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Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Montana Aerospace : A more conservative view of production rates for 2...

>2024 guidance confirmed but adjustment for 2025 - Montana posted solid Q3 2024 results with adjusted EBITDA of € 38.7m vs € 32m for the Visible Alpha consensus (i.e. a margin of 10.6% in Q3 vs 8.5% last year but a sequential decline of 90bp) and confirmed its 2024 guidance (revenues above € 1.5bn excluding the consideration for the E-mobility division, adjusted EBITDA of € 165m and positive FCF) thanks to market share gains and a more favourable client mix with an ac...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Montana Aerospace : Une vision plus conservatrice des cadences de prod...

>Une guidance 2024 confirmée mais ajustement sur 2025 - Montana a publié des résultats solides au T3 2024 avec un EBITDA ajusté à 38.7 M€ vs 32 M€ pour le consensus Visible Alpha (soit une marge de 10.6% au T3 contre 8.5% l’année dernière mais en recul séquentiel de 90 bp) et a confirmé ses objectifs 2024 (CA au-dessus de 1.5 Md€ hors considération de la division E-mobility, EBITDA ajusté à 165 M€ et FCF positif) grâce notamment aux gains de part de marché et un mix-c...

Thijs Berkelder ... (+2)
  • Thijs Berkelder
  • Usama Tariq

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - Date1

We initiate coverage of Heijmans, a contractor focused on the Dutch market, with an Outperform rating and a TP of € 36.5 (DCF based). The Dutch residential market is finally recovering, and we believe Heijmans is well-positioned to benefit due to its land bank and property development arm, driving up revenues while EBITDA margins are expected to exceed 8.5% in the Living unit. Heijmans is also benefitting from strong demand from the infrastructure and energy markets, allowing for soli...

Thijs Berkelder ... (+2)
  • Thijs Berkelder
  • Usama Tariq

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/14/2024

We initiate coverage of Heijmans, a contractor focused on the Dutch market, with an Outperform rating and a TP of € 36.5 (DCF based). The Dutch residential market is finally recovering, and we believe Heijmans is well-positioned to benefit due to its land bank and property development arm, driving up revenues while EBITDA margins are expected to exceed 8.5% in the Living unit. Heijmans is also benefitting from strong demand from the infrastructure and energy markets, allowing for soli...

Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet

Interparfums : Feedback from the CMD: slight downward adjustment to es...

>Key takeaways: cautious guidance, less ambitious on Moncler and work to be done on enhancing the portfolio - 1/ Cautious guidance for 2025 (but the consensus too high), due to embedded effects. A good line-up for 2025: several launch initiatives are planned: Montblanc Explorer (new line), Jimmy Choo Man, Coach (2 new editions: Woman and Man), Solferino (new proprietary brand - niche perfumes / 10 lines listed in Paris for the story telling), Lacoste (extension of L12...

Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet

Interparfums : Feedback CMD : estimations légèrement abaissées

>Principaux éléments : guidance prudente, moins ambitieux sur Moncler et un travail à réaliser pour enrichir le portefeuille - 1/ Guidance 2025 prudente (mais CSS trop haut), compte tenu des effets embarqués. Bon line-up en 2025: plusieurs initiatives de lancements sont prévues : Montblanc Explorer (nouvelle ligne), Jimmy Choo Man, Coach (2 nouvelles déclinaisons : Woman et Man), Solferino (nouvelle marque propriétaire - parfums de niche / 10 lignes en référence à Par...

Loic Morvan
  • Loic Morvan

Interparfums: cautious prospects for 2025

Interparfums management released cautious sales prospects for 2025 yesterday with limited growth despite the roll-out of Lacoste Original. Although we are slightly more aggressive than management, we have notched down our FY25 sales estimate from EUR960m to EUR950m. Buy reiterated with EUR54 vs EUR

Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet

Interparfums : CMD and guidance: 2024 landing confirmed, cautious 2025...

