A director at Greek Organisation Of Football Prognostics S.A. bought 7,641 shares at 16.260EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 62/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's director...
Firstly, how to value OPAP – Being a business operating limited-life concessions, OPAP is far more complicated to value than most investors realize. In fact, one can argue that as concession expiration approaches, the shares ought to incorporate a lower valuation reflecting the reduced time life of the respective concessions. On the other hand, we also note that some of the provisions embedded in certain concessions act as effective barriers to entry, attributing to these licences going-concern ...
Firstly, how to value OPAP – Being a business operating limited-life concessions, OPAP is far more complicated to value than most investors realize. In fact, one can argue that as concession expiration approaches, the shares ought to incorporate a lower valuation reflecting the reduced time life of the respective concessions. On the other hand, we also note that some of the provisions embedded in certain concessions act as effective barriers to entry, attributing to these licences going-concern ...
EME Equity Market – March 2024 Market performance – mixed performances in March, with the Romanian BET outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.3% mom in EUR terms and 0.4% mom in USD in March. The Romanian BET reported the strongest performance, adding 7.1% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Czech PX and the Polish WIG20 (+4.1% and 1.0% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). Greece saw a relatively muted performance (-0.2% mom in EUR terms), while Hungary (-1.1% mom in EUR terms) and Tür...
OPAP enjoyed good growth from its land-based activities, as well through the continued expansion of its online activities in FY23, and it surpassed its own profit expectations. Ongoing enhancements to OPAP’s offer, including the revitalisation of games, will support further growth in FY24.
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: quo vadis? New contracts, new products and upcoming transition to inflation accounting POSITIVE • Georgia macro: NBG cuts policy rate by 75bps • CEZ: press reports CEZ has won tender for 55% of GasNet, could weigh on the 2023 dividend payout NEGATIVE • Allegro: 4Q23 results above expectations; guidance for a strong 1Q24E POSITIVE • Verbund: 4Q23 results in line with guidance NEUTRAL • Coca-Cola Icecek: 4Q23 results – in line operationally NEUTRAL • OPAP: 4Q23 results and FY...
Q4 revenues back to growth; FY23 recurring EBITDA flattish yoy at €744.9m, above the latest guidance, in sync with our estimates – Following a rather subdued Q3 due to adverse sporting results, the situation reversed in Q4’23 as we had suspected, with sportsbook margins normalizing (as echoed by other bookmakers), thus underpinning a return to positive top line growth (Q4 GGR +7.5% at €581m, with retail +2% and online +25%). The increase in the top line (to an all-time record) was more than offs...
Q4 revenues back to growth; FY23 recurring EBITDA flattish yoy at €744.9m, above the latest guidance, in sync with our estimates – Following a rather subdued Q3 due to adverse sporting results, the situation reversed in Q4’23 as we had suspected, with sportsbook margins normalizing (as echoed by other bookmakers), thus underpinning a return to positive top line growth (Q4 GGR +7.5% at €581m, with retail +2% and online +25%). The increase in the top line (to an all-time record) was more than offs...
EME Equity Market – November 2023 Market performance – Greeks in the lead, in a month with only green across the region. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 5.6% mom in EUR terms and 8.7% mom in USD in November. The Greek ASE Index was the top performer in our region (+6.9% mom), followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.5% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom). The Czech PX Index saw the most muted performance, advancing 2.8% mom.
OPAP’s Q323 results were negatively affected by industry-wide influences in sports betting, a tough comparative for Lotteries, and one-off natural events, which have led to a minor, c 3%, tweaking to management’s prior FY23 EBITDA guidance. From an operational perspective, the new iLottery platform is building awareness and growing revenue, and player activity increased on the OPAP Store app, while the retail offer continues to evolve.
HEADLINES: • Motor Oil Hellas: 3Q23 results - stronger than expectations • OPAP: 3Q23 results and FY23 guidance slightly below expectations NEGATIVE • Fourlis: 3Q23 review - slightly weaker quarter, on soft Intersport results NEGATIVE • PGE: 3Q23 results in line with preliminary figures • Ten Square Games: earnings call takeaways - no major surprises, no detailed targets for 2024E NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: key takeaways from the 3Q23 earnings call POSITIVE • Hungary macro: MNB moves ahead wi...
