A director at Riverstone Holdings Ltd bought 1,000,000 shares at 0.719SGD and the significance rating of the trade was 66/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two y...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
The selloff driven by the US’ unprecedented and perplexing tariff plans has liberated many investors of profits this year. Given the fluidity of market conditions, we highlight a number of domestic-focused stocks such as CENT, CD, DFI, HLA, PANU, PROP, RFMD, SSG and SIE as well as Singapore-focused REITS such as CDLHT, FEHT, FCT, KREIT, LREIT and PREIT. In addition, the MAS’ equity market review should inject much needed liquidity in 2H25. We lower our STI target to 3,720 (previously 4,115).
After Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on 23 August, we see a turning point starting with a US Fed rate cut in Sep 24 and lower rates heading into 2025. In the Singapore market, REITs and the property sector should benefit, as should highly-geared companies and those looking to recycle capital. Our current forecasts have incorporated lower NIMs for banks which we believe are protected by their high dividend yields.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CSE Global (CSE SP/BUY/S$0.465/Target: S$0.60) 1H24: Results a strong beat on top-line growth. DBS Group Holdings (DBS SP/BUY/S$33.65/Target: S$41.50) 2Q24: A new beginning. Riverstone Holdings (RSTON SP/BUY/S$0.925/Target: S$1.16) 1H24: Results in line; robust demand drives growth. TRADERS' CORNER Aztech Global (AZTECH SP): Trading BUY Sembcorp Industries (SCI SP): Trading BUY
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade: Slowing global manufacturing dampens export growth. Results Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$42.15/Target: HK$61.00): 2Q24: Core earnings up 66% yoy, beating estimates. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$61.00. INDONESIA Results Astra International (ASII IJ/SELL/Rp4,630/Target: Rp3,900): 2Q24: Soft performance in most major divisions; in line with expectations. Bank Neo Commerce (BBYB IJ/BUY/Rp234/Target: Rp375): 2Q24: Net loss of Rp20b; expec...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP/BUY/US$0.62/Target: US$0.81) 1H24: Making progress to backfill Frankfurt and Los Angeles data centres. Update Riverstone Holdings (RSTON SP/BUY/S$0.95/S$1.16) Strong earnings expected; target price raised to S$1.16. TRADERS' CORNER Seatrium (STM SP): Trading BUY Sembcorp Industries (SCI SP): Trading BUY
GREATER CHINA Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$88.00/Target: HK$118.50): 2Q24: Weak results; advanced packaging progress remains intact. Maintain BUY. Ningbo Tuopu Group Co (601689 CH/BUY/Rmb35.41/Target: Rmb86.00): 2Q24: Earnings up 25% yoy/qoq, in line. Maintain BUY. Target price: Rmb86.00. Update Pinduoduo (PDD US/BUY/US$134.24/Target: US$200.00): Navigating against unwavering geopolitical concerns. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights Japfa Comfeed Indonesia (JPFA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp1,630): 1Q24 reve...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results First Resources (FR SP/BUY /S$1.42/Target: S$1.65) 1Q24: Results within expectations. Frencken Group (FRKN SP/BUY/S$1.40/Target: S$1.74) 1Q24: Results within expectations; outlook remains optimistic. Maintain BUY. StarHub (STH SP/BUY/S$1.25/Target: S$1.41) 1Q24: Results in line; DARE+ benefits likely to come through by end-24. Update Riverstone Holdings (RSTON SP/BUY/S$0.93/S$1.12) Beneficiary of US tariff hike and gl...
GREATER CHINA Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$82.65/Target: HK$98.00): 4QFY24: Rewarding dividend payout; reigniting cloud revenue growth in 2H24. Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK/BUY/HK$36.80/Target: HK$51.00): 1Q24: Results within expectations; launch of smart gaming tables in Jul 24. Miniso (MNSO US/NOT RATED/US$24.15): 1Q24: 20-25% revenue guidance for 2Q24; raises TOP TOY store opening target for 2024. Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$381.80/Target: HK$454.00): 1Q24: Strong earnings b...
