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Stijn Demeester
  • Stijn Demeester

Umicore/Battery headwinds intensifying/HOLD

We lower our estimates and target price to reflect last week's substantial profit warning in Umicore's Battery Materials division. Given the current challenges in the EV supply chain as well as uncertainty on Umicore's strategy in Battery Materials, we stick to our HOLD and lower our target price from €19.00 to €16.00.

Bekaert S.A.: 1 director

A director at Bekaert S.A. sold 4,969 shares at 41.930EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 66/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sho...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Umicore

One month after the surprising CEO change, Umicore issued a severe profit warning on the back of lower EV demand growth, which prompted us to lower our FY24 adjusted EBITDA forecast by about 15%. Umicore announced it will re-assess its mid to long term growth ambitions and we have already taken a more conservative approach with our FY30 CAM volume estimate now at 250 GWh, vs 300 GWh previously and the company's current official target of 400 GWh. Even with our lowered forecasts, vehicle electrif...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

Umicore : More realism but still quite a bit of uncertainty remains

>Battery Material woes result in material lower 2024-2026 estimates - We have adjusted our 2024 estimates for E&ST, in line with the updated guidance for Battery Materials and we are now, for Umicore as a whole, at €768m, the lower end of the updated 2024 adj. EBITDA guidance of €760m to €800m. The faster than expected decline in volume from mid-nickel chemistry contracts and the slower ramp-up (or delays) of the high nickel chemistry contracts also impacts our 2025 a...

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 06/12/2024

The formation of alliances to Macron's left and right reduces his leeway and increases the risk of a cohabitation, a priori probably with a Prime Minister from the Rassemblement National (National Rally). Equity markets are more visibly affected by these developments. Reduce positions in French names linked to government intervention, the most heavily indebted sectors. We are adjusting our vision of sector risks flagged on Monday morning. The sectors most at risk are: banks, construct...

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 12/06/2024

La constitution d’alliances à gauche et à droite de Macron réduit sa marge de manœuvre politique et augmente le risque d’une cohabitation, a priori plutôt avec un Premier Ministre issu du Rassemblement National. Les marchés actions accusent davantage le coup. Alléger ses positions sur les noms français liés à l’intervention étatique, les secteurs les plus endettés. Nous ajustons notre vision des risques sectoriels de lundi matin. Les secteurs les plus à risque sont : Banques, Construc...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Colruyt: Strong FY23/24 results, outlook 2% above consensus. Staffing: Dutch Period 5 - softer trends in May on tougher comps, adjusted slightly better. Staffing: Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 3Q24 - trends stable vs 2Q24. Umicore: Profit warning due to EV slowdown

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

Umicore : Material profit warning….which is not entirely unexpected

>Adverse developments in Battery Materials - Due to mid nickel chemistry contracts ending sooner and delays in the scaling up of new contracts, Umicore is adjusting the EBITDA guidance for the Battery Materials unit from €135m positive to break-even (including a €50m one off), also indicating that volumes in 2024 will be lower than in 2023. As we had outlined in our April 29 note, the so called guard rails that Umicore referred to when discussing its contracts in Batt...

Michiel Declercq ... (+4)
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Umicore FIRST LOOK: Severe profit warning on Battery Materials busines...

Umicore lowered FY24 adjusted EBITDA guidance from € 900-950m to € 760-800m, fully attributable to lower than expected top and bottom line growth in the Battery Materials business. The FY24 capex budget is being cut by c. € 200m to not exceeding € 650m and the reassessment of mid to long term growth in Battery Materials is ongoing, with the new CEO still convinced Umicore has the right to play in this space across all drivetrains. We already lowered our mid- to long-term forecasts after the rece...

Jacob Mekhael ... (+2)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Thomas Vranken

Biotech State of Affairs in Life Sciences

We provide an extensive overview on our life sciences coverage universe. The note covers recent updates, as well as upcoming catalysts, cash runway and estimates for these companies.

Frank Claassen
  • Frank Claassen

Umicore - Serious profit warning on Battery materials

•              Umicore lowers its FY24 guidance that Battery materials will be around breakeven instead of an EBITDA of around EUR 135m due to a severe slowdown in the EV market.•              We had already lowered our estimates for Battery materials recently, but today's news shows that the impact is much more severe than we feared. •              We put our estimates and TP under review.

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi
Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Holdings Report - May 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Down -0.9% Due To Mu...

1M Performance - Absolute: Over the last 1M period, the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -0.9% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (-1.3%) while single-asset holdings posted a positive return of +0.6%. The 3 top performers during the period were Solvac (+8.0%), Gimv (+5.5%), and Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (+5.3%) while the 3 worst performers were HAL Trust (-6.5%), D'Ieteren Group (-1.8%), and Texaf (-1.1%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD basis, the KBCS Holdings Univ...

 PRESS RELEASE

EVS Communicates the Results of the Extraordinary General Meeting of J...

EVS Communicates the Results of the Extraordinary General Meeting of June 10, 2024 Publication on June 10, 2024, after market closureRegulated informationEVS Broadcast Equipment S.A.: Euronext Brussels (EVS.BR), Bloomberg (EVS BB), Reuters (EVSB.BR) EVS COMMUNICATES THE RESULTS OF THE EXTRAORDINARY GENERAL MEETING OF JUNE 10, 2024 EVS Broadcast Equipment SA, leading provider of live video production systems, held a postponed Extraordinary General Meeting on June 10, 2024 (due to the lack of attendance quorum at the Extraordinary General Meeting convened on May 21, 2024). In total 116 ...

Stijn Demeester
  • Stijn Demeester

Umicore/Battery materials ambition in doubt/HOLD

Umicore's sudden management change, the subsequent battery segment review and the current malaise in the European EV supply chain are raising key questions regarding Umicore's ambitions in battery materials. With this update, we lower our target price to €19 per share, on the back of reduced estimates and a lower target multiple for the Battery Materials division. With Umicore's strategic direction unclear until an update due on 26 July, we remain at HOLD.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

BE Semiconductor Industries: Investor Day highlights. Gimv: A passion for sports grounds. Montea: €30m investment in battery energy storage systems. Vopak: Further progress in New Energies

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