reports
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, we published a note on Aker BP highlighting our growing concerns of sharp cuts to consensus FCF, with capex assumptions beyond 2026 looking far too low to us – we are ~40% below consensus on 2027–2030e FCF. As well as BW Energy’s Q1 trading update revealing net production just below our estimate, it announced a sale & leaseback agreement, which we see as marginally accretive to our NAV. In other news, we believe the Tyra ramp-up will be in focus in BlueNord’s Q1 results, due next week
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 03/05/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.75 per share: Raising new equity to fund a high impact activity programme – ADX has raised A$13.5 mm of new equity priced at A$0.105 per share. One free-attaching option will be issued for evert two placement shares with an exercise price of A$0.15 per share and an expiry date of 08/05/2026. The proceeds from the raise will fund (1) the production testing of the 450 m gas column encountered at ...
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
EGY VAALCO ENERGY INC.
OMV OMV AG
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
SEI. SINTANA ENERGY
CHAR CHARIOT OIL & GAS
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
DELT DELTIC ENERGY
CNE CANACOL ENERGY LTD
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
JSE JADESTONE ENERGY
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
I3E I3 ENERGY
TRIN TRINITY CAPITAL INC
CEQ CRITERIUM ENERGY LTD.
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
BWEFF BW ENERGY LTD
LNGE LNG ENERGY GROUP CORP.
SHELL ROYAL DUTCH SHELL
- Linus Sigurdson
The weekly navigator
From the past week, we highlight: 1) we raised our target price on Latour to SEK285 (280), but reiterated our HOLD; 2) Kinnevik-owned Lunar raised SEK282m of new capital; and 3) we will host an investor lunch with Latour’s CEO Johan Hjertonsson at our Stockholm office next week.
- Steffen Evjen
Aker BP (Buy, TP: NOK290.00) - Capex concerns looming
While investor concerns appear tilted towards a near-term production decline, we are increasingly concerned that consensus FCF will face meaningful negative revisions, as capex assumptions beyond 2026 look far too low. For 2027–2030, our FCF estimates are ~40% below consensus. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to NOK290 (325) on a lower fair P/NAV.
AB Traction: Kommuniké från AB Tractions årsstämma och konstituerande ...
AB Traction: Kommuniké från AB Tractions årsstämma och konstituerande styrelsemöte den 2 maj 2024 Kommuniké från AB Tractions årsstämma och konstituerande styrelsemöte den 2 maj 2024 Vid årsstämman i AB Traction och efterföljande konstituerande styrelsemöte beslutades följande: Resultaträkningen och balansräkningen samt koncernresultaträkningen och koncernbalansräkningen för 2023 fastställdes. Styrelseledamöterna samt verkställande direktören beviljades ansvarsfrihet för förvaltningen under verksamhetsåret 2023. Utdelning till aktieägarna beslutades att lämnas med 10,45 kronor per aktie ...
AB Traction: Delårsrapport januari-mars 2024
AB Traction: Delårsrapport januari-mars 2024 Perioden januari – mars Resultatet efter skatt uppgick till 128 (211) Mkr, vilket fördelar sig på: Aktiva noterade innehav 20 (183) MkrOnoterade innehav 1 (-5) MkrFinansiella placeringar 109 (36) Mkr Resultat per aktie uppgick till 8,67 (14,27) krSubstansvärdet per aktie uppgick till 274 (270) kr/aktieSubstansvärdet per aktie ökade med 3 (6) procentAvkastningen på aktiva noterade innehav uppgick till cirka 1 (14) procentAvkastningen på övriga noterade aktier uppgick till cirka 9 (3) procentStockholmsbörsen inklusive utdelningar (SBX) ökade med 8...
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
LHA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
DAI DAIMLER AG
RXL REXEL SA
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ORSTED ORSTED
GN GN STORE NORD A/S
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
RAA RATIONAL AG
AENA AENA SME SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
WLN WORLDLINE SA
INGA ING GROEP NV
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
SHEL SHELL PLC
GSK GSK PLC
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/02/2024
We are removing GALP from our ODDO BHF European Large Caps list. The stock has chalked up a performance of +31.3% since its inclusion in the list on 20 March. Our analyst is adopting today a Neutral recommendation (vs Outperform) on the stock. - ...
LHA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
DAI DAIMLER AG
RXL REXEL SA
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ORSTED ORSTED
GN GN STORE NORD A/S
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
RAA RATIONAL AG
AENA AENA SME SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
WLN WORLDLINE SA
INGA ING GROEP NV
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
SHEL SHELL PLC
GSK GSK PLC
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
- Ahmed Ben Salem
GALP : Q1 2024 results beat expectations, reassuring outlook – recomme...
