In Apr 25, Trump’s steep tariffs triggered a drop in oil prices amid worries about oil demand and excess OPEC supply. Shipping has also been impacted; however, this may be somewhat limited as US-China trade forms just 5% of global container volumes, offset by rapidly growing intra-Asia trade. In the drilling market, deepwater rigs are still the most resilient segment. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the sector. Top picks are STM and MPM with YZJ appearing to have very favourable risk/reward at present.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP/HOLD/S$1.16/Target: S$1.31): 4QFY25: Risk from protracted trade war. Update Keppel (KEP SP/BUY/S$6.59/Target: S$9.25): Solid 1Q25 business update - profits up, monetisation gains traction and infrastructure delivers stability. Maintain BUY. TRADERS’ CORNER Singapore Exchange (SGX SP): Trading BUY Singapore Tech Engineering (STE SP): Trading BUY
GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb12.72/Target: Rmb17.80) 2024: Satisfactory results; expects strong recovery in 2025. Upgrade to BUY. Ningbo Tuopu Group Co (601689 CH/BUY/Rmb50.96/Target: Rmb83.00) 4Q24: Earnings up 38.5% yoy, in line. Maintain BUY with target price unchanged at Rmb83.00. TAL Educational Group (TAL US/BUY/US$9.36/Target: US$14.00) 4QFY25: Earnings miss amid ramped-up investments in AI-powered learning. INDONESIA Sector Telecommun...
KEP announced a positive 1Q25 business update with net profit up 25% yoy and nearly S$350m in asset monetisation ytd. Key share price catalysts in the near term include newsflow for its asset monetisation programme such as a further S$550m in real estate deals, the sale of its legacy rigs, a partial distribution of the proceeds of the segregated account, and potential investments in long-distance fibre optic projects. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$9.25.
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures remain. Sector Automobile Weekly: Direct impacts from US tariffs contained; indirect spillovers uncertain. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Update Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$81.55/Target: HK$108.80) 1Q25 sales me...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
The selloff driven by the US’ unprecedented and perplexing tariff plans has liberated many investors of profits this year. Given the fluidity of market conditions, we highlight a number of domestic-focused stocks such as CENT, CD, DFI, HLA, PANU, PROP, RFMD, SSG and SIE as well as Singapore-focused REITS such as CDLHT, FEHT, FCT, KREIT, LREIT and PREIT. In addition, the MAS’ equity market review should inject much needed liquidity in 2H25. We lower our STI target to 3,720 (previously 4,115).
While sounding a word of caution for medium-term government revenues, Prime Minister Wong delivered a budget that continued to defray the pain of inflation with an eye toward clean energy, climate change and helping lower-income households. No new equities market proposals were announced, which may disappoint investors in the short term. Our top picks are BAL, CD, KEP, OCBC, STE, STM, SCI, ST, VMS and YZJSGD.
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer: Satisfactory consumption momentum during CNY. Online Travel Agencies: Spring Festival 2025 propelled by prosperous cross border traffic. INDONESIA Results Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/BUY/Rp5,525/Target: Rp7,000): 2024: Strong loan growth and solid asset quality. MALAYSIA Update Press Metal Aluminium Holdings (PMAH MK/BUY/RM4.98/Target: RM7.00): 4Q24 weakness expected; new alumina refinery and VAP expansion to drive growth ahead. SKP Resources (SKP MK/BUY/RM1.06/Target:...
KEP’s 2024 profit from continuing operations beat expectations with strong growth in its asset management and connectivity segments being the key highlights. Dividends were flat on a yoy basis. In our view, the company’s outlook remains bright with capital recycling news likely to focus on real estate, legacy rigs and Bifrost (and possibly other fibre cable projects) in the near to medium term. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$9.25.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP/BUY/S$1.93/Target: S$2.37) 2H24: Portfolio reconstitution generates growth with lower gearing. Keppel (KEP SP/BUY/S$6.68/Target: S$9.25) 2024: Solid numbers with much to look forward to this year. Maintain BUY and target price of S$9.25. TRADERS' CORNER Riverstone Holdings (RSTON SP): Trading BUY Singapore Exchange (SGX SP): Trading SELL
The new Trump presidency and its rehashed mantra of “drill baby drill” should benefit the Asian O&M sector, assuming that higher levels of global offshore activity lead to tightness in the market that thus push up rig and OSV day rates. In our stock universe, we highlight that Seatrium has shipyard assets in the US and thus could see better-than-expected order wins given the pro-America sentiment in the US at present. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the sector. Top picks are Seatrium and Marco Polo Marin...
For 1H25, we believe that a number of stocks within our universe should deliver strong returns in the near to medium term, backed by sustainable dividend yields despite our modest below-consensus 1.2% EPS growth forecast for our covered STI stocks in 2025. We forecast a 2025 year-end target of 4,115 for the STI, implying a 10% upside from current levels. Our top picks are BAL, CD, KEP, MINT, OCBC, SCI, ST, STE, VMS and YZJSGD. For the small/mid caps, we like CENT, CSE, MPM, SSG and VALUE.
Our modest below-consensus 1.2% EPS growth forecast for our covered STI stocks for 2025 belies the fact that there are a number of stocks within our universe that should deliver strong returns in the near to medium term, backed by sustainable dividend yields. We forecast a 2025 year-end target of 4,115 for the STI, implying 10% upside from current levels, with the index’s current valuation looking inexpensive at 2025F PE and P/B of 11.5x and 1.2x respectively.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Frencken Group (FRKN SP/BUY/S$1.20/Target: S$1.31): 3Q24: Results below expectations; expect gradual recovery. Update Keppel (KEP SP/BUY/S$6.72/Target: S$9.25): A strategic move to row its own boats. Maintain BUY. Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP/BUY/S$2.19/Target: S$2.64): Rebalancing to benefit from AI tailwind while deleveraging. TRADERS’ CORNER Medtecs International Corp (MED SP): Trading BUY Jiutian Chemical Group (JIUC SP): Trading BUY
GREATER CHINA Results Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK/BUY/HK$29.20/Target: HK$40.00) 3Q24: Revenue and earnings beat; positive outlook for online games growth. Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK/BUY/HK$17.70/Target: HK$20.00) 3Q24: Earnings beat; poised for better margin outlook in 2025. Upgrade to BUY. Trip.com (9961 HK/BUY/HK$505.00/Target: HK$640.00) 3Q24: Solid earnings beat; stepped up investment for interntational market share expansion. XPeng Inc...
We view KEP’s reimposition of control over Asset Co to be strategically important, as it allows KEP to determine the pace and structure of the monetisation of its rig assets. We have a bullish view on the offshore marine sector and thus look favourably on the timing of this corporate action. In addition, KEP separately announced that it had divested its stakes in two data centres to Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT/Buy/Target: S$2.50). Maintain BUY. Target price: S$9.25.
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