In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
UNDER-PRICED AS INVESTORS SEEK UP-TURN IN KEY STRATEGIC ELEMENTS DTB Group is trading at a PB of 0.2x, a significant discount to the industry average of 1.0x. This is against an ROE of 9.8x for 9M 21. The discounted levels offer an attractive entry point for investors, but the bank does not attract interest because of: 1. DTB's relatively weak net interest margin. Although this has always been an issue for the bank due to preferential pricing for its affiliates, it no longer has the above-se...
ABSA Kenya has released its 9M 21 results, which see EPS jumping to KES1.52 from KES0.35 in 9M 20. The key performance drivers include: 1. The exclusion of separation costs following the completion of the rebranding programme. In 9M 20, separation costs accounted for 36% of PBT; 2. Loan loss provision charges decreased 55% yoy, further lifting earnings; 3. Operating costs declined 3% yoy; and 4. Revenue was still weak on a lower net interest margin (50 bps decline qoq) and ...
Kenya banks' sector-wide profit before tax (PBT) grew 68% yoy in Q3 21, according to the latest data from Central Bank of Kenya. On a cumulative 9M 21 basis, PBT increased 63% yoy. Of our covered banks that have released results, KCB Group leads the pack with a 131% yoy jump in 9M 21 PAT, Equity Group comes in second with a 78% yoy increase and Co-op Bank comes in third with a 19% yoy rise. Some key trends in Q3 21 earnings performance include: 1. Improved asset quality with industry NPL rati...
Co-op Bank has released its 9M 21 results, with EPS increasing 19% yoy to KES1.98. Revenue performance was positive on the back of stability in margins and positive non-interest revenue growth. Profit before provisions increased 26% yoy. Earnings, though, were weighed down by increased operating costs, which pushed up the cost/income ratio above that of peers and increased loan loss provision charges. This is unlike the trend seen in Equity Group and KCB Group results, whose earnings were bo...
The Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) has released a new study on small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), already an important sector for Kenyan banks but one with a great deal of growth potential. Our key takeaways on what the report means for the banks we cover: 1. SME SEGMENT ACCOUNTS FOR 20% OF INDUSTRY LOANS, BUT THERE IS UNTAPPED POTENTIAL The management teams of the Kenyan banks we cover argue that the SME sector is the next growth frontier. In our view, though, the majority of their loan...
We reiterate our Buy recommendation on KCB Group with an unchanged target price of KES54.0 KCB released 9M 21 results posting a 131% yoy jump in PAT, which we see as positive results. As expected, the 53% yoy decline in loan loss provision charge boosted performance. Revenue performance was poorer than expected, with fee and commission income failing to deliver the expected growth to make up for shrinking net interest margins. On the positive side, there was an improvement in asset quality,...
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