capital remains strong. Société Générale reports stronger earnings. RBI earnings drop to a loss, we expect AT1 call to depend on refinancing. USD denominated sustainable issuances drop in 1H25

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: SPL PW; RBI AV; TUPRS TI; AKBNK TI; OTKAR TI; THEON NA; TI...

HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: 2Q25 results – solid dividend flow expected • Raiffeisen Bank International: 2Q25 results • Tupras: 2Q25 results – EBITDA beats expectations POSITIVE • Akbank: 2Q25 highlights – guidance downgrade, but probably not a surprise for the market NEUTRAL • Otokar: 1H25 inflation-adjusted financials • Theon International: 1H25 trading update POSITIVE • Titan: weak 2Q25 results for Titan America, but guidance remains unchanged NEGATIVE • ADNOC Drilling: 2Q25 results –...

Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Capital/It's getting hot in here

We take a look at the broad developments in euro-denominated AT1 markets. So far this year the tight trading levels have reflected as banks continuing to remain very active in primary markets. With the uncertain geopolitical landscape, we would remain selective on issuers and in terms of bonds.

Jeroen van den Broek ... (+2)
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Timothy Rahill

Credit Outlook update/An unstoppable force against an immovable object

As we approach summer and reflect upon the already very busy and volatile first half of the year, we review our Credit Markets Outlook for 2025 and offer an update on our views, positioning and forecasts for the remainder of the year. We include our Picks and Pans on the Utilities, TMT, Real Estate and Bank sectors.

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Norwegian preferred senior, ECB rating rules, RBI damages,...

Norwegian preferred senior to face some performance boundaries. ECB collateral: Rating rule changes will hardly impact preferred senior. Raiffeisen Bank International completes payment of damages. Commerzbank AT1 tender results

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Norwegian preferred senior, ECB rating rules, RBI damages,...

Norwegian preferred senior to face some performance boundaries. ECB collateral: Rating rule changes will hardly impact preferred senior. Raiffeisen Bank International completes payment of damages. Commerzbank AT1 tender results

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the green in...

EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.

EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
GIG GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
Szabolcs Pal
  • Szabolcs Pal

RBI reported a disappointing operating result in Q1

RBI reported a net profit of EUR 260mn, which means a 14% decrease YoY, due to the lower NII and higher OPEX. RBI confirmed the mgmt. expectations for 2025 and expects to reach 10% ROE ex-Russia even if the Q1 consolidated ROE was only 7.3%.

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