HEADLINES: • Santander BP: posts solid 4Q25 numbers; rebranding costs guidance in line; DPS of PLN 46 seems very feasible NEUTRAL • Polish media: CPS's audience share at 22.30%, while WP TV is at 0.57% in January 2026 NEUTRAL • Develia: management targets for 2026E close to our forecasts NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q25 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Jumbo: January sales +8% on easy comps; guiding for 5% sales growth and EUR 310-320m net earnings in 2026E NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong ...
Two Directors at National Bank Of Greece sold 3,737 shares at between 15.315EUR and 15.600EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors ov...
A director at Greek Organisation Of Football Prognostics S.A. bought/sold 71,596 shares at 17.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's d...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
Margins under scrutiny: competition capping upside rather than driving margin debasement – We have received a growing number of questions on whether Jumbo’s gross margin model is structurally at risk as competition intensifies, with Romania in focus following Action’s entry and against a broader backdrop of rising online price transparency. Competitive concerns, however, are not new. Similar fears surfaced in the early 2010s (Amazon threat), yet Jumbo has repeatedly confounded them, delivering g...
Margins under scrutiny: competition capping upside rather than driving margin debasement – We have received a growing number of questions on whether Jumbo’s gross margin model is structurally at risk as competition intensifies, with Romania in focus following Action’s entry and against a broader backdrop of rising online price transparency. Competitive concerns, however, are not new. Similar fears surfaced in the early 2010s (Amazon threat), yet Jumbo has repeatedly confounded them, delivering g...
HEADLINES: • Shopper Park Plus: shopping for yield (HOLD – initiation of coverage) • Asseco Poland: incentive scheme for CEO announced NEUTRAL • PL telecoms: UKE approves the deregulation of Orange on the BSA and LLU markets NEUTRAL • Premier Energy: completion of the Hungarian acquisition NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: enters 40/60 JV with Tsakos for large hybrid RES project in Greece NEUTRAL • Türkiye macro: CBT delivers 100bp cut • Alior Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on 24 February)
HEADLINES: • OPAP: waiving of the 5% exit threshold paves the way for the Allwyn merger NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: changes in the Supervisory Board NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 4Q25E – 4% yoy EBITDAaL growth expected (due on 18 February) • Bank Pekao: 4Q25E preview (due on 19 February) • Bank Handlowy: 4Q25E preview (due on 17 March) • MONETA Money Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on 3 February) • Komercni Banka: 4Q25E preview (due on 6 February)
HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: bags new DIRCM contract from APAC POSITIVE • Zabka: 4Q25 trading update – sales +14.4% on lfl of 4.8%; FY adjusted EBITDA margin maintained at upper end of 12-13% range NEUTRAL • Develia: sells 3.3k units in 2025, at the top of the guided range NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 4Q25 revenue at USD 58.6m, down 5% yoy, but up 5% qoq POSITIVE • CEZ: informs customers about the cancelling of the RES surcharge NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: expands local Defence Hub f...
HEADLINES: • Dom Development: sells 4.4k apartments in 2025, an all-time high POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: to add PLN 487m of FX mortgage saga costs in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Polish banks: Puls Biznesu on M&A in the Polish banking sector • Titan: Titan America enters agreement to acquire Keystone Cement Company POSITIVE • OPAP: Allwyn merger passes EGM; focus shifts to 9 February exit-right deadline NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 2025 sales +7%, to EUR 1.23bn, as expected; declares EUR 0.50 special DPS NEUTRAL • Turk...
EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • LPP: profitable growth (stays BUY) • Premier Energy: M&A-driven growth on track (upgraded to BUY) • Polish telecoms: Revolut enters the Polish mobile market NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: 2H25 in line with guidance; FY26 EBITDA and earnings growth guidance of 9%+ and 25%+, 2025-30E EBTDA CAGR of 9%+ POSITIVE • CEZ: cabinet approves step to lower utility bills NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB softens its hawkish tone • OPAP: EGM for merger with Alwyn set for 7 January; preference shares scrapped...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: Bucharest vote supports government • Inter Cars: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • PGE: CEO and COO dismissed; former Tauron CEO appointed as acting CEO NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: ready for lower distribution WACC NEGATIVE • Jumbo: sales up 6% in November and 8% in 11M25, as expected NEUTRAL • Optima Bank SA: 4m shares block trades at 1.9% discount NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m POSITIVE • ...
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
Broad earnings resilience, but no spark for upgrades… – Systemic Greek banks delivered results broadly in line with our estimates and consensus. NII momentum stabilised in 3Q (-0.2% q/q), effectively marking the trough after three consecutive quarters of deceleration, given Euribor’s plateauing. Fees posted a mild q/q decline—consistent with our forecasts—reflecting seasonal softness in payments and money transfers, while bancassurance and asset-management’s AuMs continued to expand at a strong ...
Broad earnings resilience, but no spark for upgrades… – Systemic Greek banks delivered results broadly in line with our estimates and consensus. NII momentum stabilised in 3Q (-0.2% q/q), effectively marking the trough after three consecutive quarters of deceleration, given Euribor’s plateauing. Fees posted a mild q/q decline—consistent with our forecasts—reflecting seasonal softness in payments and money transfers, while bancassurance and asset-management’s AuMs continued to expand at a strong ...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: dividends in EMEA – yield hunting after markets have repriced • Text: 2Q25-26 (calendar 3Q25) results – EBITDA down 29% yoy, 8% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: strong 3Q25 beat on EBITDA and net profit, following the strong gross margin and cost discipline POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 3Q25 results review – 3Q25 EBITDA up 92% yoy, 11-15% above our and the consensus estimates POSITIVE • PGE: stable to declining recurring EBITDA outlook for 2026E NEUTRAL • H...
HEADLINES: • Develia: lighten the load, lift the pace (BUY - initiation of coverage) • PGE: 3Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 3Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Doosan Skoda Power: 3Q25 weak; 2025E guidance lowered; downside risk for our 2025E estimates NEGATIVE • Premier Energy: 3Q25 in line with our estimates; 2025E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • OPAP: 3Q25 results in line; EBITDA flat yoy, at EUR 214m, on to...
Q3 in line, EBITDA flattish as tough comps were counterbalanced by another exceptional performance from Joker – Q3 results came broadly as we expected, with revenue and EBITDA growth slowing to 6.6%/0.5% (+4.7%/+4.3% in Q2) due to a demanding comparison base following the Euro-driven sportsbook boost last year. Joker once again stood out, adding €12m yoy thanks to jackpot rollovers, accounting for roughly 2.1% of quarterly group growth and effectively cushioning the drag from other segments. Oth...
Q3 in line, EBITDA flattish as tough comps were counterbalanced by another exceptional performance from Joker – Q3 results came broadly as we expected, with revenue and EBITDA growth slowing to 6.6%/0.5% (+4.7%/+4.3% in Q2) due to a demanding comparison base following the Euro-driven sportsbook boost last year. Joker once again stood out, adding €12m yoy thanks to jackpot rollovers, accounting for roughly 2.1% of quarterly group growth and effectively cushioning the drag from other segments. Oth...
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