>Upstream: solid growth profile underpinned by discoveries in Namibia - Adjusted EBITDA for upstream activities totalled € 591m in Q1, 9% above expectations. The group is guiding for divisional EBITDA of € 2.1bn for 2024, which seems fairly conservative, in our view, and output >115 kboe/d, in line with our expectations. This output should increase by over 30% (+40 kboe/d) with the start-up of Bacalhau in Brazil at end-2025 and which should reach its plateau in 202...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
GALP : Résultats T1 supérieurs aux attentes, outlook rassurant. Recomm...
>Upstream : un profil de croissance solide renforcé par les découvertes en Namibie - L’EBITDA T1 2024 ajusté de l’Upstream est ressorti à 591 M€ et 9% au-dessus des attentes. Le groupe guide sur un EBITDA 2024 de la division à 2.1 Md€ qui nous parait assez conservateur et une production >115 kbep/j en ligne avec nos attentes. Cette production devrait croitre de de plus de 30% (+40 kbep/j) avec le démarrage de Bacalhau au Brésil fin 2025 qui devrait atteindre son pl...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
GALP : Q1 2024 results: strong beat to consensus with robust cashflow
>Q1 2024: 12% beat on EBITDA, 23% for EBIT and 28% for NI - GALP has just released its Q1 2024 results with EBITDA of € 974m, 12% above the consensus and 14% above our estimates. EBIT came in at € 776m (up 88.8% q-o-q), 23.4% above the consensus. Adjusted net income was € 337m (+18.7% q-o-q) and 28.6% above the consensus. Robust results supported by refining - Upstream: adjusted EBITDA was € 591m (vs € 599m in Q4), 9% above the consensus with lower ...
- Steffen Evjen
Notifiable trading – Equinor ASA
Notifiable trading – Equinor ASA A close associate to a primary insider in Equinor ASA (OSE: EQNR, NYSE: EQNR) has sold shares in Equinor ASA. Alf Torstensen, close associate to executive vice president Siv Helen Rygh Torstensen, has on 30 April 2024 sold 350 shares in Equinor ASA at a price of NOK 300.90 per share. Details of the sale of shares are set forth in the attached notification. This is information that Equinor ASA is obliged to make public pursuant to Article 19 of the EU Market Abuse Regulation and subject to the disclosure requirements pursuant to Section 5-12 of the Norwegi...
Meldepliktig handel - Equinor ASA
Meldepliktig handel - Equinor ASA En nærstående til en primærinnsider i Equinor ASA (OSE: EQNR, NYSE: EQNR) har solgt aksjer i Equinor ASA. Alf Torstensen, nærstående til konserndirektør Siv Helen Rygh Torstensen, har den 30. april 2024 solgt 350 aksjer i Equinor ASA til en pris per aksje på NOK 300,90. Detaljer om salget av aksjer følger av vedlegget til denne meldingen. Denne opplysningen er informasjonspliktig etter artikkel 19 i EU Market Abuse Regulation samt verdipapirhandelloven §5-12. Vedlegg
- Michael B. Schäfer
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/30/2024
BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
DG VINCI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ADS ADIDAS AG
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
HO THALES SA
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
DAI DAIMLER AG
QIA QIAGEN NV
RXL REXEL SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STMN STRAUMANN HOLDING AG
- Michael B. Schäfer
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/04/2024
L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
DG VINCI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ADS ADIDAS AG
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
HO THALES SA
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
DAI DAIMLER AG
QIA QIAGEN NV
RXL REXEL SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STMN STRAUMANN HOLDING AG
- Ahmed Ben Salem
GALP : Q1 2024 results: strong beat to consensus with robust cashflow
>Q1 2024: 12% beat on EBITDA, 23% for EBIT and 28% for NI - GALP has just released its Q1 2024 results with EBITDA of € 974m, 12% above the consensus and 14% above our estimates. EBIT came in at € 776m (up 88.8% q-o-q), 23.4% above the consensus. Adjusted net income was € 337m (+18.7% q-o-q) and 28.6% above the consensus. Robust results supported by refining - Upstream: adjusted EBITDA was € 591m (vs € 599m in Q4), 9% above the consensus with lower ...
Enerflex Prevails in Appeal of Mexican Labor Board Decision and Announ...
Enerflex Prevails in Appeal of Mexican Labor Board Decision and Announces Timing of First Quarter Results CALGARY, Alberta, April 29, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Enerflex Ltd. (TSX: EFX) (NYSE: EFXT) (“Enerflex” or the “Company”) today provided an update with regard to an ongoing legal proceeding in Mexico. The Tenth Circuit Collegiate Court on Labor Matters in Mexico (the “Court”) has published a decision setting aside a January 31, 2022 decision of a Labor Board in the State of Tabasco, Mexico (the “Labor Board”) that had ordered subsidiaries of Exterran Corporation (now subsidiaries of E...
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, Equinor, Aker BP and Vår Energi released their Q1 results. In short: Equinor reported on the strong side, with a solid FCF beat fuelled by a working capital tailwind. Aker BP had a solid Q1 all around, while there was limited new news on Johan Sverdrup. For Vår Energi, with the results in line with our expectations, we believe investor focus remains on the Jotun FPSO sail-away.
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