EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
A director at Echo Investment S.A. bought 25,000 shares at 4.740PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank Group: smart leverage, strong thesis (stays BUY) • Santander Bank Polska: no such thing as plug and play in M&A (downgraded to HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: CIS plus – a good growth juncture, amid global policy shifts • PCF Group: 1Q25 results miss expectations, on lower portion of costs being capitalised NEGATIVE • Echo Investment (HOLD, PT PLN 3.1): 1Q25 – only a handful of deliveries means a weak P&L • Duna House: 1Q25 results– first look positive POSITIVE • DataWalk: ke...
EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: strategy focused on growth (stays BUY) • Ignitis Group: making headway (BUY - transfer of coverage) • PZU: 4Q24 well ahead of expectations, holding structure to be created within PZU group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 4Q24 results – EBITDA up 9% yoy, 9% above our forecast and 1% above the consensus POSITIVE • Colt CZ Group SE: FY24 results review NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: 4Q24 earnings, and preview of a potential mega data centre NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: 4Q2...
EME Equity Market – November 2024 Rebound in Türkiye, Romania hammered. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 3.8% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms in November. The Turkish ISE30 recouped the losses of the previous month, adding 10.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX added 4.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the PX (+2.9% mom), the ASE (+0.8% mom) and the WIG (+0.8% mom) (all in EUR terms). Following the first round of presidential elections, and the polemic and uncertainty that ensued, the BET ...
HEADLINES: • Gentoo Media: let’s roll! (BUY - initiation of coverage) • CCC: 3Q24 results in line with prelims; positive trends maintained in 4Q24 NEUTRAL • Asseco Poland: 3Q24 review –net profit up 18% yoy, 9% above the consensus POSITIVE • Echo Investment: 3Q24 results in line with the consensus; to sell React office in Lodz POSITIVE • Text: 2Q24-25 (calendar 3Q24) results – EBITDA up 12% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • CA Immo: 3Q24 in line, focus remains on disposals NEUTRAL • PCF ...
EME Equity Market - September 2024 EME indices mostly in the red in September; rebound in Greece. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 2.0% in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms in September. The Greek ASE Index was the best performer in our region, advancing 1.4% mom in EUR terms. Muted performances were seen in Czechia and Hungary (+0.3% and +0.2% mom, respectively in EUR terms), with declines in Poland, Romania and Turkey (-3.6%, -2.9% and -1.5% mom, respectively in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Colt CZ Group SE: full metal jacket (stays BUY) • Pegasus Airlines: another good year (stays HOLD) • Allegro: 2Q24 above expectations, but growth deceleration guided for 3Q24E NEUTRAL • Echo Investment: 2Q24 ahead of PAP consensus expectations • Auto Partner: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: announces programme to buy back up to USD 50m of its GDRs
HEADLINES: • European oil and gas monthly: June 2024 – refining margins continue down • Huuuge Games: 2Q24 bookings estimate down 7% qoq NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: 2Q24 booking estimate down by a limited 3% qoq, slightly better than expected • Polish homebuilders: government to present subsidy plan after the summer • Sipchem: signs contract for EVA plant expansion NEUTRAL • Coca-Cola Icecek: BoD decides to raise paid-in capital by 1,000% bonus issue NEUTRAL
EME Equity Market – May 2024 Turkish equities lead, in the mostly green month of May. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in LCU terms in May. The Turkish ISE30 index reported the strongest performance, adding 3.6% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Czech PX (+2.7% and 2.1% mom in EUR terms, respectively). The Hungarian BUX index and the Polish WIG20 remained broadly flat (+0.4% and +0.2% mom in EUR terms, respectively); although, in LCU terms,...
HEADLINES: • Sphera Group: out of the shadows (stays BUY) • PCF Group: 1Q24 EBITDA above our and the market's expectations, driven by self-publishing POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: 1Q24 review – net profit up 16% yoy, 10% the above consensus POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: 1Q24 adjusted EBITDA as expected NEUTRAL • Echo Investment: 1Q24 – benign margin environment continuing for Polish homebuilders NEUTRAL • GTC: 1Q24 in line, management recommends PLN 0.22 DPS NEGATIVE • PGE: 1Q24 earnings in line with...
