reports
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Viktor Stenlöf
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
- Simen Mortensen
Improved sentiment, but unattractive sector valuation
On the positive side, sentiment has improved on peaked interest rates and tightening credit spreads. However, we consider the sector fully valued and maintain our neutral view, given our expectation of muted NAV/share and FFOps growth. Our key focus is on rising vacancy rates, particularly in the office segment. Our top sector picks are Wihlborgs, Catena and PPI.
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Viktor Stenlöf
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
- Simen Mortensen
A merger, a bond exchange offer and other news
KMC (No rec) and Logistea (No rec) plan to combine, with Logisea acquiring all of KMC Properties’ group operations. SBB Norden announced a bond exchange offer. Dios named David Carlsson new CEO. Corem divested SEK107m of properties. Citycon announced the result of a bond hybrid exchange offer. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.43% for 2024e and 4.83% for 2025e.
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
- Niklas Wetterling
Nyfosa (Hold, TP: SEK105.00) - Nearing a return to growth
We reiterate our HOLD, but have raised our target price to SEK105 (100) ahead of the Q2 results (due on 10 July). While the equity raise lowered the LTV adj (total assets) to c50%, leaving room for accretive M&A, near-term Nyfosa is likely to prioritise repurchasing its hybrid bond. We believe the stock screens attractively in a rapidly falling interest-rate scenario, owing to its short average interest rate period (1.6 years), but we find it fairly valued at a 2024–2025e P/FFO of 15–14x.
Stendörren Fastigheter AB: 1 director
A director at Stendörren Fastigheter AB bought 50,000 shares at 183.200SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ...
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Viktor Stenlöf
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
LOGI.B-SE LOGISTEA AB
- Simen Mortensen
Initiating with a BUY, office-space reduction, and personnel changes
This week, we initiated coverage with a BUY on Public Property Invest, a key tenant for Fabege reduced its office space, Hufvudstaden made management changes, we updated our estimates for Besqab following the merger with Aros Bostad, and transaction volumes in May rose from low levels. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.38% for 2024e and 4.78% for 2025e.
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Viktor Stenlöf
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Viktor Stenlöf
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
LOGI.B-SE LOGISTEA AB
- Simen Mortensen
A bit of everything
This week, Wihlborgs bought new assets, Citycon sought the conversion of its 2025 hybrid bond, SBB announced a new JV, dismantled an old one, and set a record date for the remaining 2023 dividends, Balder issued four bonds, while Prisma Properties is aiming for an IPO. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.42% for 2024e and 4.82% for 2025e.
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
- ABGSC Small Cap Research
- Karl Bokvist
PREV B PREVAS B
CATE CATENA AB
GENI GENERIC SWEDEN AB PUBL
DUST DUSTIN GROUP AB
EKTA B ELEKTA AB CLASS B
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
BONEX BONESUPPORT HOLDING AB
MIPS MIPS AB
BOOZT BOOZT AB
A2DRL9 SDIPTECH AB B
FRACTL FRACTAL GAMING GROUP AB
RUG RUGVISTA GROUP AB
PACT PROACT IT GROUP
SFAB SOLID FORSAKRINGSAKTIEBOLAG
NOLA B NOLATO AB
TDVOX TOBII DYNAVOX AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
ITECH I-TECH AB
VESTUM VESTUM AB
2020-NO 2020 BULKERS LTD.
ACAST-SE ACAST
GREEN-SE GREEN LANDSCAPING GROUP
SECT.B-SE SECTRA
COOR-SE COOR SERVICE MANAGEMENT
HEM-SE HEMNET GROUP
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Viktor Stenlöf
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
LOGI.B-SE LOGISTEA AB
- Simen Mortensen
Bond margin improvement and other news
This week, Sagax issued a 6-year EUR500m fixed bond – the first ‘large and longer-duration’ EUR bond issue by a listed Swedish real estate company in around two years. Also, Fitch warned about the liquidity situation in SBB Norden, Emilshus raised equity, and K2A initiated a written procedure to extend its bonds. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.38% for 2024e and 4.78% for 2025e.
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Viktor Stenlöf
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Viktor Stenlöf
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Bengt Jonassen
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Viktor Stenlöf
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
LOGI.B-SE LOGISTEA AB
- Simen Mortensen
Equity raise, two more Q1 reports
This week, Nyfosa raised SEK1.7bn in equity, and Citycon and Olav Thon reported their Q1 results. Real estate stocks have performed well globally since the latest US CPI print. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.32% for 2024e and 4.71% for 2025e.
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
- Simen Mortensen
Olav Thon (Buy, TP: NOK265.00) - Strong and stable
There were no surprises in the Q1 results. Olav Thon remains one of the most attractively valued stocks in our Nordic real estate coverage, as well as having among the strongest balance sheets. We have made limited estimate changes following the report, and reiterate our BUY, while we have raised our target price to NOK265 (250).
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