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation: PPI decline narrows as global commodity prices head higher. Money Supply: Weak credit demand hampering policy transmission. Sector Shipping and Ports: Prefer ports over container shipping for better risk-reward. Downgrade CSH to HOLD and OOIL to SELL after recent share price surge; switch to CSP and CMP. Update Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$19.40/Target: HK$22.80): 1Q24 Results Preview: Expect another beat driven by AIoT business. INDONESIA Results Erajaya Swas...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking: 1Q24 round-up: Strong results demonstrate resiliency. Results CSE Global (CSE SP/BUY/S$0.41/Target: S$0.56): 1Q24: Revenue in line; steady order wins reaffirm 2024 outlook. Genting Singapore (GENS SP/BUY/S$0.885/Target: S$1.25): 1Q24: Stellar results within expectations, mainly driven by “Swiftonomics” and seasonal strength during CNY. Maintain BUY and target price of S$1.25. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp (OCBC SP/BUY/S$13.91/Target: S$18.10): 1Q24: Record-high ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call: Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In A Bear Market: Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Well-Positioned For 1Q Results Season: Our April picks again beat the KLCI. May 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MYEG, Press Meta...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Adding AIA, Midea, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, Shenzhen Inovance and Trip.com to our BUY list, with SELL calls on BYD, EVE Energy, and Li Auto. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Mar 24 and 1Q24: Our picks are ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Expanding The Variety Of Events Bets: Our Alpha Picks trounced the KLCI in Mar 24. Apr 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MY...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Call: Adding CMB, COLI, CR Beer, Kuaishou and TUL to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Significant Outperformance In Feb 24: Our picks are BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Focusing On Earnings Momentum: Our Alpha Picks underperformed the KLCI in Feb 24 (-0.9% vs 2.5%). Mar 24 picks significantly feature companies with good earnings momentum. SINGAPORE...
Although the FSSTI recorded a decline of 0.4% mom in Feb 24, more than half of our picks, especially the small/mid-caps (Frencken, Marco Polo Marine and Food Empire), recorded decent gains. Our Alpha Picks portfolio rose 1.6% mom on an equal-weighted basis, outperforming the FSSTI by 2.0ppt. For Mar 24, we add Riverstone, and take profit on SATS and Valuetronics.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PEV market share rebounds; price war heats up. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: XPeng. Top BUY: CATL, Tuopu and Desay SV. Results Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$12.68/Target: HK$19.50): 2023: Results miss; mixed signals from the results. Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$242.80/Target: HK$262.00): 4Q23: Passable results. Maintain HOLD. NetEase (9999 HK/BUY/HK$176.20/Target: HK$202.00): 4Q23: Earnings miss; upcoming blockbusters in 2024. New...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AEM Holdings (AEM SP/HOLD/S$2.14/Target:S$1.94): 2023: Revenue meets forecast but 2024 guidance misses expectation; maintain HOLD. First Resources (FR SP/BUY /S$1.42/Target: S$1.65): 2023: 2H results below expectations as downstream losses are greater than expected due to negative margins for both refiner and biodiesel. Better outlook in 2024. Riverstone Holdings (RSTON SP/BUY/S$0.675/Target: S$0.88): 2023: Strong earnings beat, attractive 2024 yield of around 10%. Sin...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: EV sales rebounded in the third week of 2024 on price cuts, implying lower margins. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Li Auto. Update JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$90.40/Target: HK$135.00): Resilient user growth and normalised revenue growth fostering solid recovery in 2024. INDONESIA Sector Mining Expecting nickel prices to bottom out in 2024 with potential recovery in 2025. MALAYSIA Results Pavilion REIT (PREIT MK/BUY/RM1.24/Target: RM1.47): 4Q23: Results in line...
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