HEADLINES: • Titan Cement: cementing its leadership (BUY - transfer of coverage) • 11 bit studios: 4Q24 adjusted EBITDA above our expectations, headlines hit by substantial write-offs POSITIVE • PGE: full 4Q24 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Tauron: full 4Q24 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: 1Q25 sales up 39% yoy, to PLN 22.1m POSITIVE • OPAP: Greek gaming market up by a strong 15% yoy in 2M25 POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: signs supply agreement with CE...
Fourteen Directors at National Bank Of Greece sold/bought 107,950 shares at between 7.350EUR and 10.231EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's...
A director at Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries S.A. bought 3,000 shares at 19.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors ov...
EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.
Capital Markets Day in April to set the tone… – Following another year of sequentially improved results, with FY’24 EBITDA reaching €1.08bn (+8% yoy), 2025 looks poised to be a pivotal year for Metlen, with major announcements expected at the CMD on 28th April, ahead of its planned LSE listing in early Q3’25. During the event, mgmt will unveil the updated 2025-2028 strategy and outline the organic drivers that will lead to the ambitious €2bn EBITDA implied target by 2028 (CAGR: 17%). The above, ...
Capital Markets Day in April to set the tone… – Following another year of sequentially improved results, with FY’24 EBITDA reaching €1.08bn (+8% yoy), 2025 looks poised to be a pivotal year for Metlen, with major announcements expected at the CMD on 28th April, ahead of its planned LSE listing in early Q3’25. During the event, mgmt will unveil the updated 2025-2028 strategy and outline the organic drivers that will lead to the ambitious €2bn EBITDA implied target by 2028 (CAGR: 17%). The above, ...
Strong finish to the year, with robust loan growth and earnings resilience – Greek banks delivered another solid quarter in Q4, exceeding both our and consensus estimates, supported by stronger-than-expected fee income (+4% vs cons) and lower impairments (-5% vs cons). Despite ongoing NII headwinds, NIM proved resilient at 2.65%, contracting just 15bps qoq—on faster loan repricing relative to deposits, a low deposit beta (20% on total deposits), stable lending spreads (-18bps ytd), incremental b...
Strong finish to the year, with robust loan growth and earnings resilience – Greek banks delivered another solid quarter in Q4, exceeding both our and consensus estimates, supported by stronger-than-expected fee income (+4% vs cons) and lower impairments (-5% vs cons). Despite ongoing NII headwinds, NIM proved resilient at 2.65%, contracting just 15bps qoq—on faster loan repricing relative to deposits, a low deposit beta (20% on total deposits), stable lending spreads (-18bps ytd), incremental b...
Two Directors at Metlen Energy & Metals S.A sold 10,000 shares at between 40.900EUR and 42.360EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 66/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's director...
HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: strategy focused on growth (stays BUY) • Ignitis Group: making headway (BUY - transfer of coverage) • PZU: 4Q24 well ahead of expectations, holding structure to be created within PZU group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 4Q24 results – EBITDA up 9% yoy, 9% above our forecast and 1% above the consensus POSITIVE • Colt CZ Group SE: FY24 results review NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: 4Q24 earnings, and preview of a potential mega data centre NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: 4Q2...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: pumping iron (stays BUY) • Jeronimo Martins: small beat in 4Q24, Biedronka margin erosion slows down; tough market environment continues in 2025 POSITIVE • OPAP: the beat goes on, in 4Q24 POSITIVE • Tauron: preliminary 4Q24 EBITDA 45% above our estimate, on strong Generation and Distribution, and lower loss in Supply POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: assessment of recent political events • Allegro vs. InPost: our take on the companies' two calls • cyber_Folks / Shoper: key ...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today upgraded the long-term deposit and senior unsecured ratings of National Bank of Greece S.A. (NBG) to Baa1 from Baa2, as well as the standalone Baseline Credit Assessment (BCA) and Adjusted BCA of the bank to baa3 from ba1. The bank's long-term Counterparty Risk Ra...
Strong play, but limited new aces up its sleeve, for now – OPAP shares have had a robust start to 2025 returning c11% ytd, fueled by a strong H2’24 operational performance driven by both recurring (strong online/sports betting trends) and non-recurring (e.g. jackpot rollovers) factors. Although the better execution is set to lead FY24 EBITDA c2% above our previous projection and >4% above the upper end of mgt expectations (€750-770m guided range), it also sets a high bar for 2025. The year does ...
Strong play, but limited new aces up its sleeve, for now – OPAP shares have had a robust start to 2025 returning c11% ytd, fueled by a strong H2’24 operational performance driven by both recurring (strong online/sports betting trends) and non-recurring (e.g. jackpot rollovers) factors. Although the better execution is set to lead FY24 EBITDA c2% above our previous projection and >4% above the upper end of mgt expectations (€750-770m guided range), it also sets a high bar for 2025. The year does ...
EME Equity Market – February 2025 Poland outperforms, again; Türkiye declines. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.1% in EUR terms and 2.9% mom in USD terms in February. The Polish WIG20 was, once again, the best performer, adding 7.3% mom in February; followed by the Czech PX Index (+6.1% mom); while Greece (+3.8% mom), Hungary (+3.5% mom) and Romania (+3.0% mom) all reported rather similar performances. The Turkish ISE30 was the worst performer, declining 4.5% mom.
HEADLINES: • OPAP: strong momentum (stays BUY) • Aselsan: strong 4Q24 results and upbeat FY25E outlook POSITIVE • Magyar Telekom: 4Q24E results review – EBITDA +17% yoy, in line with the consensus; solid 2025E guidance and dividend recommendation POSITIVE • Magyar Telekom: prepares for separation of its passive mobile POSITIVE • NEPI Rockcastle: 2H24 – strong performance continues • Lion Finance Group PLC: 4Q24 results highlights POSITIVE • Budimex: 4Q24 prelims in line with the January guidance...
We have updated our earnings estimates for OPAP, ahead of next month’s 4Q/FY24E results release. Based on the Hellenic Gaming Commission’s (HGC) recently-released figures, 2024 ended on a very strong footing, with gross gaming revenues (GGRs) up 13% yoy in 4Q24, thus driving the total for the year higher, by 11%. Following this, we have lifted our 2024E top-line/EBITDA forecasts by 2%/3%, standing ahead of both management’s guidance and the consensus expectations. We have also increased our pric...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: knocked out, beat down, black and blue (stays BUY) • Graphisoft Park: 4Q24 results, and another strong year • MOL: 4Q24 results below expectations, posts a net loss NEGATIVE • NLB Group: bottom-line miss in 4Q24, but equity story remains intact NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: 2024 EBITDA +7%, to EUR 1.1bn, as expected NEUTRAL • Akcansa: proposed dividend almost in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • Piraeus Financial Holdings: 4Q24E preview (due on 24 February) NEUTRAL • Gr...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: 4Q24 headline profit a touch below forecasts, due to the accelerated recognition of the incentive plan POSITIVE • Georgia macro: insights on a Ukraine deal spillover to Georgia • BIM: Competition Authority imposes administrative fine of TRY 1,296m NEGATIVE • OPAP: Greek gaming market +6% yoy in December and 11% in 2024 POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: reaches 11-year bauxite supply/alumina offtake agreement with Rio Tinto POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: announces ten...
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