Q3 revenues -3.6% yoy, adj. EBITDA -13%, dragged down by weak sportsbook margins and several one-offs; FY23 EBITDA guidance lowered to €720-740m – As anticipated, OPAP has reported a rather tepid Q3 with revenues -3.6% yoy affected by adverse sporting results (driving down sportsbook margins), weather (heat wave, floods) and the absence of Joker jackpot rollovers (c3% headwind on group GGR). Coupled with cost inflation, this translated to €25m lower adj. EBITDA yoy, at €172m (-13%), broadly in s...
Q3 revenues -3.6% yoy, adj. EBITDA -13%, dragged down by weak sportsbook margins and several one-offs; FY23 EBITDA guidance lowered to €720-740m – As anticipated, OPAP has reported a rather tepid Q3 with revenues -3.6% yoy affected by adverse sporting results (driving down sportsbook margins), weather (heat wave, floods) and the absence of Joker jackpot rollovers (c3% headwind on group GGR). Coupled with cost inflation, this translated to €25m lower adj. EBITDA yoy, at €172m (-13%), broadly in s...
Q3’23 on 21st Nov; tough comps and one-offs to interrupt positive streak – With Q3 impacted internationally by adverse sporting results (driving down sportsbook margins) and domestically by one-off events (heat wave, floods) and the absence of Joker jackpot rollovers (c3% headwind on group GGR), Q3 looks set to see an interruption in the positive trends of previous quarters. As such, we expect GGR -3% yoy at €482m, with retail -6% only partly offset by online (+5%). Coupled with cost inflation a...
Q3’23 on 21st Nov; tough comps and one-offs to interrupt positive streak – With Q3 impacted internationally by adverse sporting results (driving down sportsbook margins) and domestically by one-off events (heat wave, floods) and the absence of Joker jackpot rollovers (c3% headwind on group GGR), Q3 looks set to see an interruption in the positive trends of previous quarters. As such, we expect GGR -3% yoy at €482m, with retail -6% only partly offset by online (+5%). Coupled with cost inflation a...
OPAP’s management is successfully executing its strategy of growing the core brands and customer interactions online and offline, as evidenced by increasing online exposure and revitalising growth in its mature retail core activities, while maintaining its leading corporate and social responsibility (CSR) credentials. Its exclusive licences in the majority of its activities enable high levels of profitability, cash generation and shareholder returns. We see attractive upside to our DCF-based val...
EME Equity Market – September 2023 Market performance – positive developments in Romania and Turkey, declines everywhere else. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 3.7% mom in EUR terms and 6.0% mom in USD in September. Romania took the spotlight, with the BET Index advancing 7.4% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Turkish ISE30 (+4.6% mom). The Polish WIG20 declined the most (-8.7% mom), followed by the Greek ASE, the Hungarian BUX and, finally, the Czech PX (-7.9%, -1.9% and -0.6% mom, respectively).
Stay on board – Greek stocks have had a rather muted summer (ASE +4.7% in July, -1.6% in August), as the prospect for higher-for-longer rates fanned worries about the global economy, leading to widening equity risk premia amidst poorer liquidity conditions given the low seasonality. With Greek stocks already up 35% ytd (banks +55%), the short-term risk-reward looks symmetrical as the fragile international sentiment is balanced with the strong domestic fundamentals, attractive valuations and posi...
Stay on board – Greek stocks have had a rather muted summer (ASE +4.7% in July, -1.6% in August), as the prospect for higher-for-longer rates fanned worries about the global economy, leading to widening equity risk premia amidst poorer liquidity conditions given the low seasonality. With Greek stocks already up 35% ytd (banks +55%), the short-term risk-reward looks symmetrical as the fragile international sentiment is balanced with the strong domestic fundamentals, attractive valuations and posi...
Healthy operating trends, overwhelming cash returns – OPAP Q2 results were broadly in sync with our expectations, but the key take-away is the overwhelming cash return, with €1.0 interim DPS announced (vs our €0.35 expectation). Although c50% of the interim DPS can be considered non-recurring (stemming from the booking of the capital gain related to the sale of Betano at parent company level), this validates our thesis for a cash avalanche post the COVID normalization with OPAP on track to distr...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.