reports
- Felix Fischer
Europe HY Trade Book - May 2025 - Lucror Analytics
The Europe HY Trade Book for May 2025 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. We also discuss the US tariff situation and key related impacts.
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
PFD PREMIER FOODS PLC
AMS AMS AG
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TLW TULLOW OIL PLC
EO FAURECIA SA
105I SAPPI LIMITED
TEVA.N TEVA PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
LBTYA LIBERTY GLOBAL PLC CLASS A
CSTM CONSTELLIUM SE CLASS A
CCK CROWN HOLDINGS INC.
RXL REXEL SA
DBG DERICHEBOURG SA
725180 STADA ARZNEIMITTEL AG
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
TNET TELENET GROUP HOLDING NV
TUI1 TUI AG
NEX NEXANS SA
VED VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
VCP VICTORIA PLC
AF AIR FRANCE-KLM SA
BBD.B BOMBARDIER INC. CLASS B
SYNT SYNTHOMER PLC
INTRUM INTRUM AB
888 888 HOLDINGS PLC
IPF INTERNATIONAL PERSONAL FINANCE PLC
ENQ ENQUEST PLC
EDR EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
TC1 TELE COLUMBUS AG
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
103M SASOL LIMITED
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
TALK TALKTALK TELECOM GROUP PLC
TATAMOTORS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
PL8 PLAYTECH PLC
ARW ARROW GLOBAL GROUP PLC
NEMAKA NEMAK S.A.B. DE C.V.
SPIE SPIE SA
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
ARD ARDAGH GROUP S.A. CLASS A
PFL PFLEIDERER GROUP SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
CDR CODERE S.A.
GAME GAMENET GROUP SPA
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS PLC
AXA AXACTOR SE
BORR SECURITAS DIRECT AB CL B
BORR DRILLING LTD
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
1Q25 Results: Telenet, VodafoneZiggo, Virgin Media O2/Delays until the...
The 1Q25 earnings reports of VodafoneZiggo, Telenet and Virgin Media O2[de] were soft. When compared to 4Q24, leverage deteriorated across the board in 1Q25, while all companies lost broadband customers. We were especially disappointed by the weaker outlook for VodafoneZiggo. Although all businesses have their intrinsic strengths, there are challenges, as described below, and our conviction to buy or sell the notes is low. We see limited value in current spreads. Nevertheless, there is still ups...
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
4Q24 Results: Sunrise, Telenet, VodafoneZiggo, Virgin Media O2/Earning...
The 4Q24 earnings reports of VodafoneZiggo, Telenet, Sunrise and Virgin Media O2[de] were soft. When compared to 4Q23, the 4Q24 adj. EBITDA performance was weak across the board. We currently prefer Sunrise, as it guides for adj. EBITDAaL growth and lower leverage. We also like VodafoneZiggo, as there is less uncertainty with respect to a potential network carve-out than at Virgin Media O2 and Telenet. Given similar credit profiles, we expect limited spread dispersion across the four companies.
- Carole Braudeau
REL RELX PLC
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
MMB LAGARDERE SCA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
TNET TELENET GROUP HOLDING NV
VIV VIVENDI SE
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
WPP WPP PLC
SOI SOITEC SA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
WLN WORLDLINE SA
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
TEF TELEFONICA SA
HFG HELLOFRESH SE
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
OVH OVH GROUPE
FORSE FORSEE POWER SA
VIRI VIRIDIEN
LOCAL SOLOCAL GROUP
- Haidje Rustau
- Ian Wong
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
- Tanvi Arora
Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Digi Communications, Sunrise, Telenet, Air France-KLM, Ineos Quattro, Atalian, Picard, Casino Guichard-Perrachon, Scan Global Logistics, Forvia (formerly Faurecia), Lottomatica (formerly Gamenet)
- Felix Fischer
European High Yield Investment Outlook 2025 - Lucror Analytics
In this publication, we review the past year and discuss our outlook for the next 12 months. We begin our discussion with the macro factors at play, including GDP forecasts, the geopolitical landscape and our expectations for cost inflation. We also trace the development of primary markets in the European HY space, and give our view on defaults in general as well as for our coverage universe. We then discuss sector trends and expectations, along with earnings development for companies under our ...
PFD PREMIER FOODS PLC
AMS AMS AG
RR. ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TLW TULLOW OIL PLC
EO FAURECIA SA
105I SAPPI LIMITED
TEVA.N TEVA PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
LBTYA LIBERTY GLOBAL PLC CLASS A
CSTM CONSTELLIUM SE CLASS A
CCK CROWN HOLDINGS INC.
RXL REXEL SA
DBG DERICHEBOURG SA
725180 STADA ARZNEIMITTEL AG
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
TNET TELENET GROUP HOLDING NV
TUI1 TUI AG
NEX NEXANS SA
VED VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
VCP VICTORIA PLC
AF AIR FRANCE-KLM SA
BBD.B BOMBARDIER INC. CLASS B
SYNT SYNTHOMER PLC
INTRUM INTRUM AB
888 888 HOLDINGS PLC
IPF INTERNATIONAL PERSONAL FINANCE PLC
ENQ ENQUEST PLC
EDR EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
TC1 TELE COLUMBUS AG
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
103M SASOL LIMITED
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
TALK TALKTALK TELECOM GROUP PLC
TATAMOTORS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
PL8 PLAYTECH PLC
ARW ARROW GLOBAL GROUP PLC
NEMAKA NEMAK S.A.B. DE C.V.