>The management guides to 2025 growth of “just” 4%e - Ahead of its CMD today, Interparfums announced:1/ The fine tuning of its 2024 guidance: i/ 2024 sales are maintained in a range of between € 880-890m), ii/ the 2024 underlying operating margin is now projected to exceed 19%e, or >€ 170m est. (vs close to 19%, i.e. € 167-170m est. previously),2/ 2025 sales between € 910m and € 930m est. (i.e. +4% at the midpoint) , vs css >€ 950m est.;3/ A 2025 operat...

Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet

Interparfums : CMD et guidances : atterrissage 2024 conforté, perspect...

>Le management guide sur une croissance 2025 de « seulement » 4%e - En amont de son CMD, qui se tiendra aujourd’hui, Interparfums communique sur :1/ Le fine tuning de sa guidance 2024 : i/ le CA 24e est maintenu à une fourchette comprise entre 880-890 M€ précédemment), ii/ la MOp. courante 2024 devrait désormais dépasser les 19%e, soit >170 M€e (vs proche de 19% ie. 167-170 M€e jusqu’ici).2/ Un CA 2025 compris entre 910 et 930 M€e (ie. +4% en milieu de fourc...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/11/2024

Springer Nature is one of the world’s leading professional publishing companies. Its highly recurring revenue base and strong market position, good FCF generation and a deleveraging balance sheet should lead to a rerating, we believe. We initiate coverage with an Outperform and a TP of €33. - ...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/11/2024

Springer Nature is one of the world’s leading professional publishing companies. Its highly recurring revenue base and strong market position, good FCF generation and a deleveraging balance sheet should lead to a rerating, we believe. We initiate coverage with an Outperform and a TP of €33. - ...

Klaus Ringel ... (+2)
  • Klaus Ringel
  • Michael Foundoukidis

Stabilus SE : Full release of FY 2023-24 prelims in line, but no guida...

>Stabilus full release of FY 2024-25 prelims is in line with pre-released KPIs - Stabilus’ full release of FY 2023-24 prelims looks bang in line with the KPIs they had pre-released on 31 October. Group sales are +7% y-o-y to € 1.31bn (organic growth +0.6%) and group adj. EBIT is -1% y-o-y to € 157m with an adj. EBIT margin of 12.0%. Organic revenue growth was +14.1% y-o-y in APAC but declined by 1.2% y-o-y in EMEA and 5.7% y-o-y in the Americas. Looking into the compa...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: Stabilus SE publishes full preliminary figures for FY2024: f...

EQS-News: Stabilus SE / Key word(s): Annual Results Stabilus SE publishes full preliminary figures for FY2024: forecast for revenue and adjusted EBIT margin fulfilled 11.11.2024 / 07:00 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. CORPORATE NEWS   Stabilus SE publishes full preliminary figures for FY2024: forecast for revenue and adjusted EBIT margin fulfilled   According to preliminary figures, revenue in FY2024 grew by 7.5% to €1,305.9 million (FY2023: €1,215.3 million)   Adjusted EBIT[1] at €157.1 million, compared to €158.4 mill...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: Stabilus SE veröffentlicht vollständige vorläufige Zahlen fü...

EQS-News: Stabilus SE / Schlagwort(e): Jahresergebnis Stabilus SE veröffentlicht vollständige vorläufige Zahlen für GJ2024: Prognose für Umsatz und bereinigte EBIT-Marge erfüllt 11.11.2024 / 07:00 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. CORPORATE NEWS   Stabilus SE veröffentlicht vollständige vorläufige Zahlen für GJ2024: Prognose für Umsatz und bereinigte EBIT-Marge erfüllt   Umsatz steigt nach vorläufigen Zahlen um 7,5% auf 1.305,9 Mio. € (GJ2023: 1.215,3 Mio. €)   Bereinigtes EBIT[1] bei 157,1 Mio. € nach 158,4 Mio. € ...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+3)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 06/11/2024

Notre scénario central s’est concrétisé dans la nuit : Donald Trump remporte la présidentielle américaine, et le choix des électeurs ne devrait pas être contesté. Il pourrait disposer d’une majorité dans les deux assemblées. Les actions américaines en seront les premières bénéficiaires. Sur les actions européennes, les secteurs les plus gagnants seront l’Energie, les Médias, les Métaux, Construction & Materials, Financial Services, Insurance. Sont en revanche plus à risque Utilities, ...

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