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Javier Esteban
  • Javier Esteban

CAIXABANK: 4Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

4Q'24 vs. 4Q'23 Results NII: € 2.74 Bn (-0.3% vs. -1.8% BS(e) and -1.3% consensus); Total Revenues: € 4.08 Bn (+15.2% vs. +10.5% BS(e) and +12.6% consensus); Operating Income: € 2.54 Bn (+21% vs. +11.9% BS(e) and +17.0% consensus); Net Profit pre AT1: € 1.54 Bn (+33% vs. +16.4% BS(e) and +22.2% consensus). 4Q'24 vs. 3Q'24 Results NII: € 2.74 Bn (-1.9% vs. -3.4% BS(e) and -2.9% consensus); Total Revenues: € 4.08 Bn (-0.3% vs. -4.4% BS(e) and -2.5% consensus); Operating Income: € 2.54 Bn (-0.9% vs...

Javier Esteban
  • Javier Esteban

CAIXABANK: RDOS. 4T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 4T'24 vs 4T'23: M. Intereses: 2.741 M euros (-0,3% vs -1,8% BS(e) y -1,3% consenso); M. Bruto: 4.080 M euros (+15,2% vs +10,5% BS(e) y +12,6% consenso); M. Neto: 2.535 M euros (++21% vs +11,9% BS(e) y +17,0% consenso); BDI pre AT1: 1.539 M euros (+33% vs +16,4% BS(e) y +22,2% consenso). Rdos. 4T'24 vs 3T'24: M. Intereses: 2.741 M euros (-1,9% vs -3,4% BS(e) y -2,9% consenso); M. Bruto: 4.080 M euros (-0,3% vs -4,4% BS(e) y -2,5% consenso); M. Neto: 2.535 M euros (-0,9% vs -8,3% BS(e) y -4,...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 30 JANUARY + 4Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SAB...

NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, OHLA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Results spur buying ahead of Fed Except for the slight drop in the CAC, European stock markets posted gains ahead of the Fed meeting, which kept rates in the range of 4.25%-4.50%, as expected. In the STOXX 600, the gains were led by Technolo...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 30 ENERO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 4T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLI...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, OHLA. EUROPA: NOKIA, SANOFI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Los resultados impulsan las compras antes de la Fed A excepción de la ligera caída del CAC las bolsas europeas se decantaron por subidas antes de la decisió...

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/BPCE + Generali, RBI Russia, Belgian & French covered, Cai...

A new asset management giant set to be created in Amsterdam. RBI's Russian headache takes a turn for worse again. Belgian & French covered bond issuances. CaixaBank extends its senior non-pref curve with a new 11NC10

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/BPCE + Generali, RBI Russia, Belgian & French covered, Cai...

A new asset management giant set to be created in Amsterdam. RBI's Russian headache takes a turn for worse again. Belgian & French covered bond issuances. CaixaBank extends its senior non-pref curve with a new 11NC10

Javier Esteban
  • Javier Esteban

INFORME SECTORIAL BANCOS EUROPA: POCO MOMENTUM SECTORIAL HASTA RDOS. 4...

Poco momentum hasta que publiquen guidance 2025 en Rdos. 4T’24. A la espera del guidance’25 en Rdos. 4T’24 reina la cautela y un apetito limitado por el sector a la espera de que se descarten escenarios muy negativos, en nuestra opinión injustificados. Nosotros esperamos una caída media de ingresos de -3,3% en 2025 (vs -1% consenso) y -10% en BDI (vs -3% consenso) para un EURIBOR de 2,18%. Creemos que queda valor en un sector holgado de capital (13,3% CET1 medio) con una yield por dividendo de ~...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 08 JANUARY (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: BANKING SECTOR. Rising debt yields once again pressure stock markets European stock markets rose early in the session but ended up reeling in part of those initial gains after a bearish opening for US markets. The main driver was the rising sovereign debt yields following the release of better US macro data and in view of investors selling bond to make room for the US treasury’s 10Y bond auction. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were once again Energy and those linked...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 08 ENERO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: SECTOR BANCOS. La escalada de la rentabilidad de la deuda vuelve a presionar las bolsas Las bolsas europeas, que subían por la mañana, acabaron cediendo parte de sus ganancias al cierre tras una apertura bajista del mercado americano. El principal catalizador fue la escalada en la rentabilidad de la deuda soberana a largo plazo, tras la publicación de unos mejores datos macro en EE.UU. y ante las ventas de bonos por parte de los inversores para ha...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 24 DECEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: ARCELORMITTAL, ECOENER, ENDESA, OHLA. Moderate drops in a session without volume and with weaker macro data Despite the US rally seen last Friday after the European closing bell, in the absence of additional catalysts, the worse macroeconomic data released yesterday in the US dragged down European stock markets in a session with low volume. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Pharma stood out thanks to the rally of Novo Nordisk following last Friday’s strong corrections whereas Leisure and Aut...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 24 DICIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ARCELOR MITTAL, ENDESA, ECOENER, SECTOR ELECTRICO ESPAÑA, OHLA. EUROPA: BASF Caídas moderadas en una sesión sin volumen y datos macro algo más flojos de fondo A pesar de la subida de EE.UU. el viernes después del cierre en Europa, en ausencia de más catalizadores, los peores datos macro publicados ayer en EE.UU, terminaron lastrando las bolsas europeas en una sesión con poco volumen. Así, en el STOXX 600, destacó al alza la subida de Farma gracias...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 17 DECEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: MELIÁ HOTELS, OHLA. Doubts on the horizon European stock markets saw slight corrections after the disappointing macroeconomic data released in China. On the geopolitical front, the German chancellor O. Scholz lost the confidence vote, paving the way for early elections in February. Thus, in the STOXX 600, defensive sectors such as Pharma and Telecoms were the best performers whereas Autos and Real Estate saw the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, December’s PMI d...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 17 DICIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: MELIÁ, OHLA. Algunas dudas en el horizonte Ligeras caídas en los mercados europeos tras la decepción en los datos macroeconómicos de China. Desde el frente geopolítico, el canciller alemán, O. Scholz, perdió la cuestión de confianza parlamentaria, allanando el camino para unas elecciones anticipadas en febrero. En el STOXX 600, los ganadores del día fueron defensivos como Farma y Telecomunicaciones mientras que Autos e Inmobiliario sufrieron las ma...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 05 DECEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, CAIXABANK, CHANGES IBEX, FERROVIAL, TALGO. IBEX on the verge of 12,000 points European stock markets’ bullish streak in December continued with gains of around +1.0% and despite the political crises in France and South Korea. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Retail (leading the pack for the third straight day) and Technology, with Pharma and Energy posting the biggest losses. On the macro side, the OECD presented its new forecasts, where we highlight the gro...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 05 DICIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, CAIXABANK, CAMBIOS IBEX 35, FERROVIAL, TALGO. EUROPA: ALLIANZ. El Ibex al borde de los 12.000 puntos Continuó la racha alcista que llevan los índices europeos en diciembre con subidas cercanas al +1,0% y a pesar de las crisis políticas desatadas en Francia y Corea del Sur. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Retail (que repite al frente por tercer día consecutivo) y Tecnología frente a Farma y Energía que fueron los que más cayeron. Po...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 29 NOVIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: LAR ESPAÑA, OHLA, SECTOR BANCOS ESPAÑA. El Euro STOXX 50 recupera los 4.750 puntos Subidas en Europa después de que las próximas restricciones de equipamiento tecnológico impuestas por la administración Biden a las compañías chinas vayan a ser menos severas de lo inicialmente esperado. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Bancos y Utilities mientras que B. Consumo y Alimentación terminaron con las mayores caídas. Por el lado macro, en España...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 29 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: BANKING SECTOR, LAR ESPAÑA, OHLA. Euro STOXX 50 back above 4,750 points European markets climbed after it was learned that the upcoming restrictions on Chinese companies imposed by the Biden administration will be less severe than initially expected. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Banks and Utilities, whereas Consumer Goods and Food ended with the biggest drops. On the macro side, in Spain November’s inflation rose more than expected to 2.4%, while the core fig...

Luis Arredondo
  • Luis Arredondo

OHLA: 3Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 928.7 M (+10.1% vs. +13.9% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 29.4 M (-12.0% vs. +7.8% BS(e)); EBIT: € 14.1 M (-36.2% vs. -23.0% BS(e)); Net Profit: € -24.1 M (€ -13.24 M BS(e)); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 2.65 Bn (+17.4% vs. +18.9% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 86.9 M (+3.2% vs. +11.1% BS(e)); EBIT: € 33.4 M (-7.5% vs. +0.6% BS(e)); Net Profit: € -58.3 M (€ 14.2 M in 9M'23 vs. € -47.44 M BS(e));

Luis Arredondo
  • Luis Arredondo

OHLA: RDOS. 3T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ventas: 928,7 M euros (+10,1% vs +13,9% BS(e)); EBITDA: 29,4 M euros (-12,0% vs +7,8% BS(e)); EBIT: 14,1 M euros (-36,2% vs -23,0% BS(e)); BDI: -24,1 M euros (vs -13,24 M euros BS(e)). Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ventas: 2.650 M euros (+17,4% vs +18,9% BS(e)); EBITDA: 86,9 M euros (+3,2% vs +11,1% BS(e)); EBIT: 33,4 M euros (-7,5% vs +0,6% BS(e)); BDI: -58,3 M euros (-14,2 M euros en 9meses'23 vs -47,44 M euros BS(e).

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 28 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, OHLA, REIT SECTOR, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. Europe falling once again, with the IBEX back below 11,600 European stock markets fell after the news of the Trump administration’s tariff plans and the political and fiscal uncertainty in France. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Real Estate and Household Goods, while Technology and Construction suffered the biggest losses. On the macro side, from the ECB, I. Schnabel pushed to ease monetary policy gradually and come...

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