We raise our 2025F-26F estimates for Umicore on the back of higher precious and platinum group metals prices, with our estimates for the battery materials business broadly unchanged. We raise our target price from €10 to €19 per share, driven by higher estimates and peer multiples, yet maintain our HOLD recommendation. Umicore shares have rallied +85% over the last year, largely driven by the melt-up in metals prices, although its earnings power in 2026F is likely moderated by elevated hedging l...
A director at Umicore S.A. bought 1,000 shares at 18.460EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...
We upgrade our forecasts for the coming years with our 2030E adjusted EBITDA estimate upped by c. 8%. Loosening EU standards on CO2 emission regulation for cars & vans provide some additional support to the Catalysts business, whilst we have kept our forecasts for Battery Materials unchanged as these were already below the company's CMD targets and upside to our numbers will have to come from new supply arrangements/partnerships. The very strong metal price environment will most likely allow Umi...
Based on various press articles, it seems increasingly likely that the European Union is to abandon the earlier agreed ban on new combustion engine-based passenger cars by 2035, whilst new legislation would still require a significant reduction of tailpipe emissions. Any loosening of legislation would probably be good news for Umicore's Catalysts business, with European ICE Light duty Automotive Catalysts' revenue representing c. 28% of total ICE light duty Automotive Catalysts' revenue. We awai...
After more than a decade of R&D efforts on developing silicon carbon composite anode materials for EV batteries, Umicore now believes its technology is ready for industrialization & commercialization and has announced its intention to create a JV with HS Hyosung Advanced Materials. Umicore will retain a minority stake in the JV, which will allow the group to limit expenditure for the roll-out of its anode technology. This approach is very much in sync with the approach taken for the cathode acti...
VodafoneZiggo, Telenet and Virgin Media O2 presented mixed results over 3Q25. Fortunately, KPIs are improving somewhat. Given the competitive end markets, our conviction to buy or sell the notes of any of the three companies remains low. Leverage remained stable QoQ. Nevertheless, we still see upside to the VMED and ZIGGO notes if either Vodafone or Telefonica were to acquire full ownership of their joint ventures or if the businesses where to IPO.
Ageas: AG Real Estate looking to reduce exposure to Interparking, lower capital charges. Air France-KLM: 3Q25 a bit light? ASML: Preview 3Q25, riding the AI wave. Barco: Preview 3Q25, self-help offsets macro headwind. D'Ieteren: Belron starts to roll out static mobile recalibration. Euronext: September's seasonal recovery. Tessenderlo More focus on capital allocation and returns. TomTom: Preview 3Q25, Cost cutting offsets slow markets. Umicore: Gold inventory sale-and-lease-back
These are exciting times in the Benelux TMT markets. In this new Benelux Credit TMT report we discuss the most attractive corporate bonds in the Benelux and wider TMT space and provide insights into the key developments driving the Dutch broadband market. We also discuss recent developments of the names under our coverage: ASML, SES, KPN, Proximus, VodafoneZiggo, Telenet, Wolters Kluwer and RELX. The latter section comes from previously published Flash Notes and have been updated where needed.
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