EME Equity Market – March 2024 Market performance – mixed performances in March, with the Romanian BET outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.3% mom in EUR terms and 0.4% mom in USD in March. The Romanian BET reported the strongest performance, adding 7.1% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Czech PX and the Polish WIG20 (+4.1% and 1.0% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). Greece saw a relatively muted performance (-0.2% mom in EUR terms), while Hungary (-1.1% mom in EUR terms) and Tür...
HEADLINES: • InPost: 4Q23 strong, as expected; neutral FY24E guidance; volume acceleration in 1Q24 NEUTRAL • Asseco Poland: 4Q23 review – net profit up 10% yoy, in line with preliminaries; strong 2024 backlog recorded POSITIVE • Echo Investment: 4Q23 – residential good, offices bad NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: 4Q23 results NEUTRAL • LPP: key takeaways from the conference call on the exit from Russia, 2.0 POSITIVE • Kruk: 2023 net profit DPS proposal of PLN 18, in line with our expectations N...
HEADLINES: • Cimsa: announces the completion of the 10.1% SBS shares transfer POSITIVE • InPost: PPF executes only part of the option, at this stage NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: 2024E revenue growth target at 13-15% yoy NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: November sales growth decelerated to a limited 10% yoy NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (4-10 December) • Hidroelectrica: signs agreement to acquire assets and personnel from manufacturer of hydro equipment NEUTRAL • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Con...
EME Equity Market – September 2023 Market performance – positive developments in Romania and Turkey, declines everywhere else. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 3.7% mom in EUR terms and 6.0% mom in USD in September. Romania took the spotlight, with the BET Index advancing 7.4% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Turkish ISE30 (+4.6% mom). The Polish WIG20 declined the most (-8.7% mom), followed by the Greek ASE, the Hungarian BUX and, finally, the Czech PX (-7.9%, -1.9% and -0.6% mom, respectively).
HEADLINES: • Echo Investment: 2Q23 - weak quarter, as expected NEUTRAL • Polish banks: to face credit holiday extension into 2024E NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Phantom Liberty gets 88-89/100 Metascore; base game Update 2.0 to be released today NEUTRAL • CEZ: committee postpones debate on Lex CEZ 2.0 until 18 October NEUTRAL • Nuclearelectrica: Canada to support the development of Units 3 & 4 of the Cernavoda NPP with CAD 3bn • Allegro: price hike for monthly Smart! subscription • Short News (DAT, OPL...
EME Equity Market – May 2023 Market performance – in its election month and with talks of a return to investment grade starting to materialise, Greece outperformed, posting a stellar performance. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 2.3% mom in EUR terms, but lost 1.4% mom in USD in May. The Greek ASE Index saw the biggest gains (+12.3% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Hungarian BUX Index (+6.2% mom in EUR terms) and the Turkish ISE 30 Index (+3.4% mom in EUR terms). The remaining geographies finis...
HEADLINES: • PZU: books solid 1Q23 result on strong investment income and solid insurance operations performance POSITIVE • Allegro: 1Q23 results above expectations; guidance for growth slowdown in 2Q23E POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 1Q23 results - adjusted EBITDA up 5% yoy, 8% above the market consensus POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: 1Q23 review - net profit flat yoy, at PLN 108m, in line with preliminary estimate NEUTRAL • CA Immo: 1Q23 - recurring in line, EUR 324m of assets sold at 30%+ premium to bo...
EME Equity Market – March 2023 Market performance – all geographies down in March. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 7.6% mom in EUR terms and 5.7% mom in USD in March. Among a sea of red, Romania’s BET saw the smallest decline (-2.6% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Czech PX Index (-5.5% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX indices saw similar declines (-7.4% and -7.5% mom ,respectively, in EUR terms), while the worst performer for the month was the Turkish ISE30, down 10.5% mo...
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