SPIE SPIE SA
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
ARD ARDAGH GROUP S.A. CLASS A
PFL PFLEIDERER GROUP SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
CDR CODERE S.A.
GAME GAMENET GROUP SPA
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS PLC
TIFS TI FLUID SYSTEMS
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
AXA AXACTOR SE
BORR SECURITAS DIRECT AB CL B
BORR DRILLING LTD
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Si Yong Ng
- Tanvi Arora
- Trung Nguyen
- James Ratzer
- Russell Waller
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
- Felix Fischer
PFD PREMIER FOODS PLC
AMS AMS AG
RR. ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TLW TULLOW OIL PLC
EO FAURECIA SA
105I SAPPI LIMITED
TEVA.N TEVA PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
LBTYA LIBERTY GLOBAL PLC CLASS A
CSTM CONSTELLIUM SE CLASS A
CCK CROWN HOLDINGS INC.
RXL REXEL SA
DBG DERICHEBOURG SA
725180 STADA ARZNEIMITTEL AG
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
TNET TELENET GROUP HOLDING NV
TUI1 TUI AG
NEX NEXANS SA
VED VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
VCP VICTORIA PLC
AF AIR FRANCE-KLM SA
BBD.B BOMBARDIER INC. CLASS B
SYNT SYNTHOMER PLC
INTRUM INTRUM AB
888 888 HOLDINGS PLC
IPF INTERNATIONAL PERSONAL FINANCE PLC
ENQ ENQUEST PLC
EDR EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
TC1 TELE COLUMBUS AG
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
103M SASOL LIMITED
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
TALK TALKTALK TELECOM GROUP PLC
TATAMOTORS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
PL8 PLAYTECH PLC
ARW ARROW GLOBAL GROUP PLC
NEMAKA NEMAK S.A.B. DE C.V.
SPIE SPIE SA
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
ARD ARDAGH GROUP S.A. CLASS A
PFL PFLEIDERER GROUP SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
CDR CODERE S.A.
GAME GAMENET GROUP SPA
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS PLC
TIFS TI FLUID SYSTEMS
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
AXA AXACTOR SE
BORR SECURITAS DIRECT AB CL B
BORR DRILLING LTD
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
- Tanvi Arora
Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Playtech, Salt, Eolo, Tele Columbus, Telenet, VodafoneZiggo, CABB, Manuchar, Canpack, Victoria, Grunenthal, Stena AB, TI Fluid Systems, Ineos, Ineos Quattro, Advanz Pharma
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
Liberty Global operating companies/3Q24 Earnings: UPCB, TNETBB, ZIGGO ...
The 3Q24 earnings reports of the four high yield telecom companies that are (partially) owned by Liberty Global[a] were mixed. 3Q24 adj. EBITDA performance was strong at VodafoneZiggo and Telenet, slightly better at Sunrise, and weak at Virgin Media O2. We currently prefer Sunrise and Ziggo. Given similar credit profiles, we expect limited spread dispersion across the four companies. However, we expect that Liberty Global will look different one year from now, after (partial) network sales.
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Ian Wong
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
- Tanvi Arora
Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: SPIE, Teva, Digi Communications, Altice France (SFR), Telenet, Sunrise, Air France-KLM, Axactor, Victoria, Ineos, Stada, Oriflame, Casino Guichard-Perrachon, Boparan, Synthomer, NewDay
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
Liberty Global operating companies/2Q24 Earnings: UPCB, TNETBB, ZIGGO ...
The 2Q24 earnings reports of the four high yield telecom companies that are (partially) owned by Liberty Global were mixed. 2Q24 adj. EBITDA performance was strong at VodafoneZiggo, stable at Virgin Media O2 and Sunrise, while it was weak at Telenet. We would currently prefer to own Sunrise and Ziggo. Given similar credit profiles and the same (partial) owner, Liberty Global, we expect limited spread dispersion across the group. The main challenge to this view is our idea that we expect that Lib...
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
Liberty Global operating companies/1Q24 Earnings: UPCB, TNETBB, ZIGGO ...
The 1Q24 earnings reports of the four high yield telecom companies that are (partially) owned by Liberty Global were mixed. 1Q24 adj. EBITDA performance was strong at VodafoneZiggo and Sunrise, while it was soft at Telenet and Virgin Media O2. We prefer to own Sunrise and Ziggo, today. Given similar credit profiles and the same (partial) owner at the moment, Liberty Global, we expect limited spread dispersion across the group. The main challenge to this view is our idea that we expect that Liber...
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
- Charlotte Vaisse
FP TOTAL SE
AMS AMS AG
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
TNET TELENET GROUP HOLDING NV
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
BON BONDUELLE SCA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
CTAC CTAC N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
GCO GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE S.A.
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
ALKAL KALRAY SA
JEN JENOPTIK AG
VK VALLOUREC SA
RWI RENEWI PLC
SHEL SHELL PLC
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
- Charlotte Vaisse
FP TOTAL SE
AMS AMS AG
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
TNET TELENET GROUP HOLDING NV
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
BON BONDUELLE SCA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
CTAC CTAC N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
GCO GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE S.A.
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
ALKAL KALRAY SA
JEN JENOPTIK AG
VK VALLOUREC SA
RWI RENEWI PLC
SHEL SHELL PLC
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
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