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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Malaysian Telcos Q4 24 review: Soft Q4; guidance suggests recovery on...

4Q24 service revenue trend remained soft off prepaid weakness, partly offset by Fibre and Enterprise momentum which enabled Maxis to grow faster than CelcomDigi. Industry EBITDA was weaker off a higher comparable base, but guidance suggests a recovery in 2025 in particular for CelcomDigi.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos A Consistent Approach to EFCF and Shareholder Remune...

Amidst tariff-inspired chaos we introduce a consistent way to calculate Equity FCF for Global EM Telcos. Improvements in market structure and synergies from consolidation has led to a steep increase in sector cash flow.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Axiata (Buy, RM 4.5, +98%) Reports that Axiata is looking to sell Lin...

TMT Finance Asia reports that Axiata is inviting offers for up to 100% of LinkNet, its Indonesian home broadband fibre business. This follows earlier rumours that the company is considering selling its stake in Edotco, its Asian Towers asset either in whole or in part. The other large Asian portfolio telco, Singtel, has performed well since starting the process of restructuring/asset sales, and we believe Axiata may be at the start of this process too.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Axiata (Buy, RM 4.5, +92%) Our takeaway from Investor Day 2025; Share...

Axiata held its Investor Day yesterday which focused on the Group's progress towards deleveraging and the outlook for dividends. As the Group transits to be more of a holding company, capital allocation and shareholder remuneration policies are central which is the key focus of our note below. With progress here we think the shares have finally bottomed.

Axiata Group Berhad: Update following rating affirmation

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its diversification across high growth markets, and incorporates its exposure to emerging and frontier market risks.

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+12)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, December 12, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Internet: 1H25 outlook shaped by implications of fiscal stimuli and US tariffs. Results Huize Holding (HUIZ US/BUY/US$4.09/Target: US$7.00): 3Q24: Turning profitable again due to strong FYP growth. INDONESIA Update XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,240/Target: Rp3,200): EXCL and FREN agree to merge (pre-synergy EV of Rp104t, or around US$6.5b). MALAYSIA Sector Banking: The sector delivered a solid 3Q24 earnings growth of 11% yoy. However, this was largely driven by volatile tradi...

Axiata Group Berhad: Key facts and statistics - LTM March 2024

A summary company profile, detailing Axiata Group Berhad’s business operations and financial highlights.

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+21)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Ringo Tang Chi Yu
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, August 29, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$16.46/Target: HK$19.50) 1H24: Below expectations; exploring opportunities in overseas markets. CR Mixc (1209 HK/BUY/HK$23.25/Target: HK$33.70) 1H24: Results in line with surprise from special dividend. Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK/BUY/HK$12.34/Target: HK$19.60) 1H24: Core net profit up 13% yoy. Accelerated store opening pace in 2H24; dividend payout expected to remain at reasonable leve...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+10)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, June 12, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Dragon Boat Festival: Consumer services, experiential spending, and lower-tier cities lead growth. INDONESIA Update Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/HOLD/Rp4,300/Target: Rp4,300) Issuance of new shares to complete the divestment process. MALAYSIA Sector Telecommunications 1Q24 earnings up 14% yoy on the back ...

Axiata Group Berhad, XL Axiata Tbk (P.T.): Impact of proposed XL Axiat...

The expected benefits will depend on the extent of synergies, capital structure, financial and dividend policies of the newly merged entity.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+14)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, April 22, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Online Travel Agencies: Robust Qingming festival travel momentum continues into Labour Day. Results Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/BUY/Rmb14.36/Target: Rmb18.50): 2023: Results in line; smooth progress in developing esoteric testing business. EVE Energy (300014 CH/SELL/Rmb35.00/Target: Rmb20.00): 4Q23: Earnings miss on margins. Maintain SELL. Cut target price from Rmb24.00 to Rmb20.00. Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co (002920 CH/BUY/Rmb118.01/Target: Rmb145.00): 1Q24: Earnings mi...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

ASEAN Telcos Outlook 2024; Continued market repair in Indonesia, Thai...

After a decent 2023, in 2024 we are likely to see further evidence of market repair in Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia driven by consolidation in both Mobile and Broadband. The economic outlook in the region is generally positive too, helped by post-Covid tailwinds, and China decoupling.

Axiata Group Berhad: Update following rating affirmation

Our credit view of this issuer reflects Axiata's diversified revenue and earnings, constrained by its exposure to emerging and frontier market risks.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Axiata (Buy, TP: MYR 5.7, +145%) Highlights from Investor Day 2023

Axiata held its Investor Day in Kuala Lumpur on Wednesday and outlined plans to deliver on its 2025/26 targets; de-lever to 2.5x and grow DPS sustainably. Key themes include the delayering of XL Axiata and Link Net, market repair in Indonesia and its Frontier Markets, operational excellence and deleverage goals. See below for our brief takeaways.

Ariel Poh Yun Li ... (+17)
  • Ariel Poh Yun Li
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Kwanchai Atiphophai
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda

Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, August 30, 2023

GREATER CHINA Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$237.80/Target: HK$590.00): 2Q23: Earnings up 145% yoy and 65% qoq, in line. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$590.00. China Feihe (6186 HK/HOLD/HK$4.81/Target: HK$5.18): 1H23: Results in line; growing asset-light digitalised stores. COSCO SHIPPING Ports (1199 HK/BUY/HK$4.72/Target: HK$6.00): 1H23: Results slightly beat our expectation; showing robustness amid slow macro environment. Country Garden Services (6098 HK/HOLD/HK$9.45/Target: HK$9.16): 1